Market Update
Hang Seng Index Book Best Weekly Gains In Five Months, PBoC Holds Rates Steady
Li Chen
20 Sep, 2024
Hong Kong
Stock market indexes in Hong Kong headed higher, but they declined in Shanghai after the People's Bank of China in a surprise move kept its short- and medium-term rates unchanged.
The Hang Seng index soared 1.5% and extended this week's gains to over 5%, the best weekly gain since April 26.
The CSI 300 index edged down 0.3% and extended weekly losses to a fraction in a holiday-shortened week as market sentiment remained weak.
The central bank in Beijing, in a surprise move, announced its plan to hold rates steady despite weak economic momentum and a stable exchange rate.
Investors were widely anticipating a rate cut following a jumbo-sized 50 basis points cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve on Wednesday.
The People's Bank of China held steady its one-year loan prime rate at 3.35% and five-year loan prime rate at 3.85%.
Economists still held out for the central bank to lower rates in the months ahead, following the latest string of weak retail sales, industrial output growth, and falling investment in the property sector.
In other economic news in Asia, the Bank of Japan held its short-term lending rate unrevised between 0.25% and 1.0%, meeting market expectations.
China Stock Movers
The Hang Seng Index jumped 1.5% to 18,275.14, and the CSI 300 index fell 0.3% to 3,187.38.
Tech stocks in Hong Kong jumped, tracking a higher closing in New York in overnight trading.
Alibaba Group gained 2.5% to HK $87.80, Tencent Holdings advanced 0.3% to HK $392.20, JD.com jumped 0.5% to HK $112.30, and Baidu added 0.2% to HK $85.45.
Banks were in focus after the People's Bank of China, in a surprise move, held steady its short- and medium-term loan rates.
Bank of China added 1.1% to HK $3.49, Agriculture Bank of China jumped 1.9% to HK$3.66, and China Construction Bank increased 1% to HK $5.62.
Mainland-focused residential property sectors were in focus for the second day in a row, after the HKMA lowered its base rate and the People's Bank of China held steady interest rates.
China Vanke jumped 1% to HK $4.41, China Resources Land gained 2.4% to HK $21.40, and Longfor Group advanced 1.9% to HK $8.84.
Zhejiang Zhongxin Environmental Protection Technology Group soared 55% to 40.08 yuan on its first day of trading in Shanghai.
The food packaging company priced its public offering at 26.80 yuan per share and raised 677 million in its initial public offering.
India Movers: Adani Group, IDFC First, MSTC, Nykka, SJVN, Shapoorji Pallonji Group
Arun Goswami
20 Sep, 2024
Mumbai
Benchmark indexes in Mumbai advanced to new record highs and extended this year's string of multiple record highs amid solid demand from domestic and foreign investors.
The Sensex index increased by 0.3% to 83,399.27, and the Nifty index edged up by 0.3% to 25,498.40.
On the Mumbai stock exchange, 91 stocks traded at their 52-week highs, and 18 stocks traded at their 52-week lows.
The yield on the 10-year Indian government bonds inched lower to 6.74%, and the Indian rupee strengthened to 83.61 against the U.S. dollar.
FSN E-commerce Ventures gained 0.7% to ₹201.09, and the cosmetic retailer said it has expanded its same-day or next-day delivery service to 110 cities.
The cosmetic retailer added that about 60% of orders are fulfilled on the same day.
Shapoorji Pallonji Group of companies is likely to receive an investment of ₹2,100 crore, arranged by Deutsche Bank, ahead of the company's debt repayments. The company is also preparing to list Afcons Infrastructure on Mumbai stock exchanges through a public offering as early as next year.
The group companies include Eureka Forbes, Forbes & Company, Gokak Textiles, Vascon Engineers, and Sterling & Wilson Renewable Energy.
SJVN increased 0.2% to ₹129.0, and the renewable power company announced better-than-expected quarterly results.
Standalone revenue increased to 2,533.59, and after-tax profit rose to 908.40 crore.
The company said it has expanded its project portfolio to a record 56.8 GW, driven by 89 projects and three transmission lines.
The power projects include 5.1 GW hydropower projects in Arunachal Pradesh, 2.4 GW Darzo Lui Pumped Storage Project in Mizoram, and securing 16 renewable projects totaling 4.5 GW of power generation capacity.
MSTC Ltd. increased 2.2% to ₹739.0, and the government approved the sale of the company's subsidiary Ferro Scrap Nigam to Japan's Konoike Transport Company for ₹320 crore.
IDFC First Bank increased 0.7% to ₹74.34, and the Reserve Bank of India approved the reappointment of the company's managing director, V. Vaidyanathan, effective December 19.
Reliance Infrastructure increased 3.3% to ₹293.0, and the company's board approved its plans to raise 3,014 crore through a preferential issue.
S&P 500 Jumps to New Record High Amid Hopes of Soft Landing
Alexander Garcia
19 Sep, 2024
Miami
Stock market indexes soared a day after the Federal Reserve delivered a larger rate cut, surprising many market watchers.
Investors returned to add stock positions on Thursday after the Federal Reserve lowered rates for the first time in over four years, cutting down rates from a 23-year high.
Benchmark indexes jumped more than 2% in the hopes that the Federal Reserve's efforts to engineer a so-called "soft landing" are likely to succeed.
The Fed appears to be confident that it has tamed inflation, and policymakers pivoted to their other mandate of maximum employment.
A larger rate cut is a double-edged sword, as lower interest rates create more demand for goods and services but also stoke inflation and wipe out hard-fought gains against rapid price hikes over the last two years.
Investors, in a delayed reaction to the Fed's jumbo-sized rate cut of 50 basis points, bid up tech stocks, home builders, and small-cap names.
The Fed cut its fed funds rate to a range between 4.75% and 5.0% from the 5.25% to 5.50%, and the amount of rate cut surprised investors.
Initial jobless claims for the week ending on September 14 declined 12,000 to 219,000, the U.S. Department of Labor reported on Thursday.
Initial claims were the lowest since May 18, and continuing claims, which lag by a week, edged lower to 1.829 million.
Existing Home Sales Fell Sharply In August
Existing home sales, which account for the bulk of home sales, declined 2.5% from the prior month in August to an annual rate of 3.86 million in August, according to the latest data released by the National Association of Realtors.
August home sales were the lowest since 2010, and median home price increased 3.1% from a year ago to $416,700, the 14th consecutive month of annual price increase and a record for August home prices.
“Home sales were disappointing again in August, but the recent development of lower mortgage rates coupled with increasing inventory is a powerful combination that will provide the environment for sales to move higher in future months,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun.
The inventory of unsold existing homes improved by 0.7% from the previous month to 1.35 million at the end of August, or the equivalent of 4.2 months’ supply at the current monthly sales pace.
U.S. Indexes and Treasury Yields
The S&P 500 index increased 1.6% to 5,708.29, the Nasdaq Composite rose 2.3% to 17,973.09, and the Russell 2000 index advanced 1.4% to 2,238.17.
The yield on 2-year Treasury notes edged lower to 3.63%, 10-year Treasury notes inched up to 3.76%, and 30-year Treasury bonds inched lower to 4.09%.
WTI crude oil decreased $0.76 to $71.63 a barrel, and natural gas prices edged down 3 cents to $2.25 a thermal unit.
Gold rose by $16.57 to $2,565.78 an ounce, and silver increased by $0.18 to $31.03.
The dollar index, which weighs the US currency against a basket of foreign currencies, edged higher to 100.95.
U.S. Stock Movers
Home builders jumped after the Federal Reserve lowered rates by 50 basis points in the hopes that lower mortgage rates will spur demand for new homes.
Lennar Corp. jumped 0.9% to $190.29, NVR Homes gained 1.7% to $9,624.67, KB Home gained 1.9% to $88.31, Toll Brothers added 1.4% to $152.02, PulteGroup inched higher 0.6% to $141.88, and DR Horton added 0.9% to $195.97.
Chipmakers and artificial intelligence stocks rallied after lower interest rates spurred investors to return to high-growth stocks.
AMD increased 4.2% to $154.55, Apple gained 3% to $227.27, Alphabet increased 1% to $162.54, Microsoft advanced 1.5% to $437.12, and Nvidia jumped 4.5% to $118.41.
SLB increased 2.1% to $42.27 after the company announced a partnership with Nvidia to develop AI modes for subsurface exploration and operations and data management.
Steelcase declined 11% to $12.56 after the office furniture maker reported weaker-than-expected quarterly results.
Revenue in the second quarter stood at $855.8 million, and the company forecast a third-quarter revenue range between $785 million and $810 million, lower than the previous upper range of $812.1 million.
Darden Restaurants jumped 7.4% to $170.86, and the company announced weaker-than-expected quarterly results because of the weakness in its fine dining restaurants.
The parent company of Olive Garden reported revenue in the fiscal first quarter decreased 1% to $2.76 billion, net income rose to $207.2 million from $194.5 million, and diluted earnings per share advanced to $1.74 from $1.59 a year ago.
Same store sales at Olive Garden declined 2.9%, and the company said it is reviving its Never Ending Past Bowl later this month in the hopes of attracting more customers.
Despite the weakness in the current quarter, the company reiterated its full-year sales forecast between $11.8 billion and $11.9 billion and earnings per share from continuing operations between $9.40 and $9.60.
UK and Norway Held Rates Steady, Passenger Car Registration Dropped 18% In August
European stock market indexes advanced, and investors reviewed the latest monetary policy decisions in the UK and Norway.
Benchmark indexes in London, Paris, and Frankfurt traded higher after the U.S. Federal Reserve cut its main lending rate range by 50 basis points and signaled possible rate cuts in the year.
The Bank of England held its main financing rate at 5.0%, as widely expected by investors.
The central bank in the UK held rates steady after lowering rates by 25 basis points for the first time in over four years.
The Monetary Policy Committee voted 8-1 to keep the bank rate at 5.0%, with one member dissenting to trim the rate by 0.25%.
In a unanimous vote, the committee voted to lower the purchase of government bonds by £100 billion over the next 12 months to £558 billion.
The Norges Bank held steady its policy rate at a sixteen-year high of 4.5%, and signaled rates are likely to remain unrevised for the remainder of the year.
The Norges Bank left its rate unrevised for the sixth consecutive meeting in September.
EU passenger Car Registration Plunged 18% In August
Passenger car registration in the European Union plunged by 18.3% to 643,637 in August, reversing an increase of 0.2% in the previous month, said the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association on Thursday.
In four leading markets in the union, car sales declined amid weakness in battery-operated vehicles.
Passenger car registration in Germany declined 27.8%, in France fell 24.3%, in Italy dropped 13.4%, and in Spain decreased 6.5%.
Battery electric car registration plunged 43.9% to 92,627 units, with total market share slipping to 14.4% from 21% in the previous year. Sales in Germany fell 68.8% and in France dropped 33.1%.
Sales of battery-operated electric vehicles declined for the fourth consecutive month in a row, after rising steadily nearly every month last year.
For the first eight months of 2024, passenger car registration increased 1.4% to 7.2 million units, after sales increased 4.5% in Spain and 3.8% in Italy but stagnated in France and Germany.
Europe Indexes and Yields
The DAX index increased by 1.5% to 18,986.06; the CAC-40 index rose by 2.0% to 7,593.55; and the FTSE 100 index added by 1.3% to 8,363.69.
The yield on 10-year German bonds edged higher to 2.19%, French bonds inched higher to 2.93%, the UK gilts edged up to 3.84%, and Italian bonds increased to 3.55%.
The euro edged up to $1.11; the British pound inched higher to $1.32; and the U.S. dollar weakened to 84.59 Swiss cents.
Brent crude increased $0.41 to $74.06 a barrel, and the Dutch TTF natural gas fell by €0.78 to €36.37 per MWh.
Europe Stock Movers
Next plc increased as much as 2% before easing to a decline of 0.1% to 10,325.0 pence, and the UK apparel retailer estimated an annual profit of £1 billion.
Ocado Group jumped 6.6% to 372.15 pence after the online grocery store operator and technology company reported strong fiscal third quarter results.
The retail joint venture between Ocado and Marks & Spencer saw an increase in revenue of 15.5% to £658 million for the 13 weeks to September 1.
The company said active customer base increased 10.3% to 1.06 million and average weekly orders rose 14.7% to 437,000.
The company said the number of items per order edged up 0.7% to 44, and the average value of the order held steady at £120.97.
The company revised its sales outlook to "low double-digit percentage growth" from its previous forecast of "mid-high single-digit growth" in sales in the current fiscal year.
Close Brothers declined 4.9% to 501.70 pence, and the company said it agreed to sell its wealth management unit, Close Brothers Asset Management, to a private equity firm.
Japan Stock Indexes Jumped 2% Following U.S. Rate Cut
Stock market indexes in Tokyo soared following the jumbo rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve, and the yen weakened.
The Nikkei 225 stock average and the Topix index jumped nearly 2.5% after the latest Federal Reserve policy decision.
The Federal Reserve lowered its key lending rate range by 50 basis points to between 4.75% and 5.0%, its first rate cut since March 20220.
In addition, the central bank also signaled additional rate cuts totaling as much as 50 basis points over the next two meetings this year.
But Fed Chair Jerome Powell stressed that this is not the beginning of a series of 50 basis point rate cuts.
While the larger rate cut was welcomed by investors, the move also raised concerns about the health of the U.S. economy and labor market conditions.
The super-sized rate cut lifted markets in Asia, and the Japanese yen weakened to 142.77 and the Chinese yuan gained 0.3% to 7.07 against the U.S. dollar.
The euro and the British pound gained 0.1% in trading to $1.12 and $1.32 following the Fed's move.
The Nikkei 225 stock average jumped as much as 2%, the CSI 300 index added 0.8%, the Hang Seng index advanced 1.6%, and the ASX 200 index inched higher by 0.3%.
Export-driven stocks were among the leading gainers in Tokyo's trading; investors shifted their attention to the Bank of Japan's rate decisions on Friday.
Japan Stock Movers
The Nikkei 225 Stock Average increased 2.4% to 37,260.42, and the Topix index added 2.3% to 2,624.53.
Toyota Motor jumped 5.4% to ¥2,618.50, Honda Motor advanced 4.1% to ¥1,555.0, and Nissan Motor edged higher 3.8% to ¥404.40.
Among major exporters, Sony Group gained 2.4% to ¥13,170.0, Canon advanced 1.8% to ¥4,753.0, and Panasonic increased 3.3% to ¥1,251.0.
Seven & I Holdings edged up 0.7% to ¥2,166.0, Isetan Mitsukoshi increased 2.1% to ¥2,169.0, Fast Retailing advanced 2.8% to ¥46,070.0, and Aeon Corp. gained 1% to ¥4,057.0.
Trading companies, also known as Sogo Shosha, also participated in Thursday's market rally.
Mitsui & Co. Ltd. jumped 3.6% to ¥2,933.0, Marubeni Corp. advanced 2.7% to ¥2,273.0, Mitsubishi Corp. increased 2.8% to ¥2,878.50, and Itochu shot up 4.4% to ¥7,655.0.
HSBC and BoC Pass On Smaller Rate Cut After HKMA Lowers Base Rate
Stocks in Hong Kong rebounded after investors returned from a holiday, and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority lowered its base rate, reflecting the move by the U.S. Federal Reserve.
The Hang Seng index jumped nearly 2% and the mainland-focused CSI 300 index advanced nearly 1%.
The U.S. Federal Reserve lowered its key lending rate for the first time since March, with an aggressive cut of 50 basis points to between 4.75% and 5.0%.
The Fed's latest move indicated that policymakers feel confident about the inflation trajectory towards the target rate of 2%.
However, most of the decline in inflation in 2024 reflects the weakening of crude oil prices and imported goods from Asia, which is struggling with manufacturing overcapacity.
The Hong Kong Monetary Authority lowered its base rate by 50 basis points to 5.25%, following the Fed's move to maintain the Hong Kong dollar's parity with the U.S. dollar.
Still, market indexes in China and Hong Kong are down in September amid a weak earnings growth outlook and the protracted property market crisis that shows no end in sight.
Moreover, the latest batch of economic data for August, from retail sales to fixed investment and industrial output, missed expectations set by economists.
China Stock Movers
The Hang Seng index soared 1.8% to 17,978.83, and the mainland-focused CSI 300 index gained 0.6% to 3,196.35.
Property stocks advanced for the second day in a row after the HKMA lowered its lending rate by half a point.
China Resources Land jumped 9.3% to HK $21.10, China Vanke gained 8.2% to HK $4.24, Longfor Group added 7.2% to HK $8.55, and Henderson Land added 2.2% to HK $24.85.
Tech stocks participated in the market rally in Hong Kong following the easing of interest rates because the lower rate increases the current value of the future earnings stream.
Alibaba Group added 3.4% to HK $85.65, Tencent Holdings advanced 2.4% to HK $389.0, and the Meituan jumped 3.7% to HK $133.30.
Banks were in focus after HSBC Bank and Bank of China lowered their prime lending rates by 25 basis points, leading the first decline in rates in Hong Kong since November 2019.
HSBC lowered its prime lending rate to 5.625% and lowered its savings rate for deposits that exceed HK $5,000 by 25 basis points to 0.625%.
Bank of China's Hong Kong operations also lowered its prime lending and savings rate by a similar amount.
BYD rose 0.5% to HK $244.0, Li Auto increased 4.3% to HK $82.30, and Xpeng edged up 0.4% to HK $35.65.
U.S. Movers: Darden Restaurants, Home Builders, SLB, Steelcase, Tech Stocks
Scott Peters
19 Sep, 2024
New York City
Home builders jumped after the Federal Reserve lowered rates by 50 basis points in the hopes that lower mortgage rates will spur demand for new homes.
Lennar Corp. jumped 0.9% to $190.29, NVR Homes gained 1.7% to $9,624.67, KB Home gained 1.9% to $88.31, Toll Brothers added 1.4% to $152.02, PulteGroup inched higher 0.6% to $141.88, and DR Horton added 0.9% to $195.97.
Chipmakers and artificial intelligence stocks rallied after lower interest rates spurred investors to return to high-growth stocks.
AMD increased 4.2% to $154.55, Apple gained 3% to $227.27, Alphabet increased 1% to $162.54, Microsoft advanced 1.5% to $437.12, and Nvidia jumped 4.5% to $118.41.
SLB increased 2.1% to $42.27 after the company announced a partnership with Nvidia to develop AI modes for subsurface exploration and operations and data management.
Steelcase declined 11% to $12.56 after the office furniture maker reported weaker-than-expected quarterly results.
Revenue in the second quarter stood at $855.8 million, and the company forecast a third-quarter revenue range between $785 million and $810 million, lower than the previous upper range of $812.1 million.
Darden Restaurants jumped 7.4% to $170.86, and the company announced weaker-than-expected quarterly results because of the weakness in its fine dining restaurants.
The parent company of Olive Garden reported revenue in the fiscal first quarter decreased 1% to $2.76 billion, net income rose to $207.2 million from $194.5 million, and diluted earnings per share advanced to $1.74 from $1.59 a year ago.
Same store sales at Olive Garden declined 2.9%, and the company said it is reviving its Never Ending Past Bowl later this month in the hopes of attracting more customers.
Despite the weakness in the current quarter, the company reiterated its full-year sales forecast between $11.8 billion and $11.9 billion and earnings per share from continuing operations between $9.40 and $9.60.
S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Russell 2000 Jump Between 1.5% and 2.5%
Barry Adams
19 Sep, 2024
New York City
Investors returned to add stock positions on Thursday after the Federal Reserve lowered rates for the first time in over four years.
The S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq Composite jumped more than 1.5% in the hopes that the Federal Reserve's efforts to engineer a so-called "soft landing" are likely to succeed, where the central bank manages to cool the economy and moderates inflation without causing a recession.
Investors, in a delayed reaction to the Fed's jumbo-sized rate cut of 50 basis points, bid up tech stocks, home builders, and small-cap names.
The Fed cut its fed funds rate to a range between 4.75% and 5.0% from the 5.25% to 5.50%, and the amount of rate cut surprised investors.
Initial jobless claims for the week ending on September 14 declined 12,000 to 219,000, the U.S. Department of Labor reported on Thursday.
Initial claims were the lowest since May 18, and continuing claims, which lag by a week, edged lower to 1.829 million.
U.S. Indexes and Treasury Yields
The S&P 500 index increased 1.6% to 5,708.29, the Nasdaq Composite rose 2.3% to 17,973.09, and the Russell 2000 index advanced 1.4% to 2,238.17.
The yield on 2-year Treasury notes edged lower to 3.63%, 10-year Treasury notes inched up to 3.76%, and 30-year Treasury bonds inched lower to 4.09%.
WTI crude oil decreased $0.76 to $71.63 a barrel, and natural gas prices edged down 3 cents to $2.25 a thermal unit.
Gold rose by $16.57 to $2,565.78 an ounce, and silver increased by $0.18 to $31.03.
The dollar index, which weighs the US currency against a basket of foreign currencies, edged higher to 100.95.
U.S. Stock Movers
Home builders jumped after the Federal Reserve lowered rates by 50 basis points in the hopes that lower mortgage rates will spur demand for new homes.
Lennar Corp. jumped 0.9% to $190.29, NVR Homes gained 1.7% to $9,624.67, KB Home gained 1.9% to $88.31, Toll Brothers added 1.4% to $152.02, PulteGroup inched higher 0.6% to $141.88, and DR Horton added 0.9% to $195.97.
Chipmakers and artificial intelligence stocks rallied after lower interest rates spurred investors to return to high-growth stocks.
AMD increased 4.2% to $154.55, Apple gained 3% to $227.27, Alphabet increased 1% to $162.54, Microsoft advanced 1.5% to $437.12, and Nvidia jumped 4.5% to $118.41.
SLB increased 2.1% to $42.27 after the company announced a partnership with Nvidia to develop AI modes for subsurface exploration and operations and data management.
Steelcase declined 11% to $12.56 after the office furniture maker reported weaker-than-expected quarterly results.
Revenue in the second quarter stood at $855.8 million, and the company forecast a third-quarter revenue range between $785 million and $810 million, lower than the previous upper range of $812.1 million.
Darden Restaurants jumped 7.4% to $170.86, and the company announced weaker-than-expected quarterly results because of the weakness in its fine dining restaurants.
The parent company of Olive Garden reported revenue in the fiscal first quarter decreased 1% to $2.76 billion, net income rose to $207.2 million from $194.5 million, and diluted earnings per share advanced to $1.74 from $1.59 a year ago.
Same store sales at Olive Garden declined 2.9%, and the company said it is reviving its Never Ending Past Bowl later this month in the hopes of attracting more customers.
Despite the weakness in the current quarter, the company reiterated its full-year sales forecast between $11.8 billion and $11.9 billion and earnings per share from continuing operations between $9.40 and $9.60.
Europe Movers: Close Brothers, Next plc, Ocado Group
Inga Muller
19 Sep, 2024
Frankfurt
European markets advanced after the Federal Reserve cut its lending rate range by 50 basis points.
The Bank of England and the Norges Bank held steady their interest rate range.
The DAX index increased by 1.5% to 18,986.06; the CAC-40 index rose by 2.0% to 7,593.55; and the FTSE 100 index added by 1.3% to 8,363.69.
The yield on 10-year German bonds edged higher to 2.19%, French bonds inched higher to 2.93%, the UK gilts edged up to 3.84%, and Italian bonds increased to 3.55%.
Next plc increased as much as 2% before easing to a decline of 0.1% to 10,325.0 pence, and the UK apparel retailer estimated an annual profit of £1 billion.
Ocado Group jumped 6.6% to 372.15 pence after the online grocery store operator and technology company reported strong fiscal third quarter results.
The retail joint venture between Ocado and Marks & Spencer saw an increase in revenue of 15.5% to £658 million for the 13 weeks to September 1.
The company said active customer base increased 10.3% to 1.06 million and average weekly orders rose 14.7% to 437,000.
The company said the number of items per order edged up 0.7% to 44, and the average value of the order held steady at £120.97.
The company revised its sales outlook to "low double-digit percentage growth" from its previous forecast of "mid-high single-digit growth" in sales in the current fiscal year.
Close Brothers declined 4.9% to 501.70 pence, and the company said it agreed to sell its wealth management unit, Close Brothers Asset Management, to a private equity firm.
BoE and Norges Bank Held Rates Steady, Passenger Car Registration Dropped 18% In August
Bridgette Randall
19 Sep, 2024
London
European stock market indexes advanced, and investors reviewed the latest monetary policy decisions in the UK and Norway.
Benchmark indexes in London, Paris, and Frankfurt traded higher after the U.S. Federal Reserve cut its main lending rate range by 50 basis points and signaled possible rate cuts in the year.
The Bank of England held its main financing rate at 5.0%, as widely expected by investors.
The central bank in the UK held rates steady after lowering rates by 25 basis points for the first time in over four years.
The Monetary Policy Committee voted 8-1 to keep the bank rate at 5.0%, with one member dissenting to trim the rate by 0.25%.
In a unanimous vote, the committee voted to lower the purchase of government bonds by £100 billion over the next 12 months to £558 billion.
The Norges Bank held steady its policy rate at a sixteen-year high of 4.5%, and signaled rates are likely to remain unrevised for the remainder of the year.
The Norges Bank left its rate unrevised for the sixth consecutive meeting in September.
EU passenger Car Registration Plunged 18% In August
Passenger car registration in the European Union plunged by 18.3% to 643,637 in August, reversing an increase of 0.2% in the previous month, said the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association on Thursday.
In four leading markets in the union, car sales declined amid weakness in battery-operated vehicles.
Passenger car registration in Germany declined 27.8%, in France fell 24.3%, in Italy dropped 13.4%, and in Spain decreased 6.5%.
Battery electric car registration plunged 43.9% to 92,627 units, with total market share slipping to 14.4% from 21% in the previous year. Sales in Germany fell 68.8% and in France dropped 33.1%.
Sales of battery-operated electric vehicles declined for the fourth consecutive month in a row, after rising steadily nearly every month last year.
For the first eight months of 2024, passenger car registration increased 1.4% to 7.2 million units, after sales increased 4.5% in Spain and 3.8% in Italy but stagnated in France and Germany.
Europe Indexes and Yields
The DAX index increased by 1.5% to 18,986.06; the CAC-40 index rose by 2.0% to 7,593.55; and the FTSE 100 index added by 1.3% to 8,363.69.
The yield on 10-year German bonds edged higher to 2.19%, French bonds inched higher to 2.93%, the UK gilts edged up to 3.84%, and Italian bonds increased to 3.55%.
The euro edged up to $1.11; the British pound inched higher to $1.32; and the U.S. dollar weakened to 84.59 Swiss cents.
Brent crude increased $0.41 to $74.06 a barrel, and the Dutch TTF natural gas fell by €0.78 to €36.37 per MWh.
Europe Stock Movers
Next plc increased as much as 2% before easing to a decline of 0.1% to 10,325.0 pence, and the UK apparel retailer estimated an annual profit of £1 billion.
Ocado Group jumped 6.6% to 372.15 pence after the online grocery store operator and technology company reported strong fiscal third quarter results.
The retail joint venture between Ocado and Marks & Spencer saw an increase in revenue of 15.5% to £658 million for the 13 weeks to September 1.
The company said active customer base increased 10.3% to 1.06 million and average weekly orders rose 14.7% to 437,000.
The company said the number of items per order edged up 0.7% to 44, and the average value of the order held steady at £120.97.
The company revised its sales outlook to "low double-digit percentage growth" from its previous forecast of "mid-high single-digit growth" in sales in the current fiscal year.
Close Brothers declined 4.9% to 501.70 pence, and the company said it agreed to sell its wealth management unit, Close Brothers Asset Management, to a private equity firm.
Japan Stock Indexes Jumped 2% Following U.S. Rate Cut
Akira Ito
19 Sep, 2024
Tokyo
Stock market indexes in Tokyo soared following the jumbo rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve, and the yen weakened.
The Nikkei 225 stock average and the Topix index jumped nearly 2.5% after the latest Federal Reserve policy decision.
The Federal Reserve lowered its key lending rate range by 50 basis points to between 4.75% and 5.0%, its first rate cut since March 20220.
In addition, the central bank also signaled additional rate cuts totaling as much as 50 basis points over the next two meetings this year.
But Fed Chair Jerome Powell stressed that this is not the beginning of a series of 50 basis point rate cuts.
While the larger rate cut was welcomed by investors, the move also raised concerns about the health of the U.S. economy and labor market conditions.
The super-sized rate cut lifted markets in Asia, and the Japanese yen weakened to 142.77 and the Chinese yuan gained 0.3% to 7.07 against the U.S. dollar.
The euro and the British pound gained 0.1% in trading to $1.12 and $1.32 following the Fed's move.
The Nikkei 225 stock average jumped as much as 2%, the CSI 300 index added 0.8%, the Hang Seng index advanced 1.6%, and the ASX 200 index inched higher by 0.3%.
Export-driven stocks were among the leading gainers in Tokyo's trading; investors shifted their attention to the Bank of Japan's rate decisions on Friday.
Japan Stock Movers
The Nikkei 225 Stock Average increased 2.4% to 37,260.42, and the Topix index added 2.3% to 2,624.53.
Toyota Motor jumped 5.4% to ¥2,618.50, Honda Motor advanced 4.1% to ¥1,555.0, and Nissan Motor edged higher 3.8% to ¥404.40.
Among major exporters, Sony Group gained 2.4% to ¥13,170.0, Canon advanced 1.8% to ¥4,753.0, and Panasonic increased 3.3% to ¥1,251.0.
Seven & I Holdings edged up 0.7% to ¥2,166.0, Isetan Mitsukoshi increased 2.1% to ¥2,169.0, Fast Retailing advanced 2.8% to ¥46,070.0, and Aeon Corp. gained 1% to ¥4,057.0.
Trading companies, also known as Sogo Shosha, also participated in Thursday's market rally.
Mitsui & Co. Ltd. jumped 3.6% to ¥2,933.0, Marubeni Corp. advanced 2.7% to ¥2,273.0, Mitsubishi Corp. increased 2.8% to ¥2,878.50, and Itochu shot up 4.4% to ¥7,655.0.
HSBC and BoC Pass On Smaller Rate Cut After HKMA Lowers Base Rate by 50 Basis Points
Li Chen
19 Sep, 2024
Hong Kong
Stocks in Hong Kong rebounded after investors returned from a holiday, and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority lowered its base rate, reflecting the move by the U.S. Federal Reserve.
The Hang Seng index jumped nearly 2% and the mainland-focused CSI 300 index advanced nearly 1%.
The U.S. Federal Reserve lowered its key lending rate for the first time since March, with an aggressive cut of 50 basis points to between 4.75% and 5.0%.
The Fed's latest move indicated that policymakers feel confident about the inflation trajectory towards the target rate of 2%.
However, most of the decline in inflation in 2024 reflects the weakening of crude oil prices and imported goods from Asia, which is struggling with manufacturing overcapacity.
The Hong Kong Monetary Authority lowered its base rate by 50 basis points to 5.25%, following the Fed's move to maintain the Hong Kong dollar's parity with the U.S. dollar.
Still, market indexes in China and Hong Kong are down in September amid a weak earnings growth outlook and the protracted property market crisis that shows no end in sight.
Moreover, the latest batch of economic data for August, from retail sales to fixed investment and industrial output, missed expectations set by economists.
China Stock Movers
The Hang Seng index soared 1.8% to 17,978.83, and the mainland-focused CSI 300 index gained 0.6% to 3,196.35.
Property stocks advanced for the second day in a row after the HKMA lowered its lending rate by half a point.
China Resources Land jumped 9.3% to HK $21.10, China Vanke gained 8.2% to HK $4.24, Longfor Group added 7.2% to HK $8.55, and Henderson Land added 2.2% to HK $24.85.
Tech stocks participated in the market rally in Hong Kong following the easing of interest rates because the lower rate increases the current value of the future earnings stream.
Alibaba Group added 3.4% to HK $85.65, Tencent Holdings advanced 2.4% to HK $389.0, and the Meituan jumped 3.7% to HK $133.30.
Banks were in focus after HSBC Bank and Bank of China lowered their prime lending rates by 25 basis points, leading the first decline in rates in Hong Kong since November 2019.
HSBC lowered its prime lending rate to 5.625% and lowered its savings rate for deposits that exceed HK $5,000 by 25 basis points to 0.625%.
Bank of China's Hong Kong operations also lowered its prime lending and savings rate by a similar amount.
BYD rose 0.5% to HK $244.0, Li Auto increased 4.3% to HK $82.30, and Xpeng edged up 0.4% to HK $35.65.
India Movers: Aditya Birla Capital, Aurobindo Pharma, IT Stocks, Nazara Technologies, NTPC, Power Finance
Arun Goswami
19 Sep, 2024
Mumbai
India indexes advanced and the rupee edged higher after the U.S. Federal Reserve lowered its key lending rate by 50 basis points.
India's net direct tax collection increased 16% in the first six months.
Information technology stocks rebounded following the jumbo rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve.
Infosys advanced 1.1%, Tata Consultancy increased 1%, Mphasis gained 0.2%, and Persistent Systems soared 2.9%.
Nazara Technologies decreased 2.6% to ₹1,058.0, and the company's board approved raising as much as₹900 crore through a preferential issue.
The company increased its stake in Absolute Sports, the parent company of Sportskeeda, to 91%.
Aurobindo Pharma gained 2.2% to₹1,555.60, and the company said it plans to acquire the remaining 49% stake in GLS Pharma for ₹22.5 crore before the year's end.
NTPC rose 3.6% to ₹429.20, and the company filed with the SEBI to list its green energy unit, NTPC Green Energy, and raise as much as ₹10,000 crore.
Aditya Birla Capital rose 2.4% to ₹232.68, and the Reserve Bank of India approved the company's plan to merge with Aditya Birla Finance.
Power Finance declined 1.7% to ₹483.60, and the company paid a total of ₹4,455 crore in the fiscal year 2024, including ₹462 crore to the central government.
Fed Delivers First Rate Cut In Four Years and Signals Additional Possible Cuts Over Next Two Meetings
Brian Turner
18 Sep, 2024
Washington, D.C.
The Federal Reserve lowered its key lending rate by 50 basis points, responding to the softening labor market and weakening inflation.
The rate-setting committee lowered the fed funds rate range to between 4.75% and 5.0%.
The committee also estimated that an additional 50 basis points are likely over the next two meetings before the end of the year, indicating that policymakers believe inflation has been tamed.
“The Committee has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2 percent and judges that the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals are roughly in balance,” noted the statement released by the Federal Open Market Committee.
The Federal Reserve lowered rates for the first time since March 2020 after holding rates at an elevated level for more than a year.
U.S. Housing Starts and Completions Rebounded In August
Brian Turner
18 Sep, 2024
Washington, D.C.
Housing starts and completions in August rebounded sharply, according to the latest data released by the U.S. Census Bureau.
Seasonally adjusted housing starts rose 9.6% from the previous month to an annual rate of 1.356 million, and July starts were revised higher to 1.236 million.
Housing starts rose 3.9% from a year ago, driven by the increase in the South and in the West.
Seasonally adjusted building permits increased 4.9% from the previous month to 1.475 million, and July permits were revised to 1.406 million.
On an annual basis, building permits decreased 6.5% from an annual rate of 1.578 million in the month a year ago.
Housing completions in August rose 9.2% from the previous month to 1.788 million, and July completions were revised to 1.637 million.
On an annual basis, housing completions surged 30.2% from an annual rate of 1.373 million in the month a year ago.
Pandemic Era Stimulus Withdrawal Timetable Matters More Than Fed's Rate Policy and Projections
Alexander Garcia
18 Sep, 2024
Miami
Stock market indexes traded in a tight range, and the yield on 10-year Treasury notes edged higher ahead of the Fed's rate decisions later this afternoon.
The S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq Composite rebounded from morning weakness as investors awaited the Fed's monetary policy decisions and economic projections at the end of its 2-day meeting.
The Federal Reserve is set to announce its decisions at 2:00 p.m. ET, and investors are widely anticipating a rate cut of at least 25 basis points.
Despite the widespread enthusiasm for a possible rate cut, inflation is still strong and deeply entrenched in the economy.
Moreover, the Fed's eleven rate cuts over the last two years have moderated the inflation, thanks largely to the decline in crude oil prices.
Overall inflation is largely driven by the increases in prices in fuel, goods, services, and housing.
The Fed's rate-increase campaign has failed to stop the ongoing rise in home prices and elevated service inflation.
The overall inflation has moderated largely because of the decline in prices of crude oil, and more production has shifted to Asia to take advantage of cheaper labor and operating costs.
The Fed's rate hikes have little influence on the goods and fuel economy, which are largely driven by demand and supply forces and technological advances.
The U.S. inflation is likely to stay elevated because of the surge in money supply by the Federal Reserve during the pandemic era, and policymakers are still reluctant to withdraw the outsized stimulus.
About 63% of families own their homes, buffeting these families from the home price inflation over the last five years.
For now, inflation experienced by home owners is generally lower than by home renters because many owners are still carrying mortgage loans with interest rates of less than 3%, far lower than the current rate above 5%.
In fact, most home owners are beneficiaries of the housing price inflation and continue to consume at a near or above pre-pandemic level, taking advantage of the wealth effect.
Lowering the interest rate is only going to feed into housing price inflation and drive demand for goods and services higher, which would further stoke inflationary forces.
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve has made little progress in withdrawing the excess stimulus injected into the economy, which is forcing investors to increase exposure to riskier assets.
U.S. Housing Starts and Completions Rebounded In August
Housing starts and completions in August rebounded sharply, according to the latest data released by the U.S. Census Bureau.
Seasonally adjusted housing starts rose 9.6% from the previous month to an annual rate of 1.356 million, and July starts were revised higher to 1.236 million.
Housing starts rose 3.9% from a year ago, driven by the increase in the South and in the West.
Seasonally adjusted building permits increased 4.9% from the previous month to 1.475 million, and July permits were revised to 1.406 million.
On an annual basis, building permits decreased 6.5% from an annual rate of 1.578 million in the month a year ago.
Housing completions in August rose 9.2% from the previous month to 1.788 million, and July completions were revised to 1.637 million.
On an annual basis, housing completions surged 30.2% from an annual rate of 1.373 million in the month a year ago.
U.S. Indexes and Treasury Yields
The S&P 500 index decreased 0.1% to 5,627.87, the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.2% to 17,598.43, and the Russell 2000 index fell 0.3% to 2,199.19.
The yield on 2-year Treasury notes edged higher to 3.64%, 10-year Treasury notes inched up to 3.68%, and 30-year Treasury bonds inched lower to 3.99%.
WTI crude oil decreased $0.65 to $70.54 a barrel, and natural gas prices edged up 4 cents to $2.36 a thermal unit.
Gold fell by $0.79 to $2,574.91 an ounce, and silver increased by $0.11 to $30.59.
The dollar index, which weighs the US currency against a basket of foreign currencies, edged higher to 100.85.
U.S. Stock Movers
Casella Waste Systems declined 4.5% to $101.50 after the recycling company announced its plans to raise $400 million in an equity offering of Class A common stock.
General Mills declined 0.8% to $73.90 after the food product maker reported that higher input costs negatively impacted its margins.
Net revenue in the fiscal first quarter ending on August 25 decreased 1% to $4.8 billion from $4.9 billion, net income dropped 14% to $579.9 million from $673.5 million, and diluted earnings per share fell 10% to $1.03 from $1.14 a year ago.
The company reaffirmed its fiscal year estimates and said adjusted diluted earnings per share are expected to range between a decrease of 2% and flat in constant currency.
Intuitive Machines soared 47% to $7.91 after the company was awarded a contract by NASA that could be worth up to $4.8 billion.
European Markets Lacked Direction, UK Inflation Held Steady at 2.2%
European markets traded in a tight range as investors reviewed the latest inflation updates and awaited monetary policy decisions in the U.S., the U.K., Norway, and Japan.
Benchmark indexes in Paris, London, and Frankfurt hovered around the flatline with a downward bias, and investors debated the growth outlook in the currency union amid weak consumer sentiment.
The Euro Area inflation was confirmed at 2.2% in August, lower than 2.6% in July, Eurostat confirmed in a report released on Wednesday.
In addition, the U.K. consumer price inflation held steady at 2.2% in August, matching the rate in the previous month, the Office for National Statistics announced on Wednesday.
However, service inflation accelerated to 5.6% from 5.2% in the previous month, driven in part by a surge in airfares.
On a monthly basis, consumer price inflation rose 0.3% following a decline of 0.2% in the previous month.
The Federal Reserve is scheduled to announce its rate decisions and economic projections later in the day, and investors are hoping that the central bank will announce its first rate of at least 25 basis points in over four years.
The Bank of England and the Norges Bank are set to hold rates stead at the end of their policy meetings on Thursday.
Europe Indexes and Yields
The DAX index decreased by 0.1% to 18,720.15; the CAC-40 index fell by 0.6% to 7,444.90; and the FTSE 100 index declined by 0.8% to 8,253.68.
The yield on 10-year German bonds edged lower to 2.16%, French bonds inched lower to 2.89%, the UK gilts edged up to 3.84%, and Italian bonds increased to 3.54%.
The euro edged up to $1.11; the British pound inched higher to $1.32; and the U.S. dollar weakened to 84.30 Swiss cents.
Brent crude decreased $0.52 to $73.23 a barrel, and the Dutch TTF natural gas rose by €0.10 to €35.68 per MWh.
Europe Stock Movers
Davide Campari Milano NV declined 5.3% to €7.16 after the Italian spirit maker's chief executive, Matteo Fantacchiotti, resigned after being in the office only five months.
Reckitt Benckiser increased 1.3% to 4,671.0 after media reports suggested that the company is looking to sell its homecare business.
Legal & General Group decreased 2.5% to 222.70 pence, and the UK-based financial services company agreed to sell home builder Cala Group for £1.35 billion.
Nordex SE gained 1.9% to €15.18, and the German wind turbine maker said it won an order for 10 turbines from the wind and solar park developer Umweltgerechte Kraftanlagen GmbH & Co. KG.
The company did not disclose the size of the order.
Ubisoft Entertainment advanced 5.3% to €12.54 after BMO Capital Markets raised its rating on the stock to "outperform" from "market perform."
The brokerage firm said that the company is trading at a cheap valuation of 2.7 times its operating earnings, compared to a 10-year average multiple of 10.5.
The company is also on track to complete its Є200 million cost savings, of which Є150 million has already been achieved.
BMO lowered its price target to Є22 from Є27, and despite the tart price adjustment, the brokerage firm said that the stock is still trading at a substantial discount to its historic average.
Tokyo Stocks Lose Early Momentum, Japan's Trade Deficit Shrank In August
Benchmark indexes in Tokyo lacked direction and lost early morning momentum after Japan's exports and import growth fell short of market expectations.
The Nikkei 225 average edged up a fraction, and the wider Topix index traded around the flatline amid weak market sentiment.
The yen traded at 141.55 against the U.S. dollar in Tokyo as investors awaited the rate decisions from the U.S. Federal Reserve later in the day.
Japan's exports in August increased 5.6% to 8.4 trillion yen, or $59.2 billion, and slowed sharply from a 10.2% increase in the previous month, the Ministry of Finance reported Wednesday.
The exports struggled to increase after several automakers shut down manufacturing plants ahead of the typhoon, denting overall exports because of weather-related issues.
Exports to the U.S. decreased for the first time in three years after the shipment of automobiles, pharmaceuticals, and construction machinery struggled to advance.
However, shipment of semiconductor equipment soared 40% from a year ago.
Shipments to Europe fell 8.1%, but exports to mainland China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan increased 5.2%, 27.3%, and 21.6%, respectively.
Exports to India soared 26.6% and to Russia advanced 17.9%.
Japan's imports in August increased 2.3% to 9.1 trillion yen, widening its trade deficit to 695.3 billion yen, or $4.9 billion.
Japan recorded a trade deficit for the second month in a row, but the overall deficit shrank 26% from a year ago, supported by the rise in shipment of chip-making equipment, electronic components, and semiconductors.
In other economic news, Japan's core machinery orders, which exclude volatile and large-ticket ships and electric power plants, decreased 0.1% from the previous month in July to 874.9 billion yen.
On an annual basis, private sector core orders increased 8.7% after falling 1.7% in June, according to a report released by the Cabinet Office on Wednesday.
Japan Stock Movers
The Nikkei 225 Stock Average increased 0.2% to 36,287.98, and the Topix index decreased 0.1% to 2,553.98.
Tech stocks were volatile after market indexes lost early gains and turned negative.
Tokyo Electron increased 0.1% to¥22,465.0, Advantest Corp. gained 1.1% to ¥6,125.0, and Screen Holdings added 1.8% to ¥9,746.0.
Retailers traded mixed after the yen hovered near its 2024 high.
Seven & I decreased 0.3% to ¥2,151.50, Fast Retailing increased 1.4% to ¥44,820.0, and Isetan Mitsukoshi fell 3.2% to ¥2,125.0.
Financial services providers edged higher ahead of the Bank of Japan's rate decisions on Friday.
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial decreased 0.1% to ¥1,417.50, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial gained 0.5% to ¥8,795.0, and Mizuho Financial increased 0.6% to ¥2,764.50.
China Indexes Hover at Five-Year Low After Investors Return from Mid-Autumn Holidays
Stocks in Shanghai and Shenzhen struggled to regain their footings after investors returned from a 4-day weekend.
Market sentiment was cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions later in the day, and investors are hoping that the central bank will deliver a widely expected rate cut of at least 25 basis points.
China's investors reassessed the latest batch of mixed economic data released over the weekend.
Retail sales, fixed investment, and industrial output fell short of market expectations, and the property market deepened as prices for new and existing home sales declined in August.
Moreover, investors are worried that the elevated urban jobless rate will contribute to consumer confidence weakness in the months ahead.
The CSI 300 index tested the lows reached in January 2019, as investor confidence remained weak after the latest economic data signaled weak earnings growth in the second half.
Stock market indexes are likely to test the lows reached in February 2016, as investors stay on the sidelines amid weakening consumer confidence and sharply decelerating earnings growth.
China Stock Movers
Mainland-focused CSI 300 index added 0.2% to 3,164.82 and traded near a five-year low, and financial markets in Hong Kong are closed for a holiday.
The rebound in crude oil prices lifted stocks of energy producers and coal miners.
Shaanxi Coal Industry increased 2.7% to ¥22.87, CNOOC added 0.2% to ¥26.24, and PetroChina added 0.4% to ¥7.94.
Consumer-focused stocks struggled to advance in Wednesday's trading.
Midea Group added 2.3% to ¥64.97, Kweichow Moutai dropped 2.4% to ¥1,272.01, and Wens Foodstuff Group fell 3.1% to ¥15.28.