November U.S. Retail Sales Declined

Dec 15, 2022
Brian Turner
Retail and food services sales adjusted for seasonal and calendar factors but unadjusted for prices on a monthly basis decline in November after a strong increase in October.

Industrial production declined in November after weakness in manufacturing and mining overwhelmed the increase in utility output.

Weekly new jobless claims dropped to a 2-month low and the insured unemployment rate was 1.2%, unchanged from the previous week's unrevised rate.

The Federal Reserve lifted its lending rate by 50 basis points and held out for more rate hikes in future in its quest to bring down inflation to 2.0%.

Consumer inflation slowed in November but the rising cost of shelter overwhelmed the decline in energy prices. Core inflation excluding food and energy also eased.

The U.S. government said budget expenses and deficit soared to record highs for the month on higher medicate and education costs.

Wholesale Prices Rise 0.3% In November

Dec 9, 2022
Brian Turner
The Wholesale Price Index increase was driven by higher prices for services and the monthly increase in prices matched the rates in October and September.



U.S. International trade deficit expanded after imports rose faster than exports in October.

New Goods Orders In October Accelerate

Dec 5, 2022
Brian Turner
New orders accelerated in October and unfilled orders continued to expand every month for more than two years.

Leisure & hospitality, government and healthcare job additions led the November job gains. Hourly wage rates rose 5.1% over the last twelve months and the unemployment rate held at 3.7%.

Personal income and disposable personal income rose 0.7% and personal consumption expenditures increased 0.8% in October.

Weekly Jobless Claims Declined

Dec 1, 2022
Brian Turner
Initial jobless claims for the week ending November 26 were 225,000, a decline of 16,000 from the previous week's revised level.

Despite multiple rate increases in 2022, consumer price inflation, the personal consumption expenditure and core PCE are still elevated and stubbornly high. The Fed is likely to moderate future rate increases but higher rates are likely to prevail longer.

Home Price Growth Slows

Nov 29, 2022
Brian Turner
Home prices are still rising but at a slower pace across the U.S. Home prices in Miami, Tampa and Charlotte are still growing in double digits.



FOMC Minutes of Meeting

Nov 23, 2022
Brian Turner
The latest statement from the policymakers suggested more support for smaller rate hikes but also a need to keep lifting rates higher and sufficiently restrictive for the economy.