Market Updates

Tech Rally Lifts Nasdaq 1%

123jump.com Staff
14 Jan, 2008
New York City

    U.S. market averages traded higher after a rally in tech stocks sparked after IBM reported fourth quarter earnings. Nasdaq increased 1% or 25.25 to 2,465.42 and led the other indexes. Sears plunged as much as 10% after it warned that the fourth quarters earnings may be 51% lower. Same store sales in the nine week period declined by 2.4%. Other retail stocks fell in sympathy. Gold increased $12 to $909 and oil edged 2% higher lifting metals and energy companies.

[R]12:00PM New York – U.S. market averages jumped higher on higher earnings from IBM.[/R]

U.S. stocks moved in the higher territory after better than expected earnings from IBM. Market managed to overcome earnings warning from Sears Holdings as retail stocks fell further.

Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 113.40 to 12,722.14, Nasdaq increased 25.25 to 2,465.42, and S&P 500 added 9.62 to 1,410.88.

IBM ((IBM)) jumped $6.03 to $103.70 after it reported sales increase of 10% and earnings rise of 24% in the fiscal fourth quarter.

Tech stocks rallied on the IBM earnings news.

Intel ((INTC)) added 85 cents to $22.85, Cisco increased 37 cents to $26.25, Microsoft edged 27 cents higher to $34.16, and Hewlett Packard advanced $1.08 to $46.08.

Sears Holdings ((SHLD)) declined $6.17 to $90.01 after it issued fourth quarter earnings guidance sharply lower than the previous estimate. The earnings are likely to decline as much as 51%. Same-store sales for the nine-week period ending on January 5, 2007 declined 2.4%.

Retailers took another dive after the earnings warnings from Sears Holdings.

Apple Inc ((AAPL)) added 3.75 to $176.39 after rising as high as $178.24 ahead of the Macworld conference in San Francisco. Apple in the past has used the gathering to release new products.

Harmon International ((HAR)) plunged 33% or $22.80 to $46.17 after the company lowered its earnings forecast for the fiscal 2008 between $3.00 and $3.10. In the press release the company said, “The change in guidance was prompted primarily by a major shift in the market for portable navigation devices. In recent months this sector has experienced significant pricing pressure which is affecting the entire industry.”

Gold increased $12.10 to $909.80 for an ounce and crude oil on New York Mercantile Exchange increased $1.21 to $93.90.

Newmont Mining ((NEM)) gained $1.77 to $56.50, Barrick Gold ((ABX)) gained 58 cents to $51.78, Cleveland-Cliffs Inc ((CLF)) jumped $5.20 to $94.54, and Great Northern Iron Ore ((GNI)) added $3.49 to $124.00.

Dollar fell to a record low against the euro to $1.4876 after the Fed Chairman Bernanke speech was interpreted by the currency traders as a possible interest rate reduction at the next meeting.


[R]11:00AM New York - Sears Holdings Corp stock plunges 10% after company cut fourth quarter earnings guidance.[/R]

Sears Holdings Corp ((SHLD)) warned fourth quarter earnings may fall, as much, as 51% after reporting sales fell sharply at two of its units late last year.

At Sears, same-store sales, or sales at stores open at least a year, slid 2.4% for the nine weeks to January 5, 2008.The drop reflected a reduction in home appliances sales, which Sears Holdings attributed to the slowing housing market and increased competition.

Kmart reported a decline of 4.2%. Total domestic comparable stores sales dropped 3.5% during the review period.

The company expects fourth quarter to February 2, 2008 net earnings in the range of $350 million and $470 million. This will translate into per share earnings of between $2.59 and $3.48.

Sears reported a profit of $820 million, or $5.33 per share in the year ago quarter.

Analysts polled by Thomson Financial predicted fourth-quarter earnings of $4.43 per share and a full-year profit of $6.64 per share.

Shares of Sears plunged 10.1% or $9.67 to $85.59 in pre-market trading Monday but recovered in the morning to $89.60.

In the past 52 weeks, the stock has traded in the range $90.80 to $195.18. Financial analysts surveyed by Thomson had one-year price target of $131.40 before the the earnings warning.

For the fiscal 2008, Sears estimated profit between $744 million and $864 million and earnings are estimated between $5.13 and $5.96 per share.

Domestic merchandise inventory is expected to fall below 2007 position of $9.2 billion despite a $160 million inventory increase at Kmart''s pharmacy operations.

Excluding Sears Canada, the company expects to close the year with positive cash flow of $1 billion or more.

Sales fell across the board, said the company, with higher declines in the Sears apparel and tools segments, and the Kmart seasonal units.

Sears said that the slow-down in sales was due to competition and added economic pressures on consumers as home prices fell include the housing market problems, falling employment rates and other consumer credit worries, Sears said.

Gross margin fell 200 basis points, as a result of holiday promotions, markdowns and higher sales from the home electronics unit that has a lower margin rate.

In the ten weeks to January 11, 2008 Sears spent $513 million buying back 4.9 million ordinary shares. The company is holding $223 million for additional share buybacks.

Sears joins a growing list of several firms that have warned of weaker profits as consumer spending slows on rising food and energy costs and worries related to housing market grows. Most apparel retailers and department store stocks have fallen nearly 40% or more in the last six months of trading.


[R]9:00AM New York – IBM rose in the pre-market trading on higher than expected earnings.[/R]

IBM ((IBM)) stock jumped $10.34 in the pre-market trading after it reported better than expected revenue and earnings in the fourth quarter.

Fourth quarter 2007 revenue rose 10% to $28.9 billion and earnings per share increased 24% to $2.80 from a year ago.

For the year 2007 fully diluted earnings per share of $7.18 an increase of 18% compared to $6.06 in the year 2006 and revenue jumped in the period 8% to $98.8 billion. Revenue on constant currency rose 4%.

“The broad scope of IBM’s global business --- led by strong operational performance in Asia, Europe and emerging countries --- drove these outstanding results,” said Samuel J. Palmisano, IBM chairman, president and chief executive officer.

[R]6:00AM New York, 6:00PM Hong Kong – Honk Kong Stocks fell after tracking the losses in the U.S. markets on Friday.[/R]

Stocks in Hong Kong closed lower after American Express and Capital One increased reserves and several retailers reported lower than estimated same sales growth during the holiday period.

The benchmark Hang Seng Index dropped 1.48% or 398.88 at 26,468.13, while the China Enterprises index of H shares, or Hong Kong-listed shares in mainland companies, plunged 2.23% at 15,480.10.

Daily turnover on main-board was HK$109.7 billion compared to HK$128.7 billion on January 11.

Dow Jones Newswires reported director-general of fiscal finance at the National Development and Reform Commission Xu Lin said China has set a preliminary target of 8% for economic growth this year, adding that government is also planning to keep increases in consumer price index at 4.6%.

Final targets will be announced at the National People’s Congress meeting in March. China recorded CPI inflation of about 5% in 2007.

Bloomberg news reported today that China’s Vice Finance Minister Li Yong said yesterday in Beijing that the government plans efficiently to coordinate fiscal and monetary policies this year to improve trade surplus and mop up excess liquidity.

China’s government is trying to cool economic growth that soared 11% last year. Trade surplus narrowed to $22.7 billion in December from $26.2 billion in November but the annual trade surplus surged 48% in 2007 to $262 billion.

The Standards news reported today that Invesco chief economist John Greenwood said yesterday that currency appreciation is not an effective measure to alleviate inflationary pressure in the long-term as it will invite more speculation activity.

Property companies rose on increased speculation that the U.S. will cut its benchmark interest rate after American Express Company and Tiffany & Company lowered earnings forecasts.

The city''s bourse operator Hong Kong Exchanges fell 6.1% on a sell-off sparked by investor fears of a weakening market.

Shipping lines fell after the Dry Baltic Index, which gauges freight charges, fell to a 10- month low by 4.6% last week. China COSCO slumped 8.3% to HK$20.45, Pacific Basin declined 6.84% to HK$9.95 and Sinotrans Shipping HK edged lower 5.28% to HK$5.38.

However, Xiamen Port climbed 16.2% to HK$2.51 after the Nationalist Party''s win in Taiwan elections boosted prospects of growing trade between China and Taiwan.

China Mobile fell after the company’s Hong Kong based spokeswoman Rainie Lei said that the company has discontinued talks with Apple Incorporated to launch the iPhones in China.

According to Sina.com Web site, the talks fell apart after Apple demanded 20% to 30% of the fees to provide data services to iPhone users. China Mobile slipped 2.76% to HK$130.20 on the news. China Unicom fell 3.43% to HK$18.04.

Foxconn posted the biggest decline among blue chip stocks plummeting 6.13% to HK$14.08.

Energy stocks also declined after crude oil prices for February delivery fell 1.1% to $92.69. Sinopec Corp shed 4.77% to HK$9.98 at the close of trade.

Retailer Esprit Holdings closed down 5.26% to HK$90.95 on fears that a declining consumer spending in the U.S. will hurt earnings.

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