Market Updates

Economic Data Lead Market to Mixed Opening

Elena
18 Jan, 2007
New York City

    U.S. stock futures traded mixed Thursday, as an increase in consumer inflation and weakness in Apple shares because of disappointing Q2 outlook, offset stronger-than-expected housing data and another drop in jobless claims. The U.S. Labor Department said its consumer price index rose 0.5% in December, while core CPI increased 0.2%. Housing starts rose 4.5% in December to 1.64 million annualized units, above the 1.57 million expected by economists.

[R]9:00AM Market futures were lackluster, reflecting mixed economic data and Apple outlook.[/R]
U.S. stock futures traded mixed Thursday, as an increase in consumer inflation and weakness in Apple shares because of disappointing Q2 outlook, offset stronger-than-expected housing data and another drop in jobless claims. The U.S. Labor Department said its consumer price index rose 0.5% in December, while core CPI increased 0.2%. Housing starts rose 4.5% in December to 1.64 million annualized units, above the 1.57 million expected by economists. According to another report, initial jobless claims fell to 290,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 298,000. Analysts expected jobless claims to rise to 315,000.

On the corporate news front, Apple Inc. ((AAPL)) reported soaring Q1 profit of 78%, well above Wall Street expectations, boosted by record sales of its iPod media players. Merrill Lynch ((MER)) rose 0.9% ahead of the open after the brokerage giant said Q4 earnings rose 68%, lifted by stronger acquisition advisory fees and gains from its private equity business. The company posted earnings of 2.41 per share, sharply up from $1.41 per share last year, exceeding analyst forecasts. The brokerage also raised its quarterly dividend 40%. In other financial companies, Bank of New York ((BK)) said its quarterly earnings rose above expectations.

Outside the sector, Lam Research ((LRCX)) dropped 8.3% in the pre-open after the chip equipment maker released lower-than-anticipated quarterly forecast. Continental Airlines ((CAL)) reported narrower Q4 losses. The carrier said it lost 4 cents a share, excluding a special charge of $22 million. Including the charge, the airline lost $26 million, or 29 cents a share. Analysts had expected a loss of 15 cents a share on revenue of $3.16 billion. S&P 500 futures gained 1.20 points to 1,440.00 but futures for the technology-rich Nasdaq 100 fell 5.75 points to 1,835.50. The Dow industrial futures added 16 points to 12,655.

[R]Construction of new homes jumped 4.5% in December.[/R]
The Department of Commerce released its report on housing starts and building permits in the month of December on Thursday. The report showed that housing starts unexpectedly showed a significant increase compared to the previous month. The report said that housing starts rose 4.5 percent to an annual rate of 1.642 million units in December from the revised November estimate of 1.572 million units. Despite the increase, housing starts were down 18 percent compared to December of 2005. Economists had expected starts to fall to a 1.570 million unit rate compared to the 1.588 million unit rate originally reported for the previous month. The unexpected increase in housing starts was due in large part to strong growth in the Northeast and West, where housing starts rose 25.6 percent and 12.4 percent respectively. While housing starts in the Midwest edged up 1.8 percent, starts in the South fell 2.0 percent. The report also showed that building permits rose 5.5 percent to an annual rate of 1.596 million units from the revised November rate of 1.513 million units. Building permits are seen as an indication of future housing demand.

[R]Consumer price index rose 0.5% in December.[/R]
Thursday morning, the Department of Labor released its closely watched report on consumer prices in the month of December, showing that prices increased slightly more than economists had been expecting. The report showed that the consumer price index rose 0.5 percent in December after coming in unchanged in the previous month. The increase came in slightly above economist estimates of a 0.4 percent increase. The slightly bigger than expected increase in consumer prices was due in large part to a rebound in energy prices, which rose 4.6 percent in December after falling in each of the three previous months. The index for petroleum-based energy rose 7.7 percent.

The increase in energy prices contributed to a 1.8 percent increase in transportation costs, which also rose after falling in the three previous months. Prices for housing and apparel also showed notable increases. The Labor Department added that the core consumer price index, which excludes food and energy costs, rose 0.2 percent in December after coming in unchanged in November. The modest increase came in line with economist estimates. On Wednesday, the Labor Department released a separate report showing that its producer price index rose 0.9 percent in December following an unrevised 2.0 percent increase in November. Economists had been expecting a more modest increase of about 0.5 percent. While the increase was largely due to higher food and energy prices, the core producer price index still rose 0.2 percent in December after rising 1.3 percent in November. The increase came in slightly above economist estimates of a 0.1 percent increase.


[R]8:00AM Apple reported soaring Q1 profit, boosted by iPod.[/R]
Apple Inc. ((AAPL)) said late Wednesday that its Q1 profit soared 78%, far beyond Wall Street expectations. The soaring quarterly profit was contributed to strong demand for the company’s products, including record sales of its iPod media players. Apple''s total number of iPod sales currently stands at about 90 million units since the device was launched in October 2001.

Apple reported a profit of $1 billion, or $1.14 a share, up from $565 million, or 65 cents a year ago. Revenue increased 24.5% to $7.1 billion from $5.75 billion. The results beat the estimates of analysts, who expected Apple to earn 78 cents a share on revenue of $6.42 billion.

The company shipped 21 million iPods during the quarter, which is 50% higher than a year ago. Sales of the device accounted for $3.43 billion of the company''s revenue, or nearly half the total.

Apple''s shares fell about 2%, as the company gave a Q2 forecast that was below analyst estimates. For Q2, Apple projected earnings of 54 cents to 56 cents a share on revenue in a range of $4.8 billion to $4.9 billion. That was below the average forecast of 60 cents a share on $5.22 billion in revenue. In the second-quarter results, the company will be able to include a partial quarter of sales of its new Apple TV device, going on sale in February. However, Apple won''t be able to include in its next report the new iPhone. The company plans to put the iPhone on sale in June.


[R]7:30 AM Asian markets rose on Thursday as BOJ voted to leave rates unchanged.[/R]
Asian markets were mostly higher on Thursday. Japan''s Nikkei Index finished the day 0.6% higher at 17,371. Sumitomo Realty & Development moved 2.3% higher. Exporters also advanced on the rate decision. Honda Motor gained 1.9% and Nikon advanced 2.5%. Toyota Motor was up 0.8%. Shares of Mitsubishi Estate Co rose 1.2%.

The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index gained 1.1% to 20,278. China Mobile led the benchmark index higher, while Chinese banks declined on profit-taking and mainland property developers slipped. China Mobile ended 2.8% higher and HSBC rose 0.9%. The Shanghai Composite Index shed 0.8% to 2, 757. ICBC fell 3.5% and Bank of China was off 2.5%. China Merchants Property Development dropped 4.6% and Poly Real Estate Group plunged 6.9%.

Oil and gas shares gained after several days of losses, tracing gains in energy prices. Japanese Inpex Holdings rose 3.4% and Australian Woodside Petroleum gained 2.4%. China Petroleum & Chemical Corp advanced 0.2% after reporting Thursday it processed 4.6% more crude oil last year than in 2005.

Elsewhere around the region, South Korean Kospi Index advanced 0.3% to 1,383, Taipei ended 0.8% higher at 7,895 and Australian S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.5% to close at 5,672. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, an index of mainland-incorporated shares listed in Hong Kong, declined 1.2% to 9,803.75.


[R]6:30 AM European markets gained on strength in oil shares, upbeat earnings.[/R]
European markets were higher on Thursday. By mid-morning, the U.K. FTSE 100 index rose 37 points, or 0.5% at 6,237.10, while the German Xetra Dax added 28 points, or 0.4%, at 6,729.78 and the French CAC 40 gained 34.8 points or 0.6% at 5,96.59.

Advancers

Dexia led advaners with a gain of 2.9% after the Franco-Belgian bank was upgraded from neutral to outperform by Exane BNP Paribas.

Alsthom added 2.4% after the French industrial group reported encouraging growth in new orders along with third quarter sales in-line with market expectations.

Merck was 0.6% higher after the German drugs and chemicals company beat analysts expectations with a 58 % increase in fourth-quarter operating profits, helped by a recovery in the sales of liquid crystals used in televisions and mobile phones.

Oil stocks gained, helped by a modest recovery in crude prices with Statoil of Norway 2.1% higher while Neste Oil of Finland added 1.3 %.

Decliners

Novartis dipped 0.4% after the Swiss drugs giant posted record full-year year of sales and profits but warned growth would slow in 2007 before picking up again from 2008.

Belgium supermarket group Delhaize declined 2.6% after it said that its fourth-quarter sales dipped 1% to 4.8 billion euros, mainly due to the U.S. dollar weakening against the euro. At constant exchange rates, sales would have risen by 4.6%

Oil and commodities

Crude oil for February delivery fell as much as 39 cents, or 0.8%, to $51.85 a barrel in after-hours electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It was at $52.97 in early trade in London. Brent crude for March settlement dropped 12 cents at $52.67 on the ICE Futures exchange in London.

Gold for immediate delivery climbed $2.60, or 0.4%, to $634.40 an ounce in London. Silver rose 10.6 cents to $12.91 an ounce, palladium gained 50 cents to $339.50 an ounce and platinum advanced $8.50 to $1,156 an ounce.

Currencies

The dollar was mixed against other major currencies in European trading Thursday morning. The euro traded at $1.2940, up from $1.2932 late Wednesday. The British pound traded at $1.9724, up from $1.9691. The dollar was at 121.37 Japanese yen, up from 120.67.

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