Home Builders Down 30%

123jump.com Staff
06 Jun, 2001
New York City

Rate hike talk in the market today added to the losses in the home builder stocks . Investors have dumped home builder stocks with a vengance since the beginning of the year. Toll Bros, Beazer Homes, D.R. Horton and Lennar Co stocks are down between 30% and 45% since the beginning of the year. These stocks are trading at a level last seen in December 2004. These stock lost 3% and 4% by mid-day trading.

[R]2:30PM Talk of rate hike ravages home builder stocks.[/R]
Market has slightly recovered from its worst level of the day but averages are trading near 1% loss for the day. Home builders stocks have been under pressure since the beginning of the month and today was no different. Market jitters driven by the talk of rate hike and downgrade of the sector stocks by Wachovia Bank deepened losses in the sector. Lennar Corp ((LEN)) is down $1.60 to $45, down from $63 since Jan 1, 2006. The stock is trading at a level last seen in December 2004. Pulte Homes Inc ((PHM)) is down $1.80 to $27.95, down from $41.58 in the first week of January 2006. D.R. Horton is down $1.32 in today’s trading to $23.29 and down from $40 in the first week of January. The stock is trading at a level last seen in October 2004. Toll Bros. ((TOL)) is down $1.36 in today’s trading to $26.32 and down from $37 in the first week in January 2006. The stock is trading now at a level last seen trading in mid-November 2004. Beazer Homes ((BZH)) is down $1.93 to $45.47, down from $82 in first week in January 2006. The stock is trading at a level last seen in April first week 2005.

[R]12:30PM European markets closed steeply down on interest rate concerns.[/R]
European markets closed deeply in the red. Stocks steeply dropped Tuesday on concerns over U.S. interest-rate increases, following comments about U.S. inflation made by the Fed Reserve Chairman. Bernanke''s comments come ahead of an expected rate rise from the European Central Bank at its meeting Thursday. Among the biggest decliners were companies like BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto and automakers DaimlerChrysler, down 4.2%, and BMW, falling 3%. The German DAX 30 tumbled 2.1%, the French CAC 40 slipped 2.4%, and London FTSE 100 dropped 1.6%.

Oil prices declined after Iran received positive proposals from the West to end the crisis over its nuclear program. Light crude July delivery dropped 90 cents to $71.70 a barrel. London Brent crude fell $1.10 to $70.27. The dollar rose versus major currencies on speculations of further interest-rate increases. The euro traded at $1.2826, down from $1.2909. The dollar bought 113.01 yen, up from 112.16. The British pound stood at $1.8628, down from $1.8724. European gold prices declined. In London the precious metal traded at $626.10, down from $641.30 per ounce. In Zurich gold fell to $626.35 from $640.25. Silver traded at $11.76, down from $12.21.

[R]11:30AM Fears of interest-rate hikes sent averages in the negative.[/R]
Stocks reversed from early gains to move downward, extending the steep decline seen in the previous session on worries that the Fed Reserve will continue raising interest rates. The Dow dropped below the psychologically key 11,000 level for the first time in three months. In late morning trading, the Dow Jones industrial average fell 98.69, or 0.89%. The Standard & Poor''s 500 index fell 6.12, or 0.48%, and the Nasdaq composite fell 15.85, or 0.73%. Bonds fell, with the yield on the 10-year Treasury note rising to 5.04% from 5.02% late Monday.

The interest-rate sensitive housing sector showed significant weakness, with the Philadelphia Housing Sector Index down 3%, falling to its worst intraday level in more than a year. A notable decline in the price of gold put gold stocks under pressure in morning trading, contributing to a 2.9% loss by the Amex Gold Bugs Index. Significant weakness emerged in the airline sector, with Continental Airlines ((CAL)) helping to lead the sector lower. The Amex Airline Index fell 1.9% after rising as much as 1.3% in early trading. Some computer hardware, defense, and utilities stocks posted losses as well. Among computer hardware stocks, Lexmark ((LXK)) and Palm ((PALM)) moved notably lower. Hewlett-Packard Co. ((HPQ)) fell 11 cents to $31.48 after the company lifted its full-year outlook due to a favorable tax settlement with the U.S. government. Federated Department Stores Inc. ((FD)) fell $1.20 to $70.68 after it said its audit committee decided to restate the statement of cash flows for the year. IBM Corp. ((IBM)) rose 51 cents to $79.57 after the technology company said it would triple its investments in India to $6 billion over the next three years.

[R]10:30AM Indian Sensex plummets on low turnover in volatile trading.[/R]
The Sensex in India finished 256.16 points, or 2.5% lower to close at 9,957.32. From all time high of 12,612.38 on May 10, the Sensex has plunged 2,655.06 points, or 21%, to the current 9,957.32. The turnover on BSE remained low on BSE at $660 million or Rs 3,002 crore. In the twelve months market valuation has kept up as multiple on earnings have risen to 17 from an historic average of between 12 and 14. Market analysts believe that market is due for correction and valuation may be revised downwards. The government raised petrol prices by four rupees per liter and diesel prices by five rupees per liter. Bharti Airtel reported a sharp decline in revenue and earnings for the fiscal fourth quarter ending March 2006. The company reported earnings decline of 57% to Rs 511 crores or $110 million on revenue decline of 59% to Rs 3,260 crores or $760 million. Recent prepaid phone service promotions have hurt the revenue and profitability of the mobile phone industry. Bharti added 1.04 million new subscribers to the total of 17.37 million but revenue per subscriber has declined in line with the decline in the industry.

Few small-cap and mid-cap stocks plunged sharply. Major decliners among small-cap and mid-cap segment were Ucal Fuel Systems losing 14.7% to Rs 133, Indian Resort Hotels shedding 13% to Rs 255, Bombay Dyeing losing 12.8% to Rs 546 and Mahindra Gesco Developres off 12.7% to Rs 583. Metal shares declined amid great volatility. Sterlite Industries shed 7.8% to Rs 368, Hindalco declined 6.5% to Rs 159, and Tata Steel lost 3.9% to Rs 474.55. Other decliners were Hindustan Lever plunging 4% to Rs 224, ITC shedding 5% to Rs 151.95 and L&T falling 6% to Rs 2,120 before its board meets on 7 June to consider a bonus issue. Reliance Energy was also off 8% to Rs 422, UltraTech Cement dived 6.5% to Rs 580, Ranbaxy declined 5.9% to Rs 386.50 and Zee Telefilms was down 6% to Rs 226.

Oil companies were among the decliners. ONGC shed 5.6% to Rs 1,040. Oil companies ONGC, Oil India and GAIL India will share a subsidy burden of $5 billion or Rs 24,000 crore as part of a bailout package for oil marketing companies. Among index large-caps, Reliance Industries edged 2% down to Rs 905 and Infosys lost 2.6% to Rs 2,750. Auto makers closed mostly down in volatile trade after petrol prices were lifted by a steep four rupees a litre. Bajaj Auto plunged 2.9% to Rs 2601, Tata Motors lost2.7% to Rs 761, TVS Motors was off 1.7% to Rs 118, and Hero Honda edged 0.8% down to Rs 750. Maruti Udyog advanced 0.7% to Rs 744, being one of the few gainers. Finance Ministry has revised tax on buy-and-sell trade for domestic and international traders effective June 1st. Domestic investors pay 0.125% for Securities Trade Tax to buy and sell stock from a tax of 0.1%. International investors pay 0.025% to buy and sell a stock raised from existing rate of 0.02%.

[R] 9:45AM Stocks gained some ground at opening.[/R]
Stocks slightly advanced Tuesday as bargain hunting helped market regain some ground after Monday''s heavy sell-off, sparked by comments by Fed Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke. His warning suggested that the central bank will remain vigilant in fighting inflation and will probably further increase the key interest rate, presently standing at 5%. Monday''s drop was felt around the globe: Stocks in most Asian markets fell sharply, with Tokyo''s Nikkei 225 index down 1.81%, while India''s benchmark index fell 2.5%. The major European indexes were all lower in afternoon trading, with Ireland''s benchmark index down 3.41%.

The airline sector moved slightly upward, benefiting from a notable decrease by the price of oil. The HMO sector ticked modestly higher. Also, insurance stocks posted some mild gains. The housing sector pushed down 1.2% in the early going, extending its 52-week low. DR Horton ((DHI)) was one of the worst performers in the group, sliding by 3.5% on a downgrade from Wachovia. Standard Pacific ((SPF)), Toll Brothers ((TOL)) and Pulte Homes ((PHM)) also showed significant weakness, with each falling by more than 2.5%. The gold sector was another standout to the downside in the early going, falling by 2.3%. The computer hardware sector also posted weakness. In the first hour of trading, the Dow Jones industrial average rose 36.26, or 0.33%. The Standard & Poor''s 500 index added 3.55, or 0.28%, and the Nasdaq composite index rose 3.43, or 0.16%. Bonds fell, with the yield on the 10-year Treasury note rising to 4.05% from 5.02% late Monday.

[R]9:00AM Stock futures indicated a positive start.[/R]
U.S. stock futures pointed to a slightly positive start, recovering from yesterday’s steep declines when the Dow fell to its lowest close in almost three months and the Nasdaq had its biggest one-day percentage decline since January 20 as warnings from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and another top Fed official about inflation suggested the Fed was not finished raising interest rates.

On Tuesday, IBM ((IBM)) is expected to be in focus as the computer services company announced plans to invest nearly $6 billion in India over three years. General Motors Corp. ((GM)) will also attract attention before the company''s annual shareholders'' meeting later. Shares of Human Genome Sciences jumped 11.5% before the opening bell as Swiss drug maker Novartis AG unveiled a $507 million deal with the company. Shares of Bob Evans Farms Inc. rose 7.2% in pre-market trading after the restaurant operator reported Q4 adjusted earnings that came in well above analyst estimates. Standard & Poor''s 500 futures were up 1 point, above fair value. Dow Jones industrial average futures were up 9 points, and Nasdaq 100 futures were up 0.75 points.

[R]8:00AM BAA PLC accepted a 10 billion pound takeover bid.[/R]
Operator of seven airports in Britain BAA PLC agreed to be acquired by a consortium led by Spanish airport operator and engineering company Ferrovial SA. for 10 billion pound ($19 billion) or 950.25 pence ($17.79) per share. The Ferrovial consortium also includes Canadian investment fund Caisse de Depot et Placement du Quebec and Singapore government fund GIC. Last week BAA rejected a 900 pence ($16.81) per share offer from Ferrovial as too low. The announcement came a day after BAA, which operates London''s Heathrow, Gatwick and Stansted airports, confirmed that it was in talks with Ferrovial and with another consortium. The Goldman Sachs-led group made a preliminary offer of 870 pence a share in May, which BAA rejected. On Tuesday, Goldman Sachs confirmed that the rival consortium had made a bid of 955.25 pence ($17.98) per share for BAA, including a declared final dividend of 15.25 pence.

Ferrovial said that BAA shareholders could opt to exchange their shares for a combination of cash and shares in a new company. In a filing with the Spanish stock market supervisor, the CNMV, Ferrovial said the shares in the new company would be listed on the AIM market of the LSE. BAA shares gained 2.1% to 947.5 pence ($17.84) in trading on the LSE.

[R]7:30AM Asian stocks track U.S. decline.[/R]
Asian markets closed lower. In Japan, the Nikkei 225 Index fell 1.81% to 15384.86, its lowest close since January 23. Trading exporters led declines. Electronics maker NEC was down 2.27%, Kyocera lost 2.43% and Konica Minolta shed 4.64%. Auto stocks also fell, as Nissan Motor declined 1.93% and Mitsubishi Motor dived 2.9%. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Index shed 0.27% to close at 15973.11. Property stocks, constituting a large component of the Hang Seng, declined on interest-rate concerns. The Hong Kong dollar is tied to the U.S. currency, and local interest rates follow those set by the Fed. Property stocks will keep underperforming until the U.S. interest rate cycle kicks in reverse. IPOs kept looming large in Hong Kong, with Shanghai-based developer Shui On Land launching a nearly $1 billion offering to help finance six projects in the mainland. Benchmarks in Australia, Malaysia, Indonesia and Singapore also declined. Taiwan regained some lost ground after being off 3.51% on Monday, while stocks in Shanghai remained flat. Markets in South Korea were closed for a holiday.

[R]6:30AM European shares fell broadly across the region.[/R]
European markets fell by mid morning. The FTSE Eurofirst had shed 12.9 points or 1% to 1,305.91, while the German Dax declined 40.8 points or 1% to 5,580.83 and the French CAC 40 dropped 66.4 points or 1.4% to 4,849.68. The takeover struggle for BAA saw another turn as Goldman Sachs announced it was prepared to offer 955.25p after market talk prompted the UK airport operator had been up to a revised 950.25p takeover offer from Grupo Ferrovial of Spain. Both bids include the BAA dividend of 15.25p. Ryanair shed 1.9% after the budget airline announced it anticipated profits growth of 5 to 10% this year if oil prices stayed close to $70 a barrel. Axa, the French insurance company, said it had reached an agreement to sell its Axa Re business to Stone Point Capital, the US private equity group. Axa dropped 1.2%. Novartis reported that it would pay up to $507m in milestone payments to the US biopharmaceuticals company Human Genome Sciences to acquire rights to Albuferon, a treatment being developed for chronic hepatitis C infections. Novartis declined 0.5%.

Light, sweet crude oil for July delivery dropped 20 cents to $72.40 a barrel and July Brent crude on London''s ICE Futures exchange declined 29 cents to $71.08 per barrel. Gold traded at $633.50 an ounce on Tuesday, down $10 an ounce from Monday''s close of $643.50. The dollar gained against the other major currencies. The euro dropped to $1.2906 from $1.2909, after it rose on Monday to its highest level since May 15. The greenback advanced to buy 112.39 Japanese yen from 112.16 the day before, while the British pound fell to $1.8720 from 1.8724 in New York.