Market Updates
Manitowoc Q1 2010 Earnings Call Transcript
123jump.com Staff
09 Jun, 2010
New York City
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Sales fell 29.7% to $721.9 million & net loss was $23.2 million or 18 cents a share. Net sales fell $117 million or 14% from the 4th quarter of 2009 consolidated operating margins before amortization and one time items were 5.9% versus 6.9% in the 1st qtr of 2009 & 6.1% in the 4th quarter of 2009.
Manitowoc Company, Inc. ((MTW))
Q1 2010 Earnings Call Transcript
April 28, 2010 10:00 a.m. ET
Executives
Steven C. Khail – Director, Investor Relations and Corporate Communications
Glen E. Tellock – Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Carl J. Laurino – Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Eric Etchart – Senior Vice President; President and General Manager, Crane Segment
Michael J. Kachmer – Senior Vice President, President and General Manager, Foodservice Segment
Analysts
Meredith Taylor – Barclays Capital
Charles Brady – BMO Capital Markets
Henry Kirn – UBS
Charles Rentschler – Morgan Joseph
Joel Tiss – Buckingham Research Group
Ann Duignan – J.P. Morgan
Seth Weber – RBC Capital Markets
Robert McCarthy – Robert W. Baird
David Wells – Thompson Research Group
Nicole – Deutsche Bank
Operator
Good day everyone and welcome to the Manitowoc Company Incorporated First Quarter Conference Call. Today''s call is being recorded. At this time for opening remarks and introductions, I would like to turn the call over to Mr. Khail. Please go ahead, sir.
Steven C. Khail
Good morning everyone and thank you for joining Manitowoc''s first quarter earnings conference call. Participating in today''s call will be Glen Tellock, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Carl Laurino, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer and Eric Etchart, President of Manitowoc Cranes.
Glen will open today''s call by providing an overview of our quarterly results and business outlook. Carl will then discuss our financial results for the first quarter in greater detail. He will be followed by Eric Etchart, who will offer insight into the market conditions for our Crane segment and to discuss the recent Bauma trade show in Munich.
Following our prepared remarks, we will joined by Mike Kachmer, President of Manitowoc Foodservice, who will also be available to participate in our question-and-answer session. For anyone who is not able to listen to today''s entire call, an archived version of this call will be available later this morning. Please visit the Investor Relations section of our corporate website at www.manitowoc.com to access the replay.
Before Glen begins his commentary, I would like to review our Safe Harbor statement. This call is taking place on April 28, 2010. During the course of today''s call forward-looking statements, as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, will be made during each speaker''s remarks and during our question-and-answer session. Such statements are made based on the company''s current assessment of its markets and other factors that affect its business. However, actual results could differ materially from any implied projections due to one or more of the factors, explained in Manitowoc''s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, which are also available on our website.
The company does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or other circumstances. With that, I will now turn the call over to Glen.
Glen E. Tellock
Thanks, Steve and good morning everyone. Our first quarter results reflected the challenging market conditions in which we continue to operate. That said, our performance in both our Crane and foodservice segments were in line with our expectations.
While we are seeing continued signs of stabilization in the operating environment, 2010 is poised to remain challenging. Nonetheless, the entire Manitowoc team continues to execute on our objectives. Our ability to improve our business despite these headwinds is a testament to their hard work.
We remain committed to the three priorities, I have outlined previously which we believe will enable us to expand our leadership position in both Cranes and Foodservice. First, we have continued to make significant progress against our goal of flawlessly executing the Foodservice integration. The additional synergies achieved in the first quarter resulted in further operating expansion in this segment.
During the quarter, we continue to focus on all areas where we believe the greatest opportunities exist, which include organic growth, operational cost reductions and procurement savings. We leveraged the combined knowledge and relationships of the legacy businesses to drive revenues and earnings from new product introductions.
We''ve also realized cost benefits from facility consolidations implemented in 2009 which have already been completed or are in process. In addition, our combined procurement organization is providing additional cost saving benefits by optimizing the cost structure of our larger organization. The continued success in capturing synergies from the Foodservice integration gives us confidence that we should see full integration synergies in excess of $80 million by 2011.
In the Crane segment, we continue to position this business to drive performance as the market recovers. We have taken what was a very efficient and quality-focused infrastructure at the end of the fourth quarter and have targeted additional areas including operational efficiency, product innovation and our best in class customer service to drive optimal performance in the business.
Finally, we continue to remain focused on optimizing our cash generation to achieve both our near and long-term debt reduction goals while concurrently making ongoing investments in our business to drive future growth. We also make solid strides in managing our balance sheet during the quarter as cash management and debt reduction continue to be a major focal point for our team despite the seasonal fluctuations in our working capital.
As we look at our segment performance for the first quarter, our Foodservice business continues to perform well and we are beginning to see meaningful benefits from the Enodis acquisition and the resulting integration efforts. We are pleased with our ability to boost operating margins as a result of the identification and realization of operating synergies with these two businesses.
Furthermore, we continue to see significant potential for organic growth in both the hot and cold equipment categories through customer development initiatives like energy savings, speed of delivery, geographic expansion and menu changes. We have also maintained our focus on innovation and converting projects on the pipeline.
We expect to accomplish this through further integration of our businesses, while at the same time, enhancing our relationships with our customers and strengthening our brands. The assumptions we made prior to the acquisition of Enodis continue to hold true today. As our commitment to product development and technological breakthroughs should enable us to expand the leadership we have across our product line and drive future growth and margin expansion.
To that end, we expect to complete the rollout of the new smoothie machine and have received interest from customers internationally to test similar items. In addition, our approved low-oil-volume fryers and new holding products have been well received by customers. We also expect to announce several new products at the upcoming NRA show in May, which we will discuss with you during our second quarter call.
Moving to our Crane segment, first quarter results were largely in line with our forecast, as expected. And North American and Western European markets continue to be tough. But, we are encouraged by further signs of strengthening demand in the emerging markets.
Additionally, energy and infrastructure-related projects globally continue to drive modest improvements in the demand. As we look toward the remainder of the year and the strong brands, history of innovation, technological improvements and solid after-market business will help to expand the leadership position as our markets improve.
Long-term, we are encouraged about the growth opportunities for each of our businesses. We are taking actions now to fully realize these opportunities while challenging economic conditions will continue in the near term. We are tracking with the expectations.
We believe we are doing the right thing to prepare for the recovery and position Manitowoc for long-term growth. I will now turn the call over to Carl to discuss our detailed first quarter financial results. Carl?
Carl J. Laurino
Thanks, Glen. And good morning everyone. Reported net sales for the first quarter was $722 million, which is a decline of $306 million or 30% from the first quarter of 2009. Net sales declined $117 million or 14% from the fourth quarter of 2009.
The decrease in net sales during the first quarter was driven primarily by a 45% decline in the Crane segment with flat revenues in the Foodservice segment. Lower revenues in the Crane segment during the quarter were due in part to the timing of deliveries rather than further degradation of demand.
The stabilization of new orders can be seen by the first sequential increase in quarterly backlog for the segment since June 2008. First quarter 2010 consolidated operating margins before amortization and one time items were 5.9% versus 6.9% in the first quarter of 2009 and 6.1% in the fourth quarter of 2009.
The year-over-year decline in volume and margins and Cranes was partially offset by strong margins in Foodservice. We expect to see continued improvement in our consolidated margin profile over the long term as we continue to derive benefits from the cost-cutting actions implemented in 2009 plus $125 million of additional cost reduction benefits we expect to realize in 2010.
The GAAP net loss for the first quarter was $23 million or $0.18 per share versus the net loss of $656 million or $5.04 per share in the first quarter of 2009. The first quarter of 2010 loss included $0.10 per share related to special charges including debt extinguishment and adjustments due to changes in U.S. legislation that impacted taxes. Excluding these and other unusual items in both quarters, first quarter of 2010 EPS was a loss of $0.08 per share versus earnings of $0.18 for the first quarter in 2009.
Moving on to the balance sheet, as Glen noted, we remain committed to optimizing our cash flow in order to achieve our debt reduction goals while continuing to invest in our business. During the quarter, we posted negative cash flow from operations of $70 million.
This negative cash from operations was adversely impacted by the adoption of new accounting guidance effective as of January 1, 2010, which requires on balance sheet treatment of our securitization facility and treats the proceeds from the facility as cash flow from financing rather than from operating activities.
However, this new accounting guidance did not require us to restate prior year cash flow results. On a comparable basis, first quarter 2010 use of cash from operations would have been negative $7 million compared to negative $34 million for the same period last year.
Moving on to our segment results. Foodservice sales in the first quarter of 2010 totaled $355 million, which was flat versus the first quarter of 2009 and down slightly from $359 million in the fourth quarter which is consistent with typical seasonality.
Despite flat top line numbers, first quarter 2010 operating earnings in Foodservice were $48 million versus $28 million in the same quarter last year and $42 million in the fourth quarter of 2009. This improvement resulted in strong operating margins of 13.4% in the quarter which increased over both first quarter 2009 margins of 7.8% and the fourth quarter 2009 margins of 11.6%. While we expect solid improvement in Foodservice operating margins for 2010, year-over-year margin improvement will be lower for the balance of the year, due to tougher comparables.
Moving to the Crane segment. First quarter sales totaled $367 million, down 45% from $673 million in the first quarter of 2009 and 24% lower than the fourth quarter 2009 sales of $480 million. While we continued to see positive trends in emerging markets during the quarter, our results were impacted by the timing of deliveries given the production cycle for larger capacity equipment.
Cranes segment operating earnings in the first quarter were $5 million versus $57 million in the same quarter last year and $18 million in the fourth quarter of 2009. This resulted in first quarter Crane segment operating margins of 1.2% compared to 8.4% in the first quarter of 2009 and 3.8% in the fourth quarter last year.
Bring backlog at the end of first quarter was $613 million, an increase of $40 million or 7% over $573 million at the end of December 2009. Net positive orders shall continued stabilization during the quarter with net orders of $407 million bringing the book to bill to 111%.
As noted in yesterday''s press release, we are reaffirming our guidance for 2010. We expect Foodservice revenue to improve modestly and the year-over-year improvement in operating margins. For the Cranes segment, we expect revenues to improve significantly for the balance of the year while full year operating margins will exceed the 3.5% trough margins that we experienced in 2003.
Other expectations for 2010 include capital expenditures of approximately $50 million, appreciation and amortization of roughly $145 million and debt reduction of at least $200 million.
Let me now turn the call over to Eric Etchart to discuss recent events in our Cranes segment, and to share some feedback on the 2010 Bauma trade show. Eric.
Eric Etchart
Thank you, Carl. Following Glen''s comments, the last 18 months have been the most difficult business environment for our industry''s history. We do believe that the worst is behind us and we are seeing strengthening demand in China, India, Australia, and North Africa and Brazil.
We are also continuing to see reasonable demand coming from global energy and infrastructure projects, which include two nuclear power plants in Turkey that have entered the bidding process, several infrastructure projects in Brazil stemming from its successful Olympic bid and addition of mega infrastructure projects coming from Saudi Arabia.
However, while some bright spots have emerged, North America and Western Europe remained challenged as expected, coupled with an ongoing slowdown in commercial construction. Despite these challenges, we remained focused on areas during the downturn have helped us maintain the leadership position and will position us well as the markets recover.
Our ongoing focus on innovation and technological improvements make our Cranes more valuable to end-users and widen the gap between the equipment and our competitors. In line with our strategy to become a fully integrated company, we are also making progress on our initiative to establish industry of centers of excellence, which will act as central plants for additional operation efficiencies.
Lean manufacturing is a major initiative for us as we constantly strive to further reduce waste, improve lead times and become a more efficient and profitable business. We continue to leverage our key emerging markets and highly focused on capitalizing on the opportunities we have to grow further in these regions.
Before turning the call over to Glen for closing remarks, let me spend a few moments discussing about the Bauma trade show which I attended last week in Munich. Despite the travel disruptions that many encountered, I am pleased to report we enjoyed significant activity.
Overall, there was a sense of cautious optimism and my conversations with the distributors and customers and others in the industry suggesting that the worse is over and the environment is starting to stabilize. However, questions linger around the timing and the magnitude of recovery. Generally speaking, our people agree, that we should see an uptick in demand as we enter 2011. However, 2010 will continue to be challenging.
Consistent with our call focus and technology call and innovative leadership within the industry, we announce several new products at Bauma last week. Product enhancements include the new Potain Ultra View cab which sets a new standard for operator comfort and productivity.
We also premiered an innovative line of high-performance winches for our Potain and our Cranes, which are designed for ultra high speed lifting. These winches nearly double our hoisting speeds and offer our customer’s significant timing and cost advantages of competitive equipment.
Among the new product introductions, we announce two six-axle all-terrain cranes, the Grove’s GMK6400 and the Grove GMK6300L, both of which use technology that provides the strongest, least enriched capabilities in the market today.
Both of our new cranes were extremely well received at Bauma as the innovation and the technology of these cranes are clearly creating a new standard in the market. We have a strong track record of successfully navigating through difficult time and operating environments.
And while in 2010 remains a challenge, we continue to be an industry leader. And we believe we''ve implemented the right initiatives limit from this downturn as stronger, more efficient company. With that, let me turn the call back over to Glen.
Glen E. Tellock
Thanks, Eric. As evidenced by Eric''s remarks, you can see that the operating environment for cranes continues to be challenging. However, we are encouraged by signs of improving demand in emerging markets and the reception of new product introductions.
We remain focused on correctly positioning the business for future success. As we look towards the remainder of 2010, we''re focused on driving innovation throughout our business to expand our leadership positions and believe that the initiatives we are pursuing in our business segments will spur both revenue and margin growth as the markets recover. We will now open the call for questions. Lorry.
Operator
Thank you.
Question-and-Answer Session
Operator
Thank you. Our question-and-answer session is conducted electronically. If you would like to signal for a question, please press star one on your touchtone telephone at this time. If you are using a speakerphone, please be sure your mute function is turned off to allow your signal to reach us. We do ask that you please limit yourself to one question with one follow-up question in order to get everyone an opportunity to ask their question. Again that is star one to signal. We will pause for just a moment. We will go first to Meredith Taylor with Barclays Capital. Please go ahead.
Meredith Taylor – Barclays Capital
Hi, good morning. I''m hoping you can expand a little bit on the comments you made around the timing of deliveries you made on the Crane side of the business? Specifically, can you quantify from a revenue standpoint or maybe from a unit standpoint, how much in the way the deliveries were made? And were these deliveries that were supposed to be made -- that were delayed or this just an issue of the timing with the way the order book is built?
Carl J. Laurino
Meredith, this is Carl. I''d say the magnitude. I think the guidance we gave in the last conference call really did it by semester. We talked about the fact that given the size of the backlog as we ended 2008 with some carry-over that spilled into the first half of 2009. First half of 2010 was going to be off by a revenue stand point. Obviously, the biggest -- we didn''t give any quarterly break down but the biggest element of it, particularly given where the demand as coming from, some of the larger lift capacity equipment that has longer production lead time. I think -- are there reasons for -- the key reasons for the issue? There are always going to be some things. Particularly with some the logistics of getting equipment delivered, where the demand is coming from and the emerging markets probably played a hand in how you would calendarize that semester. But I think the bigger issue is really just a matter of, the higher lift capacity equipment representing more of the demand than in a typical discreet period.
Meredith Taylor – Barclays Capital
Okay. That''s helpful. As I just think about the -- what''s been the traditional seasonality between the first and second quarter, it looks like Cranes have typically been up 20%-ish sequentially. Should I look for that seasonal pattern to hold or are you looking for a potentially more pronounced first quarter to second quarter sequential revenue move?
Carl J. Laurino
I think it could be a little bit more than that. Just because of the issue I just talked about.
Meredith Taylor – Barclays Capital
Okay. Got it. And then one quick follow up and then I will pass it along. In terms of the second half, year-over-year, you''ve obviously talked about some of the orders that you have seen. And the deliveries pushed into the back half of the year, could you calibrate a little more closely how you are talking about up over year? Is this up double-digits and what sense do you have from the way the order book is billed?
Carl J. Laurino
What I''d have to do is really point to some of the things that we''ve said. Which is that -- obviously, we expect the full year to be down a lot less than 2009 -- over the 2009. And obviously, we have not been on pace to improve upon the 2009 performance in the first half of the year. So, we will cut into some of that deficit from that guidance and with the performance in the last three quarters of this year to satisfy that guidance level for this year.
Meredith Taylor – Barclays Capital
Great. Thank you so much.
Operator
We will go next to Charles Brady with BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Charles Brady – BMO Capital Markets
Great. Thanks and good morning. Following up on Meredith''s question, in terms of going to look at the order rate, would you expect to see sequential increase insist orders as we roll into 2010? And dovetailing with that, would you anticipate the book to bill remaining above one through the remainder of the year?
Glen E. Tellock
Charlie, good morning. I think as you look at that, if you think of Eric''s comments and some of the things we talk about with 2010, late 2009, 2010 being the trough. You''re going to naturally expect the other rates to improve as the year goes on and quarter- over-quarter sequentially. That''s always a question, but I think improvement is the key factor. And I would let Eric expand on that just a little bit.
Eric Etchart
We are expecting to continue to see some improvement as we move into the year. However, modest overall in 2010 based on what we can perceive in and the change of mood from the end users from what I could see at Bauma, uniformly pessimistic a year ago at the Intermat show in Paris to, let''s say, cautiously optimistic. The situation, of course, may differ by product line. We have maybe improved tower cranes activity mitigated by softening of the all-terrain cranes on the book. But again, it''s good to reiterate that we''re facing a contrasting situation in the emerging markets versus the traditional markets. And that the cranes recovery also lags over the top of construction equipment by an average of 12 months. So there is no doubt that the crane demand has hit the bottom, but the crane utilization''s going to rise and used cranes that has been extend in different countries remain as headwinds for a major shift in 2010. So it''s too soon for fleet replenishment in North America and Europe and also looking at the excavation work is still too little. So there is a lot of confidence and visibility in North America and in Europe to expect an uptick of orders to significantly impact our backlog beyond orders, driven by firm contracts from construction company or some modest restructuring activity in North America from our distribution network.
Charles Brady – BMO Capital Markets
Okay. On that, can you speak to the installed base and the age of the installed base? And so when demand really does start coming back, particularly in the more developed markets parts of the world, kind of what that replenishment cycle might look like? I mean, there''s certainly parts, Carl, you and I talked about this last week about with Germany and how the age of some of those cranes -- they''re now 20 years old, there''s an up cycle there. But I''m wondering if you can expand on that with other markets as well?
Glen E. Tellock
Well, Charlie, I think, again, it depends where you''re at and it depends who you are. A lot of these, as we''ve said before, good portion of this go to crane rental companies. And what did people do during that period of time -- and let''s say North America, and you mentioned Germany, so Carl talked about that before, but you look at North America, what''s happened with some of the used equipment that''s out there, what''s the age of the different fleet?
I think as you read other statistics of some of the crane rental companies, they have been improving the ages of their fleet by getting rid of some of the used equipment in other markets. So it''s always hard to tell what the average age of the fleet is out across the world, but we look at it as the regions and by product line and again what''s driving it, the infrastructure, the energy and it''s not commercial construction and it''s not the non-rent construction. So that''s a different crane than what you''ve had in the past. And Eric, I don''t know if you have anything to add to that.
Eric Etchart
With Germany, since you can leave the self-erecting cranes, you have a significant boom back 20 years ago with the Berlin Wall. In this, we can see some trends obviously with cranes along in the two freight now and being renewed and that give us sort of a bit optimism that Germany should be a good market for us with overall, I can quote with your comments. Then in residential construction is pretty much standing and that''s a major headwind for us.
Charles Brady – BMO Capital Markets
Thanks.
Operator
We will go to Henry Kirn with UBS. Please go ahead, sir.
Henry Kirn – UBS
Good morning guys.
Glen E. Tellock
Hi, Henry.
Henry Kirn – UBS
I was wondering if you could chat on the utilization of the Crane fleet by type and geography, as granular as you can get. And maybe with that, dovetailing, what you are seeing out on Crane care sales at this point.
Glen E. Tellock
I''ll give you as granular as we''ll give. I would say North America, if you look at, it''s going to be -- whether it''s the mobile hydraulics or the crawlers or on a higher-capacity cranes, that''s where you''re going to see the higher utilizations. And I would say, overall -- and maybe North America, I would say that utilization is around 60%, 65%. It''s going to be a little higher on the high-capacity and obviously lower, so you get that average. If you go to Europe, it''s probably not a little much different. I think the lower capacity ATs are starting to come off a bit but again, I think, it''s the higher capacity ATs and a higher capacity crawlers. Towers are okay in Europe, not great, but in the North America, the towers are probably lowest utilization of any of the product lines. And then in Asia, it''s kind of all over the board. So I think that''s probably about the best that we would give on a generalized basis, Henry.
Henry Kirn – UBS
Thanks.
Carl J. Laurino
As far as Crane CARE, Henry. The business is off year-over-year, as you probably would expect, not as much as the overall segment. So the contribution on the revenue side from Crane care, it is a little bit higher than roughly the mid-teen percent than it was in 2009. In the quarter.
Henry Kirn – UBS
That''s helpful. And one pricing. Could you talk about how competitive pricing can become? And has pricing declined sequentially or has it flattened out from where it was a quarter or so ago?
Glen E. Tellock
No, I think, it has remained relatively flat. We certainly can point to specific instances where people have done some unusual things. But I don''t think it''s any different than where it was in 2003 or 2004. Maybe the players that are doing it are a little different but I don''t think it''s any different than what we''ve seen in the past. It is relatively stable.
Henry Kirn – UBS
Thanks a lot.
Operator
We will go next to Charlie Rentschler of Morgan Joseph.
Charles Rentschler – Morgan Joseph
I''d like to just start out by saying you guys have done a heroic job under very difficult circumstances and really on the right track. Carl, a question for you. My first question. How do you juggle the need to pay down debt and the ongoing need to pay down the debt and yet provide working capital as your sales hopefully trend up. Can you talk about that a little bit? Are you -- have some leeway here in terms of debt payment so you can service the working capital site?
Carl J. Laurino
Well, Charlie, in the management of the working capital, certainly the priority on debt reduction is very high as you''d expect at the current level of leverage we have. I think with the actions that we''ve taken, both with success in generating cash out of operations last year, some of the assets divestitures that we did as well as the relief that we''ve obtained our the covenant certainly put us in a comfortable position. But we are still focused on debt reduction as a priority.
Glen E. Tellock
Charlie. This is Glen. Thanks for your comments out of barn. But I would say if you look at many of the things that happened during the last up turn whether it was some of the investments in capital expenditures, some of the lean manufacturing initiatives that we put in place, many of the improvements we''ve made in the factories, the integrations that are going through and Foodservice, let''s be honest. Perhaps, it was a little too high in 2007 and 2008 and that''s if we can get some benefit. Out of many of the things we did. Knowing we had to go through some of this, whether that''s working with the entire supply chain. And we have a lot of opportunity there. And our -- Mike and Eric are looking at it on a regular basis with their teams. So, it is a balance but they also know that managing the balance sheet and when you look at what our incentives are based on, which is EVA, it is not only the bottom line, it''s managing the balance sheet too. And I think our people do a very, very good job at it.
Charles Rentschler – Morgan Joseph
Great. My second question was to Mike Kachmer. And let him have a chance to speak. Mike, do you see anything on the horizon in the next few quarters that could keep you from generating operating income at least as good as the first quarter? Anything, any negatives? And any icebergs out there you see sticking up that will be a problem or do you keep trucking along as you have been, so beautifully, by the way.
Michael J. Kachmer
Charlie, thank you for that comment as well. We feel very, very positive about the strategy we put in place that is very consistent with what we anticipated before the acquisition even took place. So the overall trends looking forward remain very positive. Carl has offered some thoughts to seasonality that''s still a part of our business. Some of it, with the base business, others associated with the timing of different rollouts but overall, the positive trends will continue. We continue to invest in the business. The integration business opportunities are not done. Many are still in front of us. So, again, the overall trend will remain positive.
Charles Rentschler – Morgan Joseph
Let me squeeze in a related follow-up. How is the smoothie machine rollout coming along?
Michael J. Kachmer
Very well. There''s a couple of perspectives there -- number one, we will be completing the first major roll out that occurred in the U.S. with a large, major customer. It started last year and very heavy in the first quarter and it will then slow down as the store rollouts get completed. The good news is that there are international opportunities that will exist with that same customer. And additionally, we will be offering different smoothie-related products over the course of, hopefully the latter part of this year and certainly into 2011 with other customers and with other markets. So the category''s going to and mainstay for years to come.
Charles Rentschler – Morgan Joseph
Thank you.
Operator
We will go next to Joel Tiss with Buckingham Research. Please go ahead.
Joel Tiss – Buckingham Research Group
Good morning. How''s it going?
Carl J. Laurino
Hi, Joel.
Joel Tiss – Buckingham Research Group
Two things. One, you haven''t talked really at all about the potential for raw material costs to be a headwind in the second half of the year. Is that true or am I just making it up?
Glen E. Tellock
No, I think -- well, we haven''t talked about it a lot because I don''t think from a materiality standpoint, I think when you look at where we''re at and some of the things we already have in place with our contracts and with our forecasted usage of some of these, I think we feel okay about it. I think it''s going to become a bigger issue as we start getting towards late in the year and then into 2011, depending on what happens in commodity prices at that point in time. So you recall, Joel, a lot of times in some of these commodities, more so on the Foodservice and the Crane side, we have a lot of these hedged.
We have -- that takes some of the volatility out as we try to protect the balance sheet. You''re probably talking mainly right now on the steel prices. We have some good contracts in place. But I think what we have to watch for is the same thing that happened in late 2007 and 2008, where all of a sudden the steel companies didn''t exactly want to talk to you much about going out two, three months or longer in some of these contracts. But in today''s environment, in the last six and nine months, it was a little easier conversation.
Joel Tiss – Buckingham Research Group
Okay. And then I supposed as we get into 2011, the volumes will get a lot better and then it should be less of an issue. On Foodservice, can you just spend a little bit more time going through some of the different end markets and why you''re seeing more of a flat result and if you can talk -- just breakout sort of casual, fast casual, quick serve, some of the different pieces and give us a sense what all those customers are saying? Thank you.
Glen E. Tellock
Well, I''m going to let Mike speak specifically each one. But I think, Joel, if you just go back to some of our conversations whether it''s last year, in February this year, we weren''t expecting that the foodservice industry to have much of an uptick. First of all, just from the economy, consumer confidence and that type of thing. So I think it''s playing out with just the way we saw, and I know there''s -- with a lot of the things you read there, there''s a lot of excitement surrounding certainly what could possibly happen in this environment. But I think people as -- even though Eric uses the word in Cranes as cautiously optimistic. I think some of that is still in the Foodservice side also. And Mike, if you want to talk about these specific end markets?
Michael J. Kachmer
Right, I would say that there''s really three dimensions that we look at. First is the geographical slice then there is the customer segments/market segments slice and then within each of those, there''s the products/applications slice. The Americas remains trying as we''ve talked about in some of the earlier comments. But we''re starting to see some hope for the latter part of the year as restaurants are experiencing better performance themselves.
Ultimately, that will lead to more investment. But again, we''ve had success even in that market. Some of our major rollouts, such as the smoothie category that we referred to earlier, has been a very, very positive statement in an otherwise flat general market. Europe remains our most challenging environment where we''ve actually had contractions in certain countries and certain customer segments. And on the flip side, the Asia-Pacific market remains very upbeat, very optimistic and very energized. We see U.S.-based chains getting more aggressive with new store growth in the region coupled with Asia-based chains making similar strikes. So again, it''s a different story with each of our three markets. Net-net, we''re seeing some positive news on most fronts with the European sector probably the most cautious at this time.
Joel Tiss – Buckingham Research Group
Okay. Thank you.
Operator
We will go next to Ann Duignan with J.P. Morgan. Please go ahead, Ann.
Ann Duignan – J.P. Morgan
Hi. Good morning guys. It''s Ann Duignan.
Carl J. Laurino
Hi, Ann.
Ann Duignan – J.P. Morgan
Can we just take a step back, I just wanted to clarify couple of things that you''ve said. I think you noticed that -- do you expect Cranes sequentially to be up more than normal, which should be more than 20% sequentially. And orders that you said or you think there''s going to be some modest improvement. Wouldn''t that by nature imply that book-to-bill is going to decline, going forward?
Glen E. Tellock
It is. I think what we are trying to say about 2010. It is, we view it as still a difficult environment and obviously we have got some challenges in the developed markets specifically. And that can create some vagaries as far as what the pacing of the order flow might be. So it is really a difficult to predict and what I think, based on everything we said. People would view 2010 as the rough year. It is not atypical.
Ann Duignan – J.P. Morgan
But book-to-bill declined sequentially before picking up.
Glen E. Tellock
We are not making a forecast there but certainly not inconceivable, obviously, part of -- of the ability to get to -- over a factor of one in the first quarter. The revenue was down quite a bit.
Ann Duignan – J.P. Morgan
Exactly. That''s my whole point. That people tend to focus on book-to-bill. And sometimes it''s because it''s the bill is going to zero and so. And that wouldn''t surprise us to see book-to-bill start to decline before it starts to increase. I wanted to clarify that because I think people obsess over it a little bit. Foodservice item. Just curious. Could you tell us a little bit more about the synergies in the first quarter as best you could quantify them? Because I know it''s hard to actually pull up what were synergies and integration synergies. And can you talk about how much synergies you did see from organic growth? And how much you did see from cost benefits and how much you did see from procurement?
Glen E. Tellock
I think the bulk of what, of the margin expansion that we saw in Foodservice was a function of the synergies. And we -- we probably, when you look at the guidance we have given for incremental synergies this year. We certainly took a pretty significant step in that direction just in the first quarter, probably $35 million plus in incremental synergies, and 10 over 9. And so, that certainly was a pretty big factor. Some of those would be on the procurement side and we would identify procurement, chronic rollout would fall in there but I think Mike is prepared to give more color on what the actions have done.
Michael J. Kachmer
I think our estimates through the course of 2009 as we looked forward to synergy opportunity is holding true. We''re still roughly seeing about 70% of the synergies on the cost side of the equation, with 30% associated with revenue opportunities based on cross-selling, pre-existing customers, developing new products based on the knowledge that existed into two separate companies and that is roughly what is holding true.
Ann Duignan – J.P. Morgan
Can you break out the cost benefits versus the procurement? I''m just trying to get a sense of …
Michael J. Kachmer
It is about-- on the 70%, it''s about half and half.
Ann Duignan – J.P. Morgan
Okay. That''s actually in Q1 and not your goal.
Michael J. Kachmer
Right.
Ann Duignan – J.P. Morgan
Okay. Thank you. I will get back in line.
Operator
We will go next to Seth Weber with RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead, sir.
Seth Weber – RBC Capital Markets
Hi. Good morning, guys.
Carl J. Laurino
Hi, Seth.
Seth Weber – RBC Capital Markets
Just another clarification. I think, Glen, when you were talking about the competitive environment, you mentioned that the players were different this time versus last. Is that a -- are you trying to make a comment -- are the Chinese becoming more aggressive? Can you expand on that a little bit? Is that what you are alluding to?
Glen E. Tellock
I don''t know that it is necessarily all the Chinese. There''s more players and some of the different large -- large-end capacities that were not around in 2002 and 2003 and certainly not one to go against -- and stay anything bad about the competition or anything. But, I think there''s more players in it. And so you watch what some the other players have done and they haven''t been in this situation before. So I do think it does get a little bit different. But it is mostly, it is not in your traditional market that you are seeing it. It''s mostly in the emerging markets where some of these deals are taking place.
Seth Weber – RBC Capital Markets
Okay. Thanks. My question is -- trying to drill down on this -- crane margin being above the 3.5% trough from last cycle. How much of that is dependent on volume recovery and how much is, if it is possible to talk about, how much is dependent on volume versus -- you have these contracts in had already so you know what your profits are going to be on the Cranes you are building through the end of the year?
Carl J. Laurino
Well, a lot of it, Seth, is going to be driven on the volume. Big part is that you get the benefit of absorption in the factories and I think the other thing is that you -- people tend to forget about many of the changes that you made in the Cranes infrastructure during 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008 and we -- last trough at 3.5%. We have much more of an emerging market presence now. We''ve consolidated many of the operations into other operations. 2003 was -- right after the consolidation of Grove and Potain and Manitowoc, primarily the traditional markets, so a lot of different factories, the improvements we made.
I think that all boils into that -- that projection as to how that can happen and it means that is new products. It''s a difference of more of the infrastructure energies and in end markets than what we''ve seen in the past. So I think it''s all a combination of those that give us a lot of confidence can be where it is.
Now, at the flip side. Go back to what commodity costs were in 2003 and they are very different now. So where''s your pricing versus back then? But, it''s all those things taken in combination that gives us that confidence. It is not necessarily just what we have in our order book right now.
Seth Weber – RBC Capital Markets
I appreciate that. But If you were to go back, I don''t have the quarterly numbers in front of me. But during the quarters for 2003, did the margin get down to the 1% that we saw this quarter?
Carl J. Laurino
I think so. I am not looking at it visually. But my recollection is that it is seasonably soft first quarter. We were -- we recovered to the point of 3.5% and our message in this instance -- based upon the things Glen mentioned is that despite a little over 1% in the first quarter will still get over the 3.5% margin.
Glen E. Tellock
It would go one step further with a different mix in 2003 than what it is right now.
Seth Weber – RBC Capital Markets
I am sure. Okay. Just -- a question for Eric. On the last call, you had mentioned a pick-up in Germany in December. And it sounds like that''s kind of gone away. Is there some sort of color around that? Do you think that maybe orders just got -- people were just holding off on orders around the Bauma show or is there something that is changed in Germany over the last quarter?
Eric Etchart
No. There is no change. And, if you look at Western Europe right now, sovereign Europe is completely dead. There are really free markets which show more and obviously Germany is one of them, France to a certain extent and Switzerland. So these are the markets showing resilience in Western Europe. So, I don''t think my comment would be different here and Bauma, just to confirm again, the orders that we had on during the show. And some of those orders were coming from those specific countries that I just mentioned.
Seth Weber – RBC Capital Markets
Okay. Great. Thanks very much, guys.
Carl J. Laurino
Thanks.
Operator
Robert McCarthy with Robert W. Baird. Your line is open.
Robert McCarthy – Robert W. Baird
Morning, everybody. Can you hear me okay?
Glen E. Tellock
Yes, Rob.
Robert McCarthy – Robert W. Baird
Great. I am still a little confused about -- well, more than a little I guess. Confused about what happened Crane in the first quarter. I had thought I understood that you had shipments delayed from the first quarter to the second. But, it sounds more like order intake was a different mix than you expected. It was incrementally weaker on the -- more quick turning Crane business and it was stronger for larger. Is that -- Did I get that right?
Carl J. Laurino
Yes, I think so, Rob. I think, the comment about the order flows being modest was really juxtaposed against the backlog that we took into the beginning of 2009, not necessarily anything sequentially. And then -- then the revenues being modest and I think, in response to Meredith''s question. It did indicate that given the fact as we have been saying that the demand has been more resilient on the heavy lift side. Things are going into energy and infrastructure projects. The production throughput is a little bit longer and there''s things that, that we have had in hand as an order and that were just not and in a level of completion to get out in the first quarter.
Robert McCarthy – Robert W. Baird
Okay.
Carl J. Laurino
If that makes sense.
Robert McCarthy – Robert W. Baird
Yes. I think I generally got it. And in terms of your outlook for Crane order activity going forward. We have a couple of quarters now of around $400 million additions to backlog. We have backlog of $600 million. But it seems to me, that generating $500 million a quarter in revenue in the back end of the year or at least on average, which is your forecast for up comparison and up in the second half, will require orders to strengthen from here, I think. And so, can you help me understand, one, whether you can meet those objectives if orders stay at the level they are at today?
And then, if we are going to see acceleration going forward, is any of that, I mean, I heard maybe some inventory replenishment at Grove. In other words, you would be able to lift production schedules closer to retail there? And maybe some of it going on at Tower. Do you understand my struggle? Your order intake seems to -- it looks like it needs to go up and I''m not clear whether -- where that incremental strength comes from.
Glen E. Tellock
Well, there is no doubt. You just look at where it is -- if you ran out the backlog, you are right, your intake has to go up. And then it is a matter of like we had several years ago. It is how much do you get out in the quarter that doesn''t go in the backlog. You start playing that again but when you look at it. And you look at the projects and have the conversations with the customers and you look at the fact that you don''t have a backlog that goes out very far. And you see more of this and this is what I need and this is when I need it. And that period of time, Rob, becomes a shorter piece of the pie than it has in the past. We seeing much more of that. If you can get it to me by now, by whatever date. You are going to get the order and then that''s how it plays out. When you look at the new product introductions we have. When they roll out and you look at some the other -- some the other areas of the world, that we see our production schedules. Yes. It obviously means orders would be perceived to be higher in the back part of the year.
Robert McCarthy – Robert W. Baird
Okay. That is very helpful.
Operator
We will go next to David Wells with Thompson Research group. Please go ahead.
David Wells – Thompson Research Group
Good morning, everyone.
Glen E. Tellock
Good morning, David.
David Wells – Thompson Research Group
First of, with regard to the emerging markets and the relative strength that you are seeing there, what type of work is it that is coming through the pipeline there? I guess, I am trying to get a sense to how much is tied to stimulus that was passed in 2009. So what does the underlying demand looks like in those markets as the stimulus benefits starts to roll off here as we come into the end the year?
Glen E. Tellock
Well, David. In the emerging markets -- you know, about the only place that had a meaningful stimulus would have been China. And there''s different things surrounding that. But your other part of the question is where do you see demand. It is in mining and infrastructure. Eric mentioned it in his comments -- the nuclear plants in Turkey, you''re seeing infrastructure in Brazil, you go to Australia, a lot of it is mining and again, infrastructure. Middle East, as Eric mentioned, and that''s infrastructure work when it comes to hospitals and universities and research centers and that''s just -- entire banking, financial community. I mean, it is all for that. And again, I don''t think it has anything to do with a stimulus. And it has to do with the people where they need the infrastructure, energy and petrochem. Eric, I don''t know if you have anything to add to that.
Eric Etchart
No. Well, you look a Brazil. And basically, they have a quarter of a century in four years and what is going to happen in Brazil and the spending would be huge. And regardless of Lula administrations and the change in the October elections, I mean, Brazil has two levels, infrastructures for the two big events that are planned, the Olympics and the World Soccer Cup. If you look at other things, Chile, for example, will be up quick. You know, they have now previous plan with $9 billion of infrastructure to be built and they are trying to start at probably at the back end of 2010. You look at Saudi Arabia. I mean, they are huge in infrastructure progress related to hospitals and financial center, and Olympic city in Jeddah, you know, all the projects are of various financed and that''s where the demand would be coming from. And China, we expect that they would continue with the stimulus and the impetus that we see that the Chinese market is certainly going to continue in 2011 and 2012, for sure.
David Wells – Thompson Research Group
That''s very helpful. Appreciate the call there. And the follow up, continue to hear some chatter out in the market about prizes for used equipment starting to soften somewhat and given the pressure we are seeing in the North American and European market at the rental level, how much of a concern is it in your perspective, that you could potentially see used equipment come to market that would cannibalize new sales here towards some of the emerging market projects that you referenced?
Glen E. Tellock
Well, David, there is always that chance. I mean, it has been there ever since we built the equipment. So the used market is an always a channel and we use that channel also. We take trade-ins or anything else. It is part of the sales process. But will it cannibalize some things? It does. I do not think it''s to a great extent where -- it depends on what the age is, it depends on what it is going to do, you have newer technologies in some things. And you look at -- if it is going to be a RT, how old is the RT, we have some new products coming out. When it comes to weight and it comes to length and lift capacities. And it''s what type of project and it used to be, David, all of the used equipment -- went on the emerging markets as a dumping ground. As they get very good at taking international engineering construction firms go throughout the world, they have safety requirements also that it doesn''t necessarily. They don''t want any ""equipment that used to go to some of the places."" So I think you always see the used prices fluctuate. And I think they are softening, and they are certainly not out of the normal what we''ve seen in prior periods. Eric?
Eric Etchart
Yes, David, I mean if you look at Spain, from -- obviously, all the market is down big time on towers and you have a lot of towers idle. And the initial report that both towers were landing in Latin America just because it''s traditional fallback market for the Spanish manufacturers. This does not happen. All the cranes stayed in Spain. And the reason is the specs are different. They use remote controls in Spain. If it has to go through Latin America, you need a cap, so you need to add up some kind of money and all these other things. And at the end of the day, you have not seen the huge traffic of these used cranes that you have brought in jeopardizing our new Crane sales in Latin America.
David Wells – Thompson Research Group
Thank you very much.
Operator
Next, we will go next to Nigel Coe with Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.
Nicole – Deutsche Bank
Thanks guys. This is actually Nicole asking questions on Nigel''s behalf. I wanted to talk about working capital. It was surprising given the volume declines that working capital built during the first quarter and it was, it looked like it within accounts receivable. If you could talk about that and then also the mix of inventory between work in process, raw, et cetera.
Carl J. Laurino
Sure, Nicole, the issue with the accounts receivable, I think the biggest piece of it, would be depending on whether you''re looking at it from the end of the year. Last year or the first quarter last year was $63 million just from the accounting impact of the securitization going back onto the balance sheet. That was $63 million versus the end of the year, which was nearly $100 million impact as you look at it year-over-year. That''s probably the biggest part of it.
And the other part, it is the fact that we are building working capital is really coming from the expectation that we need to satisfy some of the increase in orders and it is larger equipment that has the longer production lead time that doesn''t flow through the income statement until the equipment is delivered and that''s -- those are the two big issues.
Nicole – Deutsche Bank
Okay. And mix of inventory? Well, probably a little bit more on a work in process.
Carl J. Laurino
And that really drives that latter issue. Okay. And I mean.
Nicole – Deutsche Bank
How do you feel about the rest of the year with the working capital? Are we going to need to see working capital continue to increase or can you reduce that as the year progresses?
Carl J. Laurino
I think we are committed to the $200 million in debt reduction and the targeted level we put out there and to the extent that we have, the curse if you will, from a working capital standpoint of higher demand. We hope to generate more out of the profitability to satisfy the objective.
Nicole – Deutsche Bank
Got it. That''s helpful. Looking at your competitor, Terex, orders there were down significantly quarter-on-quarter. And you obviously had much better performance. Is that product mix, you believe or something else going on there?
Carl J. Laurino
We don''t know. We don''t know exactly where the orders are coming from or what they are looking at or what their comparison was to last year or what it was from the fourth quarter side. And we just -- I mean, we don''t know. I don''t think we are prepared to comment on something like that. Okay.
Nicole – Deutsche Bank
Okay. Lastly, looking at the backlog. Can you give the impact that FX had?
Carl J. Laurino
Pretty minor.
Eric Etchart
Yes. Pretty minor. You have to take into account for the first quarter that activity is very slow and from January and February because of the Chinese New Year. And it started in March. And I think we should expect Q2 obviously to see an uptick in orders and in APAC because the economies are good there.
Nicole – Deutsche Bank
Okay. That''s all from me. Thanks.
Operator
That does conclude our question-and-answer session. Mr. Khail, I will turn it back to you for any closing remarks you might have.
Steven C. Khail
Thank you. Before we conclude today''s call, I would like to remind everybody a replay will be available later this morning. You can access the replay by visiting the Investor Relations section of our corporate website at www.manitowoc.com. Thank you everyone for joining today and for your continuing interest in the Manitowoc Company. Have a good day.
Operator
Again, that does conclude today’s conference call. Thank you for your participation.
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