Market Update

U.S. Stocks and Bond Yields On Hold With Earnings In Focus

Barry Adams
18 Apr, 2023
New York City

Stocks on Wall Street lacked direction and investors remained firmly focused on the latest batch of earnings. 

With the recent turmoil in the regional banking sector, earnings from regional banks were closely watched and large banks were pored over for clues about consumer spending. 

Bank of America sharply lifted its estimate of loan losses and Goldman Sachs revenue fell on the weakness in investment banking and fixed-income and commodities trading.  

Commodities prices attempted a rebound after China reported better-than-expected growth in the first quarter. 

China's GDP rose at an annual pace of 4.5% in the first quarter, a rebound from 2.9% in the fourth quarter, the National Bureau of Statistics said Tuesday. 

The stronger-than-expected rebound was in part driven by additional stimulus provided by the Chinese government for infrastructure projects. 

Economists in China were anticipating the GDP to expand at 4.0% and the faster rebound raised hopes that the world's second largest economy may exceed the 5.0% growth target set by the government in 2023. 

Apple Inc was also in focus after the company opened its first retail store in India and extended its retail network in one of its fastest growing markets for its products. 

Apple is in the middle of diversifying away from its manufacturing base from China to India and the maker of popular computing devices is also looking to ramp up its sales. 

In the latest financial year, Apple sales in India jumped to $6 billion and analysts are estimating that the company can sustain a growth rate upwards of 30% for several years. 

In the U.S., Apple launched its Apple Card savings account with no minimum deposit or balance and offered 4.15% annual percentage yield.  

 

Indexes & Yields 

The S&P 500 index increased 2.67 points to 4,153.80 and the Nasdaq Composite index fell 10.95 points to 12,144.45. 

The yield on 2-year Treasury notes increased 2 basis points to 4.21%, 10-year Treasury notes fell 1 basis point to 3.57% and 30-year Treasury bonds jumped 2 basis points to 3.82%. 

Crude oil declined 19 cents to $80.63 a barrel and natural gas futures rose 9 cents to $2.36 a thermal unit.

 

U.S. Stock Movers 

Bank of America increased 0.7% to $30.55 after the bank reported better-than-expected revenue and earnings in the first quarter, reflecting a jump in net interest rate margin. 

Goldman Sachs Group Inc decreased 2.3% to $331.89 after the investment bank reported lower-than-expected revenue and took a charge of $470 million related to the sale of its consumer loans business Marcus. 

Lockheed Martin Corp rose 2.9% to $504.16 after the aerospace company and defense contractor reaffirmed its full-year outlook and posted better-than-expected quarterly results. 

Net sales in the first quarter increased to $15.1 billion from $15.0 billion and net income was flat at $1.7 billion and diluted earnings per share rose to $6.61 from $6.44 a year ago. 

The company paid $784 million in dividends and $500 million of its own shares in the first quarter. 

Johnson & Johnson decreased 2.4% to $161.72 after the pharmaceuticals and consumer products maker said first quarter revenue increased 5.6% to $24.75 billion. 

The company swung to a net loss of $68 million from a profit of $5.2 billion and diluted earnings per share of ($0.03) from $1.93 a year ago. 

Adjusted earnings, which excludes special items and amortization expenses,  fell 0.9% to $7.06 billion from $7.2 billion and adjusted diluted earnings per share of $2.68 from $2.67 a year ago. 

 

European Markets Approached Record Territory

The European markets advanced in cautious trading as investors remained focused on corporate earnings.  

Benchmark indexes opened slightly higher but extended gains and the French index traded at a new record high after China's economy expanded at a faster pace in the first quarter. 

China's GDP rose at an annual pace of 4.5% in the first quarter, a rebound from 2.9% in the fourth quarter, the National Bureau of Statistics said Tuesday. 

The stronger-than-expected rebound was in part driven by additional stimulus provided by the Chinese government for infrastructure projects. 

Economists in China were anticipating the GDP to expand at 4.0% and the faster rebound raised hopes that the world's second largest economy may exceed the 5.0% growth target set by the government in 2023. 

Meanwhile, investors overlooked the weakening of the German investor morale in April and the UK's annual wage growth was significantly ahead of market expectations.

 

UK Wage Growth Ahead of Expectations

Average weekly earnings from a year ago in three months to February rose 5.9% to £638.0, the Office for National Statistics said Tuesday. 

Regular pay, which excludes bonus, increased 6.6% to £596.0, ahead of expectations of 6.2% set by some economists. 

Regular wages adjusted for inflation fell 3% and excluding bonus declined 2.3%, the largest decline since 2009.  

 

Italy's Foreign Trade Swung to Surplus

Italy's foreign trade swung to surplus after exports rose faster than imports, the statistical agency Istat reported Tuesday.

Total exports not adjusted for seasonal factors increased to Є52.44 billion and imports rose to Є50.34 billion, resulting in trade surplus of Є2.2018 billion. 

Italy's non-seasonally adjusted merchandise trade swung to a surplus of Є2.108 billion from a deficit of Є1.475 billion. Excluding energy, trade surplus rose to Є7.9 billion. 

On a seasonally adjusted basis, trade surplus increased to Є2.9 billion from Є1.99 billion in January after imports declined for the sixth month in a row. 

Non-seasonally adjusted exports increased 10.8% from a year ago in February following 15.5% in the previous month and imports rose at a slower pace of 3.6% from 8.6% in January. 

Import prices in February fell 1.7% from the previous month but rose 1.3% from a year ago. 

For the first quarter ending in March, non-seasonally adjusted trade deficit was Є2.128 billion. 

 

Indexes & Yields 

The DAX index increased 0.6% to 15,882.67, the CAC-40 index added 0.5% to 7,533.63 and the FTSE 100 index advanced 0.4% to 7,909.44. 

The yield on 10-year German Bunds inched higher to 2.46%. French bonds hovered near 2.95%, the UK gilts to 3.71% and Italian bonds to 4.28%.  

The euro edged lower to $1.097, the British pound traded down to $1.241 and the Swiss franc trended lower to 89.66 cents. 

Brent crude was nearly unchanged at $84.79 a barrel and the Dutch TTF natural gas edged up 26 cents to Є42.72 per MWh. 

 

Europe Stock Movers 

easyJet plc increased 0.9% to 515.68 pence after the deep discount airline forecasted full-year profit is likely to exceed market expectations. 

UBS Group AG increased 1.2% to Sfr 18.95 after the Swiss bank said it may use some of the shares held in treasury instead of canceling them for the purchase of Credit Suisse. 

MTU Aero Engines AG increased 1.3% to €240.30 after the maker of military engines reported better-than-expected revenue. 

MTU Aero said first quarter revenue increased to €1.54 billion and adjusted earnings of €212 million. 

The preliminary first quarter results are ahead of the market expectations of 1.4 billion in revenue and 172 million in adjusted earnings. 

Free cash in the quarter was €93 million, lower than market estimate of €97 million.   

The company said it will release the first quarter financial results on April 26. 

LM Ericsson dropped 6.6% to SEK 58.32 despite the Swedish telecom equipment maker reporting better-than-expected core earnings in the first quarter. 

Net sales in the first quarter increased 14% to SEK62.6 billion but net income plunged 46% to SEK 1.6 billion from SEK 2.9 billion and diluted earnings per share declined to SEK0.45 from SEK0.88 a year ago. 

Housing Construction Activities Eased in March

Brian Turner
18 Apr, 2023
New York City

Housing starts in March declined 0.8% from the previous month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.42 million, following the downwardly revised 7.3% increase in February.  

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development jointly reported housing permits, starts and completions Tuesday. 

Single‐family housing starts in March increased 2.7% to 861,000 from the revised February starts of 838,000 units. 

Building permits in March declined 8.8% to 1.41 million units from the revised rate of 1.55 million in February and dropped 24.8% from a year ago rate of 1.897 million rate. 

Building completion rate was a seasonally adjusted rate of 1.542 million, a decline of 0.8% from the February rate of 1.552 million and 12.9% above the rate of 1.366 million a year ago. 

 

Movers: Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, Lockheed Martin, Johnson & Johnson

Scott Peters
18 Apr, 2023
New York City

Bank of America Corp increased 0.7% to $30.55 after the bank reported better-than-expected revenue and earnings in the first quarter, reflecting a jump in net interest rate margin. 

Total revenue, net of interest expense, in the first quarter increased 13% to $26.3 billion and net income increased to $7.6 billion from $6.6 billion and diluted earnings per share increased to 94 cents from 85 cents a year ago. 

Client balances declined 2% from a year ago to $1.6 trillion but rose 2% from the fourth quarter and the bank increased its provision for loan losses to $931 million from $30 million a year ago largely driven by credit card balances.  

Goldman Sachs Group Inc decreased 2.3% to $331.89 after the investment bank reported lower-than-expected revenue and took a charge of $470 million related to the sale of its consumer loans business Marcus. 

Revenue in the first quarter ending in March decreased 5% to $12.2 billion from $12.9 billion. 

Investment banking fees declined 26% to $1.6 billion, bonds, currencies and commodities business dropped 17% to $3.9 billion and equities segment revenue decreased 7% to $3.0 billion. 

Asset and wealth management revenue rose 24% to $3.2 billion and platform solutions revenue soared 110% to $564 million.  

Net income applicable to common stockholders fell 19% to $3.1 billion from $3.8 billion and diluted earnings per share fell to $8.79 from $10.76 a year ago. 

Provision for credit losses was a net gain of $171 million for the first quarter,  compared with net provisions of $561 million for the first quarter of 2022 and $972  million for the fourth quarter of 2022. 

Lockheed Martin Corp rose 2.9% to $504.16 after the aerospace company and defense contractor reaffirmed its full-year outlook and posted better-than-expected quarterly results. 

Net sales in the first quarter increased to $15.1 billion from $15.0 billion and net income was flat at $1.7 billion and diluted earnings per share rose to $6.61 from $6.44 a year ago. 

The company paid $784 million in dividends and $500 million of its own shares in the first quarter. 

Johnson & Johnson decreased 2.4% to $161.72 after the pharmaceuticals and consumer products maker said first quarter revenue increased 5.6% to $24.75 billion. 

The company swung to a net loss of $68 million from a profit of $5.2 billion and diluted earnings per share of ($0.03) from $1.93 a year ago. 

Adjusted earnings, which excludes special items and amortization expenses,  fell 0.9% to $7.06 billion from $7.2 billion and adjusted diluted earnings per share of $2.68 from $2.67 a year ago. 

U.S. Indexes Traded In Tight Range as Earnings Roll In

Barry Adams
18 Apr, 2023
New York City

Market indexes advanced in the first hour of trading as investors reacted to the fresh batch of earnings. 

Investors remained focused on quarterly results and poured over bank results to get deeper insights in the health of the banking system. 

Commodities prices attempted a rebound after China reported better-than-expected growth in the first quarter. 

China\'s GDP rose at an annual pace of 4.5% in the first quarter, a rebound from 2.9% in the fourth quarter, the National Bureau of Statistics said Tuesday. 

The stronger-than-expected rebound was in part driven by additional stimulus provided by the Chinese government for infrastructure projects. 

Economists in China were anticipating the GDP to expand at 4.0% and the faster rebound raised hopes that the world\\\'s second largest economy may exceed the 5.0% growth target set by the government in 2023. 

Apple Inc was also in focus after the company opened its first retail store in India and extended its retail network in one of its fastest growing markets. 

Apple is in the middle of diversifying away from its manufacturing base from China to India and the maker of popular computing devices is also looking to ramp up its sales. 

In the latest financial year, Apple sales in India jumped to $6 billion and analysts are estimating that the company can sustain a growth rate upwards of 30% for several years. 

 

Indexes & Yields 

The S&P 500 index increased 0.3% to 4,166.05 and the Nasdaq Composite index advanced 0.6% to 12,226.51. 

The yield on 2-year Treasury notes increased 2 basis points to 4.21%, 10-year Treasury notes fell 1 basis point to 3.57% and 30-year Treasury bonds jumped 2 basis points to 3.82%. 

Crude oil declined 24 cents to $80.55 a barrel and natural gas futures rose 2 cents to $2.30 a thermal unit.

 

U.S. Stock Movers 

Bank of America increased 0.7% to $30.55 after the bank reported better-than-expected revenue and earnings in the first quarter, reflecting a jump in net interest rate margin. 

Goldman Sachs Group Inc decreased 2.3% to $331.89 after the investment bank reported lower-than-expected revenue and took a charge of $470 million related to the sale of its consumer loans business Marcus. 

Lockheed Martin Corp rose 2.9% to $504.16 after the aerospace company and defense contractor reaffirmed its full-year outlook and posted better-than-expected quarterly results. 

Net sales in the first quarter increased to $15.1 billion from $15.0 billion and net income was flat at $1.7 billion and diluted earnings per share rose to $6.61 from $6.44 a year ago. 

The company paid $784 million in dividends and $500 million of its own shares in the first quarter. 

Johnson & Johnson decreased 2.4% to $161.72 after the pharmaceuticals and consumer products maker said first quarter revenue increased 5.6% to $24.75 billion. 

The company swung to a net loss of $68 million from a profit of $5.2 billion and diluted earnings per share of ($0.03) from $1.93 a year ago. 

Adjusted earnings, which excludes special items and amortization expenses,  fell 0.9% to $7.06 billion from $7.2 billion and adjusted diluted earnings per share of $2.68 from $2.67 a year ago. 

Earnings Optimism Drives European Markets to Record Territory

Bridgette Randall
18 Apr, 2023
Frankfurt

The European markets advanced in cautious trading as investors remained focused on corporate earnings.  

Benchmark indexes opened slightly higher but extended gains and the French index traded at a new record high after China\\\'s economy expanded at a faster pace in the first quarter. 

China\\\'s GDP rose at an annual pace of 4.5% in the first quarter, a rebound from 2.9% in the fourth quarter, the National Bureau of Statistics said Tuesday. 

The stronger-than-expected rebound was in part driven by additional stimulus provided by the Chinese government for infrastructure projects. 

Economists in China were anticipating the GDP to expand at 4.0% and the faster rebound raised hopes that the world\\\'s second largest economy may exceed the 5.0% growth target set by the government in 2023. 

Meanwhile, investors overlooked the weakening of the German investor morale in April and the UK\\\'s annual wage growth was significantly ahead of market expectations.

 

UK Wage Growth Ahead of Expectations

Average weekly earnings from a year ago in three months to February rose 5.9% to £638.0, the Office for National Statistics said Tuesday. 

Regular pay, which excludes bonus, increased 6.6% to £596.0, ahead of expectations of 6.2% set by some economists. 

Regular wages adjusted for inflation fell 3% and excluding bonus declined 2.3%, the largest decline since 2009.  

 

Italy\\\'s Foreign Trade Swung to Surplus

Italy\\\'s foreign trade swung to surplus after exports rose faster than imports, the statistical agency Istat reported Tuesday.

Total exports not adjusted for seasonal factors increased to Є52.44 billion and imports rose to Є50.34 billion, resulting in trade surplus of Є2.2018 billion. 

Italy\\\'s non-seasonally adjusted merchandise trade swung to a surplus of Є2.108 billion from a deficit of Є1.475 billion. Excluding energy, trade surplus rose to Є7.9 billion. 

On a seasonally adjusted basis, trade surplus increased to Є2.9 billion from Є1.99 billion in January after imports declined for the sixth month in a row. 

Non-seasonally adjusted exports increased 10.8% from a year ago in February following 15.5% in the previous month and imports rose at a slower pace of 3.6% from 8.6% in January. 

Import prices in February fell 1.7% from the previous month but rose 1.3% from a year ago. 

For the first quarter ending in March, non-seasonally adjusted trade deficit was Є2.128 billion. 

 

Indexes & Yields 

The DAX index increased 0.5% to 15,863.23, the CAC-40 index added 0.5% to 7,537.29 and the FTSE 100 index advanced 0.2% to 7,537.29. 

The yield on 10-year German Bunds inched higher to 2.46%. French bonds hovered near 2.95%, the UK gilts to 3.71% and Italian bonds to 4.28%.  

The euro edged lower to $1.097, the British pound traded down to $1.241 and the Swiss franc trended lower to 89.66 cents. 

Brent crude was nearly unchanged at $84.76 a barrel and the Dutch TTF natural gas edged up 26 cents to Є41.79 per MWh. 

 

Europe Stock Movers 

easyJet plc increased 0.9% to 515.68 pence after the deep discount airline forecasted full-year profit is likely to exceed market expectations. 

UBS Group AG increased 1.2% to Sfr 18.95 after the Swiss bank said it may use some of the shares held in treasury instead of canceling them for the purchase of Credit Suisse. 

MTU Aero Engines AG increased 1.3% to €240.30 after the maker of military engines reported better-than-expected revenue. 

MTU Aero said first quarter revenue increased to €1.54 billion and adjusted earnings of €212 million. 

The preliminary first quarter results are ahead of the market expectations of 1.4 billion in revenue and 172 million in adjusted earnings. 

Free cash in the quarter was €93 million, lower than market estimate of €97 million.   

The company said it will release the first quarter financial results on April 26. 

LM Ericsson dropped 6.6% to SEK 58.32 despite the Swedish telecom equipment maker reporting better-than-expected core earnings in the first quarter. 

Net sales in the first quarter increased 14% to SEK62.6 billion but net income plunged 46% to SEK 1.6 billion from SEK 2.9 billion and diluted earnings per share declined to SEK0.45 from SEK0.88 a year ago. 

Beijing's Stimulus Measures Support First Quarter GDP Rebound

Brian Turner
18 Apr, 2023
New York City

China's economy expanded at a faster pace in the first quarter, the National Bureau of Statistics reported Tuesday. 

GDP in the first quarter gained 4.5% from a year ago after rising 2.9% in the fourth quarter as activities picked up at the fastest pace in a year after the ending of strict zero-covid policy. 

The Chinese government has set 2023's economic growth target of around 5.0%. 

Domestic production and demand challenges and macroeconomic headwinds for exports may pose a challenge in the near term but the raft of infrastructure spending announced by the government is likely to kick the economy in the higher gear in the third and the final quarter of the year. 

Retail sales soared 10.6% in March, significantly higher than 3.5% in February, driven 11.5% rebound in vehicle sales and 37.4% jump in precious jewelry sales. 

Retail sales rose at the fastest pace since June 2021. 

Industrial production increased 3.9% in March following a 2.4% rise in January-February period driven by higher output from manufacturing and utilities but mining activities shrank. 

Industrial production rose at the fastest pace since October.    

Fixed-assets investment increase slowed to an annual pace of 5.1% in the first quarter from the 5.5% rise in the first two-month period. 

China's economic recovery is expected to be uneven in the months ahead on the worries about the strength of domestic demand and uncertainties about exports. 

 “We must be aware that the situation abroad is still complex and volatile, inadequate domestic demand remains prominent and the foundation for economic recovery is not solid yet," said NBS spokesman Fu Linghui. 

The jobless rate in March eased to 5.3% from 5.6% in February but the advanced electronics manufacturing industry continued to shrink after exports of electronics products fell. 

Micro computing devices manufacturing fell 21.6% in March, mobile phone production declined 7.6% and integrated circuits output fell 3%. 

 

Movers: Alphabet, Charles Schwab, State Street, Roblox

Scott Peters
17 Apr, 2023
New York City

Alphabet Inc fell 3.2% to $105.41 after The New York Times reported that Samsung is considering switching the default Google search engine on its mobile devices to Microsoft's Bing. 

The report said about $3 billion revenue may be at stake and Google's parent Alphabet was surprised to learn about the discussions between Microsoft and Samsung. 

Charles Schwab Corporation increased 2.3% to $51.95 after the online stock broker and financial services provider reported better-than-expected earnings in its latest quarter. 

Revenue in the first quarter increased 10% to $5.1 billion and net income rose 14% to $1.6 billion from $1.4 billion and diluted earnings per share advanced to 83 cents from 67 cents a year ago. 

Schwab attracted net new one million accounts with core net new assets of $132 billion in the quarter, including $51 billion in March.   

Roblox Corp fell 11.6% to 40.38 after the online  gaming company said its revenue or average bookings per daily user declined from a year ago in March.  

Daily active users increased 26% to 66.2 million from a year ago and estimated bookings were between $247 million and $255 million, an increase between 23% and 27% from a year ago. 

However, Roblox said estimated average bookings per daily active user were between $3.73 and $3.85, which represents a change between -2% and 1% from a year ago. 

State Street Corp fell 11.% to $71.24 after the company reported weaker-than-expected revenue and earnings. 

Revenue in the March quarter increased 1% to $3.1 billion and net income declined 9% to $549 million from $604 million and diluted earnings per share fell to $1.52 from $1.57 a year ago. 

Assets under management declined 10% to $3.6 billion from $4.02 billion a year ago, reflecting lower quarter-end market levels and net outflows. 

Stocks Meandered On Wall Street With Regional Banks In Focus

Barry Adams
17 Apr, 2023
New York City

Benchmark indexes lacked direction as investors reviewed the latest batch of earnings including regional banks. 

Market averages trimmed gains on Friday following weaker-than-expected retail sales in March but the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 index advanced in four of the last five weeks. 

With earnings from large banks out of the way, investors are looking ahead to results from more banks and large brokerage houses this week. 

Medical services, pharmaceutical makers and semiconductor companies extended gains of the last three weeks ahead of earnings. 

Moreover, broader markets have been making advances with more up days then down days in the last 30 trading days. 

M&T Bank offered a glimmer of hope in the ravaged regional banking sector after the company reported better-than-expected earnings and revenue in the March quarter. 

Critically watched, total deposits at the end of March quarter fell less than 3% to $159.1 billion from $163.5 billion at the end of the December quarter. 

Investors have been looking for signs of deposit outflows at regional banks, which could signal if the bank is likely to face a capital crisis.  

With earnings in focus, investors placed worries linked to the Fed's rate hike at the next meeting in early May and looked for clues about the drivers of corporate earnings and how businesses are handling elevated inflammation levels and weakening consumer demand.  

 

Indexes & Yields 

The S&P 500 index fell 0.3% to 4,126.66 and the Nasdaq Composite index eased 0.3% to 12,082.52. 

The yield on 2-year Treasury notes increased 26 basis points to 4.19%, 10-year Treasury notes rose 11 basis points to 3.59% and 30-year Treasury bonds rose 3.81%. 

Crude oil fell $1.93 to $80.56 a barrel and natural gas prices rose 14 cents $2.25 a thermal unit. 

 

Stock Movers 

Alphabet Inc fell 3.2% to $105.41 after The New York Times reported that Samsung is considering to switching default Google search engine on its mobile devices to Microsoft's Bing. 

The report said about $3 billion revenue may be at stake and Google's parent Alphabet was surprised to learn about the discussions between Microsoft and Samsung. 

Charles Schwab Corporation increased 2.3% to $51.95 after the online stock broker and financial services provider reported better-than-expected earnings in its latest quarter. 

State Street Corp fell 11.% to $71.24 after the company reported weaker-than-expected revenue and earnings. 

Roblox Corp fell 11.6% to 40.38 after the online  gaming company said its revenue or average bookings per daily user to decline from a year ago in March.  

Daily active users increased 26% to 66.2 million from a year ago and estimated bookings were between $247 million and $255 million, an increase between 23% and 27% from a year ago. 

However, Roblox said estimated average bookings per daily active user were between $3.73 and $3.85, which represents a change between -2% and 1% from a year ago.