Market Update

U.S. Movers: Coty, Energy Stocks, Instacart, Pinterest

Scott Peters
20 Sep, 2023
New York City

Investors looked ahead to the Fed's rate announcement and its views on the economy, labor market and inflation later in the day. 

The S&P 500 index inched up 0.3% to 4,455.56 and the Nasdaq Composite increased 0.04% to 13,684.31. 

The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury edged lower after rising at a high not seen since 2007. 

The yield on 2-year Treasury notes hovered near 5.05%, 10-year Treasury notes inched lower to 4.32% and 30-year Treasury bonds edged up to 4.40%. 

Instacart declined 4.3% to $32.65 on the second day of trading after the grocery delivery company priced its initial public offering at $30 a share and struggled to hold its early gains on the first day. 

The company sold 30 million shares in the public offering but all shares changed hands on the first day of trading, suggesting that stock may face more headwinds in the next few weeks. 

Pinterest Inc rose 4.3% to $27.34 after the company forecasted annual revenue growth to accelerate following the slowdown in 2022 and 2023.

The company laid out its future plans in its first investor day On Tuesday. 

Coty Inc increased 5.7% to $12.12 after the cosmetic company lifted its full-year 2024 outlook and said comparable sales to grow in the range between 8% and 10% from its previous estimate between 6% and 8%. 

Energy stocks were in focus after crude oil prices hovered near its one-year high, but edged lower in today's trading. 

ExxonMobil, Chevron, Marathon Petroleum, Hess Corp, Valero Energy, ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy and Kinder Morgan traded mixed and ranged between a gain of 0.6% and a decline of 0.8%. 

With Hopes for Rate Pause High, Investors Await Fed's Views On Economy

Barry Adams
20 Sep, 2023
New York City

Market indexes diverged as investors awaited interest rate decision later in the day. 

Investors widely anticipate the Federal Reserve to hold rates for the second time at the end of the two-day meeting today. 

The Fed is scheduled to announce its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET and investors will be looking for Fed's projections on economic growth, inflation outlook and jobless rate. 

The Fed's summary of economic projections provides clues about the latest thinking of policymakers and what could impact Fed's decision making. 

Investors are divided about the future rate path and how long interest rates may be needed to stay elevated to bring down inflation to Fed's target rate of 2%.   

Despite multiple rate hikes by the Federal Reserve over the last seventeen months, inflation has stayed above the Fed's target rate because inflation pressures have broadened from commodities and manufactured goods to services and wages. 

The policymakers have little influence over the direction of the commodities prices, like metals and energy, but hold a larger sway on the direction of mortgage rates and borrowing rates for corporations and consumers. 

 

U.S. Indexes & Yields 

The S&P 500 index inched up 0.3% to 4,455.56 and the Nasdaq Composite increased 0.04% to 13,684.31. 

The yield on 2-year Treasury notes hovered near 5.05%, 10-year Treasury notes inched lower to 4.32% and 30-year Treasury bonds edged up to 4.40%. 

Crude oil decreased $0.20 to $90.32 a barrel and natural gas prices declined 13 cents to $2.71 a thermal unit. 

The dollar index edged slightly lower to 104.78, the level last seen in March but higher than the low of 99.85 on July 13. 

 

U.S. Stock Movers 

Instacart declined 4.3% to $32.65 on the second day of trading after the grocery delivery company priced its initial public offering at $30 a share and struggled to hold its early gains on the first day. 

The company sold 30 million shares in the public offering but all shares changed hands on the first day of trading, suggesting that stock may face more headwinds in the next few weeks. 

Pinterest Inc rose 4.3% to $27.34 after the company forecasted annual revenue growth to accelerate following the slowdown in 2022 and 2023.

The company laid out its future plans in its first investor day On Tuesday. 

Coty Inc increased 5.7% to $12.12 after the cosmetic company lifted its full-year 2024 outlook and said comparable sales to grow in the range between 8% and 10% from its previous estimate between 6% and 8%. 

 

Europe Movers: Automakers, Pearson, Just Eat Takeaway, Ryanair, STMicroelectronics, UK Home Builders

Inga Muller
20 Sep, 2023
Frankfurt

European markets rebounded after investors reacted positively to inflation reports from Germany and the U.K.

The DAX index increased 0.6% to 15,753.82, the CAC-40 index advanced 0.4% to 7,310.83 and the FTSE 100 index inched up 0.8% to 7,718.97. 

The yield on 10-year German bonds increased to 2.71%, French bonds traded higher to 3.26%, the UK gilts edged down to 4.26% and Italian bonds rose to 4.49%.

European automakers advanced after the EU passenger car registrations jumped 21% from a year ago in August. 

BMW AG jumped 2.3% to €99.95, Mercedes Benz Group AG gained 2.3% to €68.34 and Volkswagen AG increased 2.2% to €128.65.  

Pearson Plc dropped 1.4% to 872.20 pence and the UK textbook and education company appointed Microsoft executive Omar Abbosh as its new chief executive. 

Abbosh will take the new position from early 2024.  

STMicroelectronics NV edged higher 0.9%to €40.81 and the advanced chipmaker extended chief executive's employment contract.  

Just Eat Takeaway.com NV jumped €13.06 after the company won a court battle to sue New York City over a food delivery charge limit. 

UK home builders advanced after home prices rose 0.6% in twelve months to August. 

Persimmon Plc increased 5% to 1,099.50 pence, Taylor Wimpey added 5.6% to 121.80 pence and Barratt Developments Plc increased 4.4% to 464.40 pence. 

Ryanair Holdings Plc edged a fraction higher to $101.43 despite the airline facing investigation from the Italian competition regulator.  

European Markets Rebounded After German Wholesale Deflation Accelerated, UK Inflation Eased

Bridgette Randall
20 Sep, 2023
Frankfurt

European markets rebounded after investors reacted positively to inflation reports from Germany and the U.K.

Positive market sentiment was in check ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve's rate decision later today and the Bank of England's rate announcement Thursday. 

Despite the improvement in inflation in the last seven months, the rebound in crude oil and natural gas prices in the last five weeks stoked fears of another bout of inflation. 

Crude oil prices are hovering at one-year highs and natural gas prices have rebounded from the lows in June. 

Additionally, investors reacted positively after passenger car registration in August was in double digits, despite the decline in registration rate from a year ago. 

 

Record Decline In German PPI

German producer price index declined at a record pace in August since data collection began in August, the Federal Statistical Office or DeStatis reported Wednesday. 

The producer price index dropped 12.6% from a year ago, largely because of a base effect reflecting higher prices last year, and the decline accelerated for the second month in a row after falling 6.0% in the previous month. 

Energy prices dropped 31.9% and electricity prices fell 43.2%. 

However, the core rate of producer price index, which excludes energy prices, rose 1.2%. 

On a monthly basis producer prices rose 0.3% in August, the first rise in four months.  

 

UK Inflation Rate Drops to 18-month Low

Consumer price inflation in the U.K. slowed to 6.7% in August from 6.8% in the previous month, the Office for National Statistics reported Wednesday. 

The inflation rate fell to the slowest pace since February 2022 after food prices rose at a slower pace and housing cost declined.  

Core rate of inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, eased to 6.2% from 6.9% in the previous, the lowest level since March. 

On a monthly basis, consumer price inflation rose 0.3%. 

 

Passenger Vehicle Registration Expanded In August 

Passenger car registrations in the European Union rose 21% from a year ago to 787,600 units in August, the European Automobile Manufacturers Association or ACEA reported Wednesday. 

Sales in August are generally slower, but a double-digit increase in registration suggested that pandemic-era component shortages are finally easing and automakers are able to meet higher demand. 

Vehicle registration rose for the thirteenth month in a row in August and market share of battery-electric cars rose above 20% for the first time and surpassed diesel cars for the second time this year. 

Passenger vehicle registration increased in double-digits in most markets, including in the three largest markets in the region, with registration rising in Germany by 37.3%, in France by 24.3%, and in Italy by 11.9%. 

Battery electric car registrations in the European Union soared 118.1% to 165,200 vehicles in August, about 21% of the market. 

For the first eight months of the year, EU passenger car registrations rose 17.9% from the same period a year ago to 7.1 million units. 

Despite the improvement in sales this year, sales are still lower than the pre-pandemic level of 9.0 million units sold in 2019.  

 

Europe Indexes & Yields

The DAX index increased 0.6% to 15,753.82, the CAC-40 index advanced 0.4% to 7,310.83 and the FTSE 100 index inched up 0.8% to 7,718.97. 

The yield on 10-year German bonds increased to 2.71%, French bonds traded higher to 3.26%, the UK gilts edged down to 4.26% and Italian bonds rose to 4.49%.

The euro edged lower to a three-month low to $1.069, the British pound to $1.237 and the U.S. dollar fetched 89.74 Swiss cents.

Brent crude decreased $0.83 to $93.49 a barrel and the Dutch TTF natural gas increased €0.13 to €36.65 per MWh.

 

Asian Markets Rested Ahead of Fed Action, Japan's Trade Shrank, China Holds Rates

Arjun Pandit
20 Sep, 2023
New York City

Popular indexes in Asia dropped ahead of rate decisions from several central banks this week. 

Global market sentiment was weak ahead of interest rate decisions from the U.S. Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan. 

Sweden, Norway and Switzerland are also set to announce their rate decisions this week. 

The Bank of Japan is expected to leave its  ultra-loose monetary policy intact but some investors are hoping that policymakers will provide better insights on future rate patch and inflation pressures in the economy. 

Market sentiment was weak on the worries of a rebound in inflation and uncertainty about interest rates in the U.S. and Europe and looming global slowdown. 

Higher oil prices weighed on the market sentiment after Brent crude oil price jumped above $95 a barrel after Saudi Arabia and Russia extended voluntary production cuts to the end of 2023. 

 

China Holds Rates 

The People's Bank of China also announced its monthly rate decisions as the overall outlook for the economy remains uncertain. 

China's one-year loan prime rate, used for consumer and corporate lending, was held at 3.45% and 5-year loan prime rate, reference rate for mortgage lending, was left unchanged at 4.2%.  

 

Japan's International Trade Shrank In August 

Japan's imports declined for the fifth month in a row and fell at the fastest pace after energy cost declined. 

Japan's imports declined 17.8% from a year ago to ¥8,924.82 billion in August following a 13.6% decline in July, data from Finance Ministry showed today. 

Imports from China declined by 12.1%, the U.S. by 9.5%, Hong Kong by 20.8%, South Korea by 10.8%, Malaysia by  30.0%, India by 9.4%, Australia by 41.6%, and Russia by 62.5%, but increased from Germany by 7.9%. 

Japan's exports decreased for the second month in a row in August, largely because of weak demand from China. 

Exports decreased 0.8% from a year ago to ¥7,994.35 billion. 

Exports declined to China by 11.0%, Taiwan by 14.3%, South Korea by 10.8%, Singapore by 24.6%, Australia by 10.6%, and Russia by 57.6% but increased to the U.S. by 5.1%, India by 16.2%, and the EU by 12.7%. 

Japan reported trade deficit of ¥930.48 billion in August, second monthly deficit in a row, and the shortfall jumped from ¥66.3 billion in July, despite rising automobile exports to the U.S. 

Japan has recorded monthly trade deficit for two years in a row barring June 2023. 

The latest decline in exports was driven by a decline in food exports after its largest trading partner China impose ban on Japanese seafood in late August.   

Japan's trade surplus with the U.S. surged 38.2% to ¥650.60 billion. 

Exports increased 5.1% to record August-high of ¥1.62 trillion but imports decreased 9.5% to ¥967.39 billion.

 

Asia Market Indexes 

In Wednesday's trading, the Nikkei index decreased 0.7% to 33,023.78 and tech stock weakness extended to the third day in a row. 

Market indexes in Hong Kong declined to a 4-week low as investors await the Fed's rate decision and economic projections later today. 

Two new stocks started trading on the Shanghai Stock Exchange on Wednesday after completing their initial public offerings. 

Jilin Joinature Polymer jumped 11% to 32.79 yuan and Hunan Sund Technological advanced 26% to 83.86 yuan. 

In China trading, the Shanghai SSE Composite index inched down 0.5% to 3,108.57 and the Hang Seng index decreased 0.5% to 17,908.48 and the KOSPI index increased 0.02% to 2,559.74.

China's yuan has been trading near a 16-year low after about $68 billion of capital outflow between July and August. 

Stocks in Mumbai fell sharply on the worries of resurgent inflation after crude oil prices jumped to a one-year high. 

The Sensex index decreased 561.19 points to 67,043.80 and the Nifty index declined 165.40 points to 19,968.30. 

On the Bombay Stock Exchange, 226 stocks traded at their 52-week highs and 138 traded at their 52-week lows. 

In August, the Nikkei index fell 0.6%, the SSE Composite index declined 5.2%, the Hang Seng index fell 8.2% and the KOSPI index decreased 4.2%. 

Global Markets On Hold Ahead of Fed Action

Barry Adams
19 Sep, 2023
New York City

Market indexes lacked direction and investors turned cautious ahead of the Fed's rate decision and economic forecast. 

The S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq Composite index dropped as investors awaited the outcome of two-day policy meeting held by the Federal Reserve. 

Investors widely believe that policy committee will hold rates for the second time and leave its target rate range between 5.25% and 5.5%. 

Investors are also looking ahead to the release of economic forecast, and will be looking for Fed's forecast on economic growth, jobless rate and inflation rate. 

The Fed's ten successive rate hikes between March 2022 and May 2023, inflation has slowed down from peak of over 8% to near 4%, but still higher than the 2% target. 

Moreover, inflation has declined because of base effect and the rate hikes have not been restrictive enough to slowdown economic activities. 

Despite multiple rate hikes, interest rates have lagged inflation rate and failed to slowdown consumer spending and business borrowing.

 

U.S. Housing Starts Dropped to 3-year Low 

Higher mortgage rates and elevated home prices impacted home demand and weighed on buyer's affordability. 

Housing starts and building permits declined in August from the previous month but housing completions rose, the U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development jointly reported Tuesday. 

Building permits decreased 6.9% to 1.543 million annual adjusted rate in August from the revised July rate of 1.443 million, but 2.7% lower than the annual rate of 1.586 million a year ago. 

Single-family home permit increased 2% from the previous month to 949,000 and multi-family permits were at a rate of 535,000. 

Housing starts in August declined 11.3% from the previous month to 1.283 million and dropped 14.8% from a year ago rate of 1.505 million. 

Single-family housing start declined 4.3% from the previous month to 941,000 and the August rate for multi-family housing starts was 33,4000. 

Seasonally adjusted annual rate of starts in the West dropped 28.9% to 281,000, in the Midwest fell 7.5% to 160,000 but rose 1% 97,000 in the Northeast.  

Home completions in August rose 5.3% from the previous month to 1.406 million units and increased 3.8% from the annual rate of 1.355 million a year ago. 

Single-family home completion annual rate in August declined 6.6% from the previous month to 961,000 and multi-family rate was at 433,000. 

 

U.S. Indexes & Yields 

The S&P 500 index inched down 0.4% to 4,432.96 and the Nasdaq Composite decreased 0.6% to 13,626.27. 

The yield on 2-year Treasury notes hovered near 5.07%, 10-year Treasury notes inched slightly higher to 4.33% and 30-year Treasury bonds edged up to 4.41%. 

Crude oil increased $1.22 to $92.72 a barrel and natural gas prices increased 10 cents to $2.83 a thermal unit. 

The dollar index edged slightly lower to 105.04, the level last seen in March but higher than the low of 99.85 on July 13. 

 

U.S. Stock Movers 

Rocket Lab USA Inc dropped 18% to $4.12 after the company's uncrewed launched failed in the early hours of Tuesday morning. 

The company confirmed that its 41st Electron rocket launch off the coast of New Zealand failed after two minutes and 30 seconds in flight carrying the Acadia 2 satellite for Capella Space based in San Francisco. 

The company also said it plans to postpone its next space launch and will revise lower its third quarter revenue outlook. 

Rocket Launch had 19 successful launches in a row since May 2021 and is now the second most active rocket launch company in the U.S., trailing only to Space X owned by Elon Musk. 

Maplebear Inc, parent of Instacart delivery service provider, priced its initial public offering at $30 a share, at the upper end of its price range, and raise about $600 million.

The offering valued the company at $9.9 billion and and just days before PepsiCo agreed to invest $175 million in the company.   

Walt Disney Co decreased 3.2% to $82.23 after the company said in a SEC filing that it plans to double its investment in theme parks and cruise business to $60 billion over the next decade.  

 

Higher-for-longer Rate Worries Europe Markets

European markets hugged the flatline and investors stayed on the sideline ahead of rate decisions from several central banks. 

Market indexes in Germany and France edged higher but lacked direction after hawkish comments from the ECB officials reminded investors that the European Central Bank is ready to raise rates to cool inflation further even if that puts the economy into a recession. 

In London trading, the benchmark index edged higher on the hopes that the Bank of England is nearing its rate hike campaign after the rate decision this week. 

Inflation in the UK has been cooling over the last six months and hovering near 7%, but still significantly higher than 2% target. 

Investors are divided about the future direction of interest rates and there is a widespread belief that central banks are more likely to keep higher rates for longer after the rebound in crude oil prices. 

Brent crude oil prices jumped above $95 a barrel  for the first time since November and WTI crude in New York approached $93, the highest in a year. 

 

Europe Indexes & Yields

The DAX index decreased 0.6% to 15,639.26, the CAC-40 index declined 0.2% to 7,264.09 and the FTSE 100 index inched up 0.05% to 7,657.11.

The yield on 10-year German bonds increased to 2.70%, French bonds traded higher to 3.24%, the UK gilts edged up to 4.34% and Italian bonds rose to 4.49%.

The euro edged lower to a three-month low to $1.069, the British pound to $1.238 and the U.S. dollar fetched 89.65 Swiss cents.

Brent crude increased $1.12 to $95.56 a barrel and the Dutch TTF natural gas increased €0.60 to €35.67 per MWh.

 

Europe Stock Movers

Banks in Germany, France, UK and Italy traded higher for the second day in a row on the expectations of higher interest rates. 

Deutsche Bank, Commerzbank, BNP Paribas, Standard Chartered Bank, HSBC and Barclays advanced between 0.5% and 1.4%. 

Societe Generale SA declined for the second day in a row and extended two-day losses to 13% after the new chief executive lowered the bank's target returns over the next three years. 

MTU Aero Engines AG declined 1.9% to €164.65 and extended 2023 losses to 20% after the heavy-duty diesel engine maker issued a sales and earnings warning because of its expanded geared turbofan inspection program.

On September 13, the company estimated adjusted revenue between €6.1 billion and €6.3 billion and earnings before interest and taxes of €800 million.  

Lonza Group jumped 2.5% to CHF 434.90 a day after plunging as much as 15% on the worries about the company's medium term earnings outlook after the company said its chief executive Pierre-Alain Ruffieux will resign at the end of the month by mutual agreement. 

U.S. Housing Starts Dropped to a 3-year Low In August

Brian Turner
19 Sep, 2023
New York City

Higher mortgage rates and elevated home prices impacted home demand and weighed on buyer's affordability. 

Housing starts and building permits declined in August from the previous month but housing completions rose, the U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development jointly reported Tuesday. 

Building permits decreased 6.9% to 1.543 million annual adjusted rate in August from the revised July rate of 1.443 million, but 2.7% lower than the annual rate of 1.586 million a year ago. 

Single-family home permit increased 2% from the previous month to 949,000 and multi-family permits were at a rate of 535,000. 

Housing starts in August declined 11.3% from the previous month to 1.283 million and dropped 14.8% from a year ago rate of 1.505 million. 

Single-family housing start declined 4.3% from the previous month to 941,000 and the August rate for multi-family housing starts was 33,4000. 

Seasonally adjusted annual rate of starts in the West dropped 28.9% to 281,000, in the Midwest fell 7.5% to 160,000 but rose 1% 97,000 in the Northeast.  

Home completions in August rose 5.3% from the previous month to 1.406 million units and increased 3.8% from the annual rate of 1.355 million a year ago. 

Single-family home completion annual rate in August declined 6.6% from the previous month to 961,000 and multi-family rate was at 433,000. 

U.S. Movers: Maplebear, Rocket Lab USA, Walt Disney

Scott Peters
19 Sep, 2023
New York City

Market averages on Wall Street declined ahead of the Federal Reserve's rate decision  and economic forecast on Wednesday. 

The S&P 500 index inched down 0.4% to 4,432.96 and the Nasdaq Composite decreased 0.6% to 13,626.27. 

The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds edged higher to the level last seen in 2007 as many investors anticipate the Fed to leave its target rate range unchanged between 5.25% and 5.50% at the of two-day meeting on Wednesday. 

The yield on 2-year Treasury notes hovered near 5.07%, 10-year Treasury notes inched slightly higher to 4.33% and 30-year Treasury bonds edged up to 4.41%. 

Rocket Lab USA Inc dropped 18% to $4.12 after the company's uncrewed launched failed in the early hours of Tuesday morning. 

The company confirmed that its 41st Electron rocket launch off the coast of New Zealand failed after two minutes and 30 seconds in flight carrying the Acadia 2 satellite for Capella Space based in San Francisco. 

The company also said it plans to postpone its next space launch and will revise lower its third quarter revenue outlook. 

Rocket Launch had 19 successful launches in a row since May 2021 and is now the second most active rocket launch company in the U.S., trailing only to Space X owned by Elon Musk. 

Maplebear Inc, parent of the delivery service provider Instacart, priced its initial public offering at $30 a share, at the upper end of its price range, and raise about $600 million.

The offering valued the company at $9.9 billion and and just days before PepsiCo agreed to invest $175 million in the delivery service company with an annual revenue of $2.5 billion in 2022 and net profit of $428 million. 

Walt Disney Co decreased 3.2% to $82.23 after the company said in a SEC filing that it plans to double its investment in theme parks and cruise business to $60 billion over the next decade.  

U.S. Market Averages Turned Down Ahead of Fed's Rate Decision and Economic Forecast

Barry Adams
19 Sep, 2023
New York City

Market indexes on Wall Street struggled to get traction as investors remained focused on Fed's rate decision and economic forecast. 

The S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq Composite index dropped as investors awaited the outcome of two-day policy meeting held by the Federal Reserve. 

Investors widely believe that policy committee will hold rates for the second time and leave its target rate range between 5.25% and 5.5%. 

Investors are also looking ahead to the release of economic forecast, and will be looking for Fed's forecast on economic growth, jobless rate and inflation rate. 

The Fed's ten successive rate hikes between March 2022 and May 2023, inflation has slowed down from peak of over 8% to near 4%, but still higher than the 2% target. 

Moreover, inflation has declined because of base effect and the rate hikes have not been restrictive enough to slowdown economic activities. 

Despite multiple rate hikes, interest rates have lagged inflation rate and failed to slowdown consumer spending and business borrowing. 

 

U.S. Indexes & Yields 

The S&P 500 index inched down 0.4% to 4,432.96 and the Nasdaq Composite decreased 0.6% to 13,626.27. 

The yield on 2-year Treasury notes hovered near 5.07%, 10-year Treasury notes inched slightly higher to 4.33% and 30-year Treasury bonds edged up to 4.41%. 

Crude oil increased $1.22 to $92.72 a barrel and natural gas prices increased 10 cents to $2.83 a thermal unit. 

The dollar index edged slightly lower to 105.04, the level last seen in March but higher than the low of 99.85 on July 13. 

 

U.S. Stock Movers 

Rocket Lab USA Inc dropped 18% to $4.12 after the company's uncrewed launched failed in the early hours of Tuesday morning. 

The company confirmed that its 41st Electron rocket launch off the coast of New Zealand failed after two minutes and 30 seconds in flight carrying the Acadia 2 satellite for Capella Space based in San Francisco. 

The company also said it plans to postpone its next space launch and will revise lower its third quarter revenue outlook. 

Rocket Launch had 19 successful launches in a row since May 2021 and is now the second most active rocket launch company in the U.S., trailing only to Space X owned by Elon Musk. 

Maplebear Inc, parent of Instacart delivery service provider, priced its initial public offering at $30 a share, at the upper end of its price range, and raise about $600 million.

The offering valued the company at $9.9 billion and and just days before PepsiCo agreed to invest $175 million in the company.   

Walt Disney Co decreased 3.2% to $82.23 after the company said in a SEC filing that it plans to double its investment in theme parks and cruise business to $60 billion over the next decade.  

Europe Movers: Banks, Energy Stocks, MTU Aero Engines, Lonza Group, Societe Generale

Inga Muller
19 Sep, 2023
Frankfurt

Market indexes in Europe lacked direction and investors avoided taking larger positions ahead of rate decisions from the Bank of England and the U.S. Federal Reserve. 

The DAX index increased 0.01% to 15,727.98, the CAC-40 index advanced 0.4% to 7,299.54 and the FTSE 100 index inched up 0.2% to 7,670.19.

Banks in Germany, France, UK and Italy traded higher for the second day in a row on the expectations of higher interest rates. 

Deutsche Bank, Commerzbank, BNP Paribas, Standard Chartered Bank, HSBC and Barclays advanced between 0.5% and 1.4%. 

Societe Generale SA declined for the second day in a row and extended two-day losses to 13% after the new chief executive lowered the bank's target returns over the next three years. 

MTU Aero Engines AG declined 1.9% to €164.65 and extended 2023 losses to 20% after the heavy-duty diesel engine maker issued a sales and earnings warning because of its expanded geared turbofan inspection program.

On September 13, the company estimated adjusted revenue between €6.1 billion and €6.3 billion and earnings before interest and taxes of €800 million.  

Lonza Group jumped 2.5% to CHF 434.90 a day after plunging as much as 15% on the worries about the company's medium term earnings outlook after the company said its chief executive Pierre-Alain Ruffieux will resign at the end of the month by mutual agreement. 

Crude oil and natural gas companies traded higher after Brent crude oil jumped to a 10-month high. 

 

Higher-for-Longer Rate Worries Hobble Europe Market Indexes

Bridgette Randall
19 Sep, 2023
Frankfurt

European markets hugged the flatline and investors stayed on the sideline ahead of rate decisions from several central banks. 

Market indexes in Germany and France edged higher but lacked direction after hawkish comments from the ECB officials reminded investors that the European Central Bank is ready to raise rates to cool inflation further even if that puts the economy into a recession. 

In London trading, the benchmark index edged higher on the hopes that the Bank of England is nearing its rate hike campaign after the rate decision this week. 

Inflation in the UK has been cooling over the last six months and hovering near 7%, but still significantly higher than 2% target. 

Investors are divided about the future direction of interest rates and there is a widespread belief that central banks are more likely to keep higher rates for longer after the rebound in crude oil prices. 

Brent crude oil prices jumped above $95 a barrel  for the first time since November and WTI crude in New York approached $93, the highest in a year. 

 

Europe Indexes & Yields

The DAX index increased 0.01% to 15,727.98, the CAC-40 index advanced 0.4% to 7,299.54 and the FTSE 100 index inched up 0.2% to 7,670.19.

The yield on 10-year German bonds increased to 2.70%, French bonds traded higher to 3.24%, the UK gilts edged up to 4.34% and Italian bonds rose to 4.49%.

The euro edged lower to a three-month low to $1.069, the British pound to $1.238 and the U.S. dollar fetched 89.65 Swiss cents.

Brent crude increased $0.42 to $95.25 a barrel and the Dutch TTF natural gas increased €0.99 to €35.47 per MWh.

 

Europe Stock Movers

Banks in Germany, France, UK and Italy traded higher for the second day in a row on the expectations of higher interest rates. 

Deutsche Bank, Commerzbank, BNP Paribas, Standard Chartered Bank, HSBC and Barclays advanced between 0.5% and 1.4%. 

Societe Generale SA declined for the second day in a row and extended two-day losses to 13% after the new chief executive lowered the bank's target returns over the next three years. 

MTU Aero Engines AG declined 1.9% to €164.65 and extended 2023 losses to 20% after the heavy-duty diesel engine maker issued a sales and earnings warning because of its expanded geared turbofan inspection program.

On September 13, the company estimated adjusted revenue between €6.1 billion and €6.3 billion and earnings before interest and taxes of €800 million.  

Lonza Group jumped 2.5% to CHF 434.90 a day after plunging as much as 15% on the worries about the company's medium term earnings outlook after the company said its chief executive Pierre-Alain Ruffieux will resign at the end of the month by mutual agreement. 

Nikkei In Tokyo Down 1%, Hong Kong Banks Lift Mortgage Rates

Arjun Pandit
19 Sep, 2023
Mumbai

Financial markets in Asia traded mixed and investors avoided large trades ahead of rate decisions by several central bankers this week. 

Market indexes in Tokyo edged lower after advancing for two weeks as investors await the rate decisions from the U.S. Federal Reserve on Wednesday and from the Bank of Japan on Friday. 

The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to hold its target rate range for the second time between 5.25% and 5.50% and investors will be looking for clues on the economy's health. 

The Bank of Japan is also expected to keep its ultra-loose monetary policy intact but policymakers are expected to provide deeper insights about the yield curve management and the progress in keeping the inflation near 2%. 

Market indexes in Hong Kong traded near a four-week low on the ongoing property market woes and continued weakness in tech stocks. 

Hong Kong property prices are expected to decline between 5% and 10% by the year's end after seven largest banks lifted mortgage rates for new loans by 50 basis points from Monday.  

Seven banks, which control about 80% of Hong Kong property market, including HSBC, Standard Chartered Bank, Bank of China, Hang Seng Bank, China Construction Bank and Bank of East Asia raised rates ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve taking its rate decision on Wednesday. 

The Hong Kong dollar has been pegged to the U.S. dollar since 1983, and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, adjusts rates following the rate revisions by the U.S. Federal Reserve, has lifted rates by 5.25 percentage points since March 2022.  

Market indexes in Shanghai lacked direction and retained downward bias despite the People's Bank of China chief Pan Gongsheng said regulators will take steps to improve international trade and climate for foreign investors. 

Despite assurances from regulators, capital outflow from China remained strong as reflected in the offshore yuan exchange rate. 

The Chinese yuan traded near a 17-year low of 7.30 against the U.S. dollar and ahead of the rate decisions in the U.S. and other countries. 

 

Asia Market Indexes 

In Tuesday's trading, the Nikkei index decreased 1.0% to 33,208.71 after tech stocks continued to drift lower ahead of the rate decisions this week. 

In China trading, the Shanghai SSE Composite index inched up 0.02% to 3,126.52 and the Hang Seng index increased 0.02% to 17,933.66. 

Elsewhere in the region, the KOSPI index decreased 0.4% to 2,563.69 and financial markets in India were close to celebrate Ganesh Chaturthi. 

In August, the Nikkei index fell 0.6%, the SSE Composite index declined 5.2%, the Hang Seng index fell 8.2% and the KOSPI index decreased 4.2%. 

U.S. Treasury and Global Bond Yields Advanced Ahead of Rate Decisions, Stocks Struggled to Advance

Barry Adams
18 Sep, 2023
New York City

Stocks lacked direction on Wall Street and investors avoided taking additional bets ahead of the rate decisions on Wednesday. 

Crude oil prices advanced to a new high in 2023 and reached the level last seen in November after supply worries dominated the energy market. 

Futures of immediate month delivery of West Texas crude oil jumped above $91 a barrel and Brent crude oil crossed $94 a barrel. 

Crude oil prices advanced for the third week in a row and jumped nearly 30% in the third quarter on the expectations of a demand recovery in China and curtailed energy supplies from Russia and Saudi Arabia. 

The steady rise in oil price has got the bond market worried about the rebound in consumer price inflation. 

The yield on the 2-year U.S. Treasury jumped above 5% and reached a level not seen since March, on the worries of higher inflation following the persistent rise in crude oil prices.  

Investors are widely anticipating that the  U.S. Federal Reserve is likely to hold rates at the conclusion of a 2-day meeting ending on Wednesday. 

Despite the multiple rate hikes over the last sixteen months, inflation has hovered above the Fed's 2% target. 

Moreover, while the Fed's policymakers talk tough on fighting inflation, Chairman Jerome Powell has refrained from setting a deadline to bring down inflation to 2%. 

Fed's unwillingness to set a deadline for bringing down inflation, highlights loose monetary policy and rates are still not restrictive enough.  

 

U.S. Indexes & Yields 

The S&P 500 index inched down 0.05% to 4,452.20 and the Nasdaq Composite decreased 0.02% to 13,704.56. 

The yield on 2-year Treasury notes hovered near 5.05%, 10-year Treasury notes inched slightly higher to 4.32% and 30-year Treasury bonds edged up to 4.41%. 

Crude oil increased $0.75 to $91.51 a barrel and natural gas prices increased 2 cents to $2.66 a thermal unit. 

The dollar index edged slightly lower to 105.24, the level last seen in March but higher than the low of 99.85 on July 13. 

 

Rate anxieties dragged market indexes down in Monday's trading and investors awaited central bank decisions this week. 

The yields trended higher ahead of the rate decisions from the Bank of England and the U.S. Federal Reserve later in the week. 

The Bank of England is scheduled to lift its rate by 24 basis points and the Bank of Japan is also scheduled to announce its rate decision on Thursday. 

Central banks of Sweden, Norway and Switzerland are also set to announce their rate decisions this week. 

The U.S. Federal Reserve is likely to pause rate hike on Wednesday but investors are worried that higher rates are likely to stay longer as inflation shows no sign of abating. 

Despite multiple rate hikes by the central bank in the UK, inflation in the UK has stayed above 7%.  

The yield on the UK bonds have been on the rise in anticipation of rate hikes, and led other sovereign bond yields in the European Union, surpassing even Italy which generally  

 

Europe Indexes & Yields

The DAX index decreased 1.0% to 15,727.12, the CAC-40 index declined 1.4% to 7,276.14 and the FTSE 100 index inched down 0.7% to 7,652.94.

In the previous week, the DAX increased 0.7%, the CAC 40 advanced 1.6% and the FTSE 100 jumped 3.4%. 

German bond yields advanced to a six-month high and the U.S. dollar hovered near a six-month high as investors forecasted higher rates in the Euro Area.

The yield on 10-year German bonds increased to 2.69%, French bonds traded higher to 3.24%, the UK gilts edged up to 4.38% and Italian bonds rose to 4.49%.

The euro edged lower to a three-month low to $1.066, the British pound to $1.239 and the U.S. dollar fetched 89.61 Swiss cents.

Brent crude increased $0.55 to $94.48 a barrel and the Dutch TTF natural gas decreased €2.05 to €34.48 per MWh.

 

Europe Stock Movers

Societe Generale SA plunged 11% to €23.58 after the recently appointed chief executive announced a plan to cut costs and lift stagnant sales by 2026. 

However, investors sold stock after the revenue and earnings outlook fell short of investors' expectations. 

Nordic Semiconductor ASA dropped 13.5% to €9.25 after the Norwegian chipmaker lowered its third quarter revenue outlook amid ongoing slump. 

S&P 500 and Nasdaq Lacked Direction, 10-month High In Crude Oil, short Term Treasury Yields Advanced

Boris Petrov
18 Sep, 2023
New York City

Market indexes on Wall Street traded down as investors reviewed the rise in crude oil prices and interest rate decisions from the Federal Reserve. 

Crude oil prices advanced to a new high in 2023 and reached the level last seen in November after supply worries dominated the energy market. 

Futures of immediate month delivery of West Texas crude oil jumped above $91 a barrel and Brent crude oil crossed $94 a barrel. 

Crude oil prices advanced for the third week in a row and jumped nearly 30% in the third quarter on the expectations of a demand recovery in China and curtailed energy supplies from Russia and Saudi Arabia. 

The steady rise in oil price has got the bond market worried about the rebound in consumer price inflation. 

The yield on the 2-year U.S. Treasury jumped above 5% and reached a level not seen since March, on the worries of higher inflation following the persistent rise in crude oil prices.  

Investors are widely anticipating that the  U.S. Federal Reserve is likely to hold rates at the conclusion of a 2-day meeting ending on Wednesday. 

Despite the multiple rate hikes over the last sixteen months, inflation has hovered above the Fed's 2% target. 

Moreover, while the Fed's policymakers talk tough on fighting inflation, Chairman Jerome Powell has refrained from setting a deadline to bring down inflation to 2%. 

Fed's unwillingness to set a deadline for bringing down inflation, highlights loose monetary policy and rates are still not restrictive enough.  

 

U.S. Indexes & Yields 

The S&P 500 index inched down 0.1% to 4,444.78 and the Nasdaq Composite decreased 0.1% to 13,697.35. 

The yield on 2-year Treasury notes hovered near 5.05%, 10-year Treasury notes inched slightly higher to 4.32% and 30-year Treasury bonds edged up to 4.41%. 

Crude oil increased $0.75 to $91.51 a barrel and natural gas prices increased 2 cents to $2.66 a thermal unit. 

The dollar index edged slightly lower to 105.24, the level last seen in March but higher than the low of 99.85 on July 13. 

 

Europe Movers: Banks, Insurance Companies, Nordic Semiconductor, Societe Generale

Inga Muller
18 Sep, 2023
Frankfurt

European market indexes declined ahead of interest rate decisions from the central banks of Sweden, Norway, Switzerland, Japan, the U.K., and the U.S. 

The DAX index decreased 0.6% to 15,798.56, the CAC-40 index declined 1.1% to 7,299.54 and the FTSE 100 index inched down 0.3% to 7,689.19.

In the previous week, the DAX increased 0.7%, the CAC 40 advanced 1.6% and the FTSE 100 jumped 3.4%. 

Societe Generale SA plunged 11% to €23.58 after the recently appointed chief executive announced a plan to cut costs and lift stagnant sales by 2026. 

However, investors sold stock after the revenue and earnings outlook fell short of investors' expectations. 

Nordic Semiconductor ASA dropped 13.5% to €9.25 after the Norwegian chipmaker lowered its third quarter revenue outlook amid ongoing slump. 

Banks and insurance companies were in focus after bond yields jumped and ahead of the expected rate increases across the Europe and the U.K. 

Admiral Group, Phoenix Group Holdings gained around 1% but Hannover Re, Allianz SE, Commerzbank, Deutsche Bank, Barclays, HSBC and Standard Chartered Bank and Credit Agricole declined between 0.4% and 1.5%.