Market Update

Cooler Inflation Powers Market Rally as Investors Await Rate Decision

Barry Adams
13 Jun, 2023
New York City

Stocks rallied, crude oil rebounded and Treasury yields inched higher after consumer price inflation eased.  

Consumer price inflation in May decreased to 4.0% after energy prices weakened and food price inflation slowed but shelter inflation drove the inflation higher. 

Attention now shifted to the release of wholesale price inflation before the market opening tomorrow and the Fed's rate decision early afternoon tomorrow.  

Most market participants are expecting the Federal Reserve to stay on the sidelines after the latest inflation report showed progress. 

But the Federal Reserve may focus on core inflation, which has stayed stubbornly high after ten rate hikes in a row since March 2022, and increase rate at the end of the next policy meeting Wednesday. 

Crude oil rebounded after declining for four days in a row after the People's Bank of China cut its short term lending rate by 10 basis points to support weak economic recovery. 

 

Overall CPI Eased In May, Core Inflation Stayed Elevated 

Consumer price index for May eased to 4.0% in May on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday. 

The inflation rate dropped to the slowest pace since March 2021, but prices are still rising at a faster pace than preferred by the Federal Reserve. 

On a monthly basis prices rose 0.1% in May, slower than 0.4% rise in April. 

Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, slowed to 5.3% in May from 5.5% in April, the slowest annual pace since November 2021. 

The shelter index increased 8.0% over the last year, accounting for over 60% of the total increase in all items less food and energy. 

 

U.S. Indexes & Yields 

The S&P 500 index increased 0.7% to 4,369.01 and the Nasdaq Composite added 0.8% to 13,573.32. 

The yield on 2-year Treasury notes increased to 4.52%, 10-year Treasury notes edged down to 3.72% and 30-year Treasury bonds eased 3.88%. 

Crude oil increased $1.94 to $69.05 a barrel and natural gas prices increased 8 cents to $2.34 a thermal unit. 

 

U.S. Stock Movers

Oracle Corporation jumped 4.8% to $122 after the database developer reported better-than-expected fiscal fourth quarter results. 

GameStop Corp surged 6% to $25.80 after Chairman Ryan Cohen disclosed in a regulatory filing the purchase of 443,842 shares of the video game developer. 

The purchase amounts to $10.8 million based on Monday's closing price.

Exxon Mobil and Chevron Corporation edged up 1.4% after crude oil prices rebounded. 

Home builders were in focus after inflation dropped in May raising hopes that the Federal Reserve will pause its rate hike cycle at the end of a two-day meeting on Wednesday. 

Lennar Corp, Toll Brothers Inc, PulteGroup and NVR Inc advanced between 0.6% and 1.2%. 

 

European Markets Rebounded

European markets traded in a tight range after German inflation eased and China unexpectedly lowered interest rates. 

Benchmark indexes traded sideways after German inflation declined in May but core inflation stayed above 5% for the sixth month in a row, highlighting widespread price pressures in the economy. 

Moreover, China unexpectedly lowered its short term lending rate to revive economic growth. 

The People's Bank of China lowered its seven day reverse repo rate by 10 basis points to 1.9% from 2.0%. 

The unusual move to lower short term rate before lowering the long term rate, highlights the sense of urgency felt by the policymakers in shoring the economy. 

The central bank is likely to lower its benchmark loan prime lending rate used for mortgage and consumer lending by the same amount next Tuesday. 

 

German Inflation Eased, Core Inflation Stayed Above 5% 

German inflation eased to 6.1% from a year ago in May, the Federal Statistics Office said Tuesday. 

Inflation slowed from 7.2% in April and price increase was the weakest since March 2022 when prices rose 5.9%. 

Inflation when measured on the EU-harmonized basis decreased to 6.3% from 7.6% in April. 

Energy price inflation slowed to 2.6% in May from 6.8% in April but food price inflation remained elevated at 14.9% despite easing from 17.2% in April.  

Food prices remained the main driver of inflation among all product groups. Excluding energy prices, inflation rose 6.5% and excluding food and energy, inflation was 5.4%. 

Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, has been above 5% since December 2022 and has accelerated every month since then reaching high of 5.8% in March and April before trending lower in May. 

On a monthly basis, consumer price inflation declined 0.1% in May, reversing 0.4% increase in April. 

 

Europe Indexes & Yields 

The DAX index increased 0.8% to 16,230.68, the CAC-40 index increased 0.6% to 7,289.83 and the FTSE 100 index traded down 0.3% to 7,594.80. 

The yield on 10-year German Bunds inched higher to 2.37%, French bonds traded higher to 2.91%, the UK gilts edged up to 4.40% and Italian bonds decreased to 4.05%.

The euro edged lower to $1.079, the British pound to $1.256 and the Swiss franc to 90.62 cents.

Brent crude increased $2.16 to $73.98 a barrel and the Dutch TTF natural gas decreased €5.06 to €36.05 per MWh.

 

Europe Stock Movers

Luxury stocks in Paris advanced after China lowered its short term lending rate to shore up weak economic recovery. 

LVMH increased 0.2% to €836.50 and Hermes International SCA edged up 0.1% to €1,975.60. 

Mining and resource companies traded higher following a rebound in base metal and crude oil prices. 

Antofagasta, Anglo American and Glencore jumped between 2% and 4%. 

Centrica Plc fell 0.8% to  117.05 pence after the company posted strong results in the first five months of 2023 and reiterated its annual outlook near the top end of the market expectations. 

Durr Group increased 4% after the plant engineering company said it has agreed to acquire BBS Automation Group. 

 

Movers: GameStop, Oracle, Home Builders, Energy Complex, Zions Bancorp

Scott Peters
13 Jun, 2023
New York City

The S&P 500 index increased 0.5% to 4,321.57 and the Nasdaq Composite added 1.1% to 13,401.41. 

The yield on 2-year Treasury notes increased to 4.52%, 10-year Treasury notes edged down to 3.72% and 30-year Treasury bonds eased 3.88%. 

Oracle Corporation jumped 4.8% to $122 after the database developer reported better-than-expected fiscal fourth quarter results. 

Revenue in the fiscal fourth quarter ending in May increased 17% to $13.8billion and net income increased to $3.3 billion from $3.2billion and diluted earnings per share rose to $1.19 from $1.16 a year ago. 

Cloud segment revenue soared 54% to $4.4 billion and cloud infrastructure jumped 76% to $1.6 billion. 

The board of directors declared a quarterly dividend of 40 cents to shareholders on record July 12 payable on July26.  

GameStop Corp surged 6% to $25.80 after Chairman Ryan Cohen disclosed in a regulatory filing the purchase of 443,842 shares of the video game developer. 

The purchase amounts to $10.8 million based on Monday's closing price.

Exxon Mobil, Valero Energy, Chevron Corporation, Marathon Petroleum Corporation, EQT Corp and EOG Resources increased between 0.5% and 2%  after crude oil prices rebounded. 

Home builders were in focus after inflation dropped in May raising hopes that the Federal Reserve will pause its rate hike cycle at the end of a two-day meeting on Wednesday. 

Lennar Corp, Toll Brothers Inc, PulteGroup and NVR Inc advanced between 0.6% and 1.2%. 

Zions Bancorporation decreased 2.5% to $29.58 after the company said its net interest outlook is "decreasing" in a presentation posted on the company's website on Monday. 

A shift in funding from deposits to short-term borrowings "negatively impacted" the margin in first quarter 2023 to 3.33% from3.53% a year ago and trending towards 2.85% as of June 12. 

At the end of first quarter 2023, average total loans increased to $56.2 billion from $50.9 billion and total yield jumped to 5.3% from 3.52% from a year ago. 

Average total deposits declined from $81.6 billion in the first quarter to $70.2 billion and  cost of total deposits increased to 0.47% from 0.03% a year ago. 

Elevated Core Inflation May Keep Market Rally In Check

Barry Adams
13 Jun, 2023
New York City

Stocks traded higher after the inflation index in May declined as expected and crude oil rebounded. 

The S&P 500 index advanced 0.4% and the Nasdaq Composite index jumped 0.6% after tech stocks led market gainers. 

Consumer price inflation in May eased to 4.0% after energy prices weakened and food price inflation slowed but shelter inflation drove the inflation higher. 

Most market participants are expecting the Federal Reserve to stay on the sidelines after the latest inflation report showed progress. 

But the Federal Reserve may focus on core inflation, which has stayed stubbornly high after ten rate hikes in a row since March 2022, and increase rate at the end of the next policy meeting Wednesday. 

Crude oil rebounded after declining for four days in a row after the People's Bank of China cut its short term lending rate by 10 basis points to support weak economic recovery. 

 

Overall CPI Eased In May, Core Inflation Stayed Elevated 

Consumer price index for May eased to 4.0% in May on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday. 

The inflation rate dropped to the slowest pace since March 2021, but prices are still rising at a faster pace than preferred by the Federal Reserve. 

On a monthly basis prices rose 0.1% in May, slower than 0.4% rise in April. 

Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, slowed to 5.3% in May from 5.5% in April, the slowest annual pace since November 2021. 

The shelter index increased 8.0% over the last year, accounting for over 60% of the total increase in all items less food and energy. 

 

U.S. Indexes & Yields 

The S&P 500 index increased 0.5% to 4,321.57 and the Nasdaq Composite added 1.1% to 13,401.41. 

The yield on 2-year Treasury notes increased to 4.52%, 10-year Treasury notes edged down to 3.72% and 30-year Treasury bonds eased 3.88%. 

Crude oil increased $1.94 to $69.08 a barrel and natural gas prices increased 8 cents to $2.34 a thermal unit. 

 

U.S. Stock Mover

Oracle Corporation jumped 4.8% to $122 after the database developer reported better-than-expected fiscal fourth quarter results. 

GameStop Corp surged 6% to $25.80 after Chairman Ryan Cohen disclosed in a regulatory filing the purchase of 443,842 shares of the video game developer. 

The purchase amounts to $10.8 million based on Monday's closing price.

Exxon Mobil and Chevron Corporation edged up 1.4% after crude oil prices rebounded. 

Home builders were in focus after inflation dropped in May raising hopes that the Federal Reserve will pause its rate hike cycle at the end of a two-day meeting on Wednesday. 

Lennar Corp, Toll Brothers Inc, PulteGroup and NVR Inc advanced between 0.6% and 1.2%. 

 

CPI In May Dropped to 4.0%

Brian Turner
13 Jun, 2023
New York City

Consumer price index for May eased to 4.0% in May on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday. 

The inflation rate dropped to the slowest pace since March 2021, but prices are still rising at a faster pace than preferred by the Federal Reserve. 

On a monthly basis prices rose 0.1% in May, slower than 0.4% rise in April. 

Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, slowed to 5.3% in May from 5.5% in April, the slowest annual pace since November 2021. 

The shelter index increased 8.0% over the last year, accounting for over 60% of the total increase in all items less food and energy. 

Other indexes with notable increases over the last year include motor vehicle insurance up 17.1%, recreation 4.5%, household furnishings and operations 4.2%, and new vehicles 4.7%. 

On a monthly basis, the index for all items less food and energy or core inflation, rose 0.4% in May, as it did in April and March. 

The shelter index increased 0.6% over the month after rising 0.4% in April and the index for rent rose 0.5% in May, as did the index for owners' equivalent rent.

On a monthly basis, food prices rose 0.2%, energy prices declined 3.6% and gasoline prices plunged 5.6%. 

New car prices decreased 0.1% but used cars and trucks prices rose 4.4%. 

Elevated home and rental prices were main drivers of inflation and shelter cost increased 0.6% from the previous month in May. 

 

Europe Movers: Centrica, Durr Group, Hermes, LVMH

Bridgette Randall
13 Jun, 2023
Frankfurt

The DAX index increased 0.2% to 16,126,  the CAC-40 index increased 0.03% to 7,252.63 and the FTSE 100 index traded down 0.1% to 7,560.76. 

The yield on 10-year German Bunds inched higher to 2.37%, French bonds traded higher to 2.91%, the UK gilts edged up to 4.40% and Italian bonds decreased to 4.05%.

Luxury stocks in Paris advanced after China lowered its short term lending rate to shore up weak economic recovery. 

LVMH increased 0.2% to €836.50 and Hermes International SCA edged up 0.1% to €1,975.60. 

Mining and resource companies traded higher following a rebound in base metal and crude oil prices. 

Antofagasta, Anglo American and Glencore jumped between 2% and 4%. 

Centrica Plc fell 0.8% to  117.05 pence after the company posted strong results in the first five months of 2023 and reiterated its annual outlook near the top end of the market expectations. 

Durr Group increased 0.9% to €5.55 after the plant engineering company said it has agreed to acquire BBS Automation Group. 

The company estimated the enterprise value of BBS Automation between €440 million and €480 million. 

After the takeover of the company, automation division revenue is estimated to more than double around €500 million in 2024.

European Markets In Holding Pattern, Core German Inflation Stayed Above 5%

Bridgette Randall
13 Jun, 2023
Frankfurt

European markets traded in a tight range after German inflation eased and China unexpectedly lowered interest rates. 

Benchmark indexes traded sideways after German inflation declined in May but core inflation stayed above 5% for the sixth month in a row, highlighting widespread price pressures in the economy. 

Moreover, China unexpectedly lowered its short term lending rate to revive economic growth. 

The People's Bank of China lowered its seven day reverse repo rate by 10 basis points to 1.9% from 2.0%. 

The unusual move to lower short term rate before lowering the long term rate, highlights the sense of urgency felt by the policymakers in shoring the economy. 

The central bank is likely to lower its benchmark loan prime lending rate used for mortgage and consumer lending by the same amount next Tuesday. 

 

German Inflation Eased, Core Inflation Stayed Above 5% 

German inflation eased to 6.1% from a year ago in May, the Federal Statistics Office said Tuesday. 

Inflation slowed from 7.2% in April and price increase was the weakest since March 2022 when prices rose 5.9%. 

Inflation when measured on the EU-harmonized basis decreased to 6.3% from 7.6% in April. 

Energy price inflation slowed to 2.6% in May from 6.8% in April but food price inflation remained elevated at 14.9% despite easing from 17.2% in April.  

Food prices remained the main driver of inflation among all product groups. Excluding energy prices, inflation rose 6.5% and excluding food and energy, inflation was 5.4%. 

Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, has been above 5% since December 2022 and has accelerated every month since then reaching high of 5.8% in March and April before trending lower in May. 

On a monthly basis, consumer price inflation declined 0.1% in May, reversing 0.4% increase in April. 

 

Europe Indexes & Yields 

The DAX index increased 0.2% to 16,126,  the CAC-40 index increased 0.03% to 7,252.63 and the FTSE 100 index traded down 0.1% to 7,560.76. 

The yield on 10-year German Bunds inched higher to 2.37%, French bonds traded higher to 2.91%, the UK gilts edged up to 4.40% and Italian bonds decreased to 4.05%.

The euro edged lower to $1.079, the British pound to $1.256 and the Swiss franc to 90.62 cents.

Brent crude increased $1.46 to $73.32 a barrel and the Dutch TTF natural gas decreased €1.86 to €29.15 per MWh.

 

Europe Stock Movers

Luxury stocks in Paris advanced after China lowered its short term lending rate to shore up weak economic recovery. 

LVMH increased 0.2% to €836.50 and Hermes International SCA edged up 0.1% to €1,975.60. 

Mining and resource companies traded higher following a rebound in base metal and crude oil prices. 

Antofagasta, Anglo American and Glencore jumped between 2% and 4%. 

Centrica Plc fell 0.8% to  117.05 pence after the company posted strong results in the first five months of 2023 and reiterated its annual outlook near the top end of the market expectations. 

Durr Group increased 4% after the plant engineering company said it has agreed to acquire BBS Automation Group. 

 

Weaker Inflation Expectations Lifts S&P 500 to 13-month Peak

Barry Adams
12 Jun, 2023
New York City

Stocks traded higher as rate-pause expectations drove trading sentiment. 

Market indexes advanced and investors looked ahead to the release of the consumer inflation index on Tuesday and producer price inflation on Wednesday. 

Investors are hoping that consumer inflation in May will slow to 4.0% from 4.95 in April, reflecting the decline in energy prices and weaker food inflation. 

But the market may be surprised if service inflation and higher shelter cost may keep overall inflation elevated. investors will also closely monitor core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices. 

The Federal Reserve is also scheduled to announce its rate decision on Wednesday and investors are divided about the rate path. 

Some investors are hoping that the Fed may pause rate hikes at June and July meetings and acknowledge the decline in inflation, while others are looking for the central bank to lift rates higher because inflation is still significantly above the 2% target. 

Despite ten rate hikes over the last sixteen months, stubborn inflation is well anchored and has spread from goods to services. 

The S&P 500 index crossed 4,300 for the first time since August 2022 and gained for the fourth week in a row. 

The index is likely to advance further if the Fed announces pause in rate hike on Wednesday. 

Despite recent gains in the benchmark index, market rally is driven by few large cap tech companies and caught many investors by surprise amid looming economic slowdown, elevated inflation and corporate earnings recession. 

Japan's Wholesale Prices Dropped to 2-year Low 

Japan's wholesale prices rose 5.1% in May, slower than 5.8% in April, the Bank of Japan reported Monday. 

Producer Price index rose at a slower pace for the fifth month in a row and at the slowest pace since July 2021. 

On a monthly basis the producer price index declined 0.7% in May and swung to a decline for the first time since February.   

 

U.S. Indexes & Yields 

The S&P 500 index increased 0.5% to 4,321.57 and the Nasdaq Composite added 1.1% to 13,401.41. 

The yield on 2-year Treasury notes increased to 4.55%, 10-year Treasury notes edged down to 3.77% and 30-year Treasury bonds eased 3.92%. 

Crude oil decreased $2.75 to $67.41 a barrel and natural gas prices decreased 2 cent to $2.23 a thermal unit. 

 

U.S. Stock Movers

Nasdaq Inc declined 8.2% to $53.13 after the exchange operator agreed to acquire financial software developer Adenza from Thoma Bravo for $10.5 billion.

The company plans to pay $5.75 billion in cash and offer 85.6 million Nasdaq shares or about 14.5% of its outstanding shares.  

Illumina, Inc increased 2.9% to $206.50 after the company said chief executive Francis deSouza resigned following pressure from activist investor Carl Icahn. 

JP Morgan Chase & Company declined 0.2% to $140.75 after the New York-based bank said it has reached an agreement in connection with crimes of sexual predator Jeffrey Epstein. 

"The parties in Jane Doe 1 v. JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. have informed the Court that they have reached an agreement in principle to settle the putative class action lawsuit related to Jeffrey Epstein’s crimes, which is subject to court approval," the bank announced in a news release on Monday. 

The settlement does not include ongoing litigation between the U.S. Virgin Islands and the bank and JPMorgan Chase’s claims against Jes Staley, former bank executive and friends with Jeff Epstein. 

 

In Cautious Trading European Markets Advanced 

European markets traded higher in cautious trading ahead of rate decisions this week. 

Major averages in London, Paris and Frankfurt advanced and bond yields edged slightly lower. 

Investors are anticipating the European Central Bank to lift its policy rate by 25 basis points but market participants appear to be divided on the future rate path in the U.S. 

The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to announce its rate decision on Wednesday, the European Central Bank of Thursday and the Bank of Japan on Friday. 

Resource and energy stocks traded lower after crude oil prices eased for the third day in a row on demand growth worries. Natural gas prices declined after traders took profit following a sharp rally in the previous week. 

In the absence of economic news, investors debated recent economic data. The economy in the eurozone entered a technical recession after the first quarter growth was revised to a contraction of 0.1%, matching the performance in the previous quarter. 

China's producer prices fell for the eighth month in a row and dropped at the sharpest pace in seven years in May, highlighting uneven and weak economic rebound and weak consumer demand.  

 

Europe Indexes & Yields 

The DAX index increased 0.9% to 16,087.86,  the CAC-40 index increased 0.5% to 7,250.35 and the FTSE 100 index traded up 0.1% to 7,570.69. 

The yield on 10-year German Bunds inched lower to 2.37%, French bonds traded lower to 2.90%, the UK gilts edged up to 4.34% and Italian bonds decreased to 4.06%.

The euro edged lower to $1.078, the British pound to $1.258 and the.  Swiss franc to 90.36 cents.

Brent crude decreased $2.45 to $72.31 a barrel and the Dutch TTF natural gas decreased €1.01 to €31.04 per MWh.

Natural gas prices eased 8% after last week's rally of 35% and investors took profit despite falling supplies and weak demand in the region. U.S. natural gas supplies are diverted to the Asian markets because of growing demand for cooling to combat elevated temperatures. 

Turkstream pipeline which transports natural gas from Russia to Turkey has been shut down for maintenance work. 

Norway's Equinor delayed the restart of its Hammerfest LNG plant to June 14 because of technical difficulties. 

Despite the restricted natural gas supply, storage facilities in the European Union are 70.4% full and the region's government is looking to rebuild its storage to 90% by November 1.  

 

Europe Stock Movers

UBS Group AG increased 0.5% to CHF 18.29 after the Swiss bank said it has completed the purchase of Credit Suisse Group AG.   

Novartis Group AG increased 1% to CHF 90.99 after the Swiss pharmaceutical company agreed to acquire Seattle-based biotech company Chinook Therapeutics for up to $3.5 billion.

Telecom Italia SpA declined 1.3% to €0.25 after the company received two revised offers from existing bidders for its NetCo unit. 

Tullow Oil Plc declined 1.5% to 25.33 pence after the UK-based energy explorer said it is open to all possibilities for its oil field in Ivory Coast. 

SES SA declined 15.60% to €4.71 after the Paris-based satellite company said its chief executive Steve Collar will leave the company at the end of June. 

Frasers Group increased 0.4% to 687.50 pence after UK-based retailer said it has acquired 18.9% stake in the online electrical retailer AO World Plc for £75 million.  

Movers: Illumina, JP Morgan Chase, Nasdaq, Oracle

Scott Peters
12 Jun, 2023
New York City

The S&P 500 index increased 0.1% to 4,298.17 and the Nasdaq Composite added 0.2% to 13,259.51. 

The yield on 2-year Treasury notes increased to 4.61%, 10-year Treasury notes edged down to 3.74% and 30-year Treasury bonds eased 3.88%. 

Crude oil decreased $1.59 to $68.57 a barrel and natural gas prices decreased 2 cent to $2.23 a thermal unit. 

Nasdaq Inc declined 8.2% to $53.13 after the exchange operator agreed to acquire financial software developer Adenza from Thoma Bravo for $10.5 billion.

The company plans to pay $5.75 billion in cash and offer 85.6 million Nasdaq shares or about 14.5% of its outstanding shares.  

Illumina, Inc increased 2.9% to $206.50 after the company said chief executive Francis deSouza resigned following pressure from activist investor Carl Icahn. 

Oracle Corporation increased 4.7% to $115.04 ahead of the database developer's earnings results on the optimism of cloud computing segment revenue growth.  

JP Morgan Chase & Company declined 0.2% to $140.75 after the New York-based bank said it has reached an agreement in connection with crimes of sexual predator Jeffrey Epstein. 

"The parties in Jane Doe 1 v. JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. have informed the Court that they have reached an agreement in principle to settle the putative class action lawsuit related to Jeffrey Epstein’s crimes, which is subject to court approval," the bank announced in a news release on Monday. 

The settlement does not include ongoing litigation between the U.S. Virgin Islands and the bank and JPMorgan Chase’s claims against Jes Staley, former bank executive and friends with Jeff Epstein. 

With U.S. Rate-Pause Optimism High, Indexes Brave Higher

Barry Adams
12 Jun, 2023
New York City

Stocks traded higher as rate-pause expectations drove trading sentiment. 

Market indexes advanced and investors looked ahead to the release of consumer inflation index on Tuesday and producer price inflation on Wednesday. 

The Federal Reserve is also scheduled to announce its rate decision on Wednesday and investors are divided about the rate path. 

Some investors are hoping that the Fed may pause rate hike at June and July meetings and acknowledge the decline in inflation, while others are looking for the central bank to lift rates higher because inflation is still significantly above 2% target. 

The S&P 500 index crossed 4,300 for the first time since August 2022 and gained for the fourth week in a row. 

The index is likely to advance further if the Fed announces to pause rate hike on Wednesday. 

Despite recent gains in the benchmark index, market rally is driven by few large cap tech companies and caught many investors by surprise amid looming economic slowdown, elevated inflation and corporate earnings recession. 

 

Japan's Wholesale Prices Dropped to 2-year Low 

Japan's wholesale prices rose 5.1% in May, slower than 5.8% in April, the Bank of Japan reported Monday. 

Producer Price index rose at a slower pace for the fifth month in a row and at the slowest pace since July 2021. 

On a monthly basis the producer price index declined 0.7% in May and swung to a decline for the first time since February.   

 

U.S. Indexes & Yields 

The S&P 500 index increased 0.1% to 4,298.17 and the Nasdaq Composite added 0.2% to 13,259.51. 

The yield on 2-year Treasury notes increased to 4.61%, 10-year Treasury notes edged down to 3.74% and 30-year Treasury bonds eased 3.88%. 

Crude oil decreased $1.59 to $68.57 a barrel and natural gas prices decreased 2 cent to $2.23 a thermal unit. 

 

U.S. Stock Movers

Nasdaq Inc declined 8.2% to $53.13 after the exchange operator agreed to acquire financial software developer Adenza from Thoma Bravo for $10.5 billion.

The company plans to pay $5.75 billion in cash and offer 85.6 million Nasdaq shares or about 14.5% of its outstanding shares.  

Illumina, Inc increased 2.9% to $206.50 after the company said chief executive Francis deSouza resigned following pressure from activist investor Carl Icahn. 

 

Movers: Frasers Group, Novartis Group, SES SA, Telecom Italia, UBS Group

Bridgette Randall
12 Jun, 2023
Frankfurt

The DAX index increased 0.7% to 16,058.96,  the CAC-40 index increased 0.6% to 7,257.83 and the FTSE 100 index traded up 0.1% to 7,568.16. 

The yield on 10-year German Bunds inched lower to 2.35%, French bonds traded lower to 2.89%, the UK gilts edged up to 4.26% and Italian bonds decreased to 4.07%.

UBS Group AG increased 0.5% to CHF 18.29 after the Swiss bank said it has completed the purchase of Credit Suisse Group AG.   

Novartis Group AG increased 1% to CHF 90.99 after the Swiss pharmaceutical company agreed to acquire Seattle-based biotech company Chinook Therapeutics for up to $3.5 billion.

Telecom Italia SpA declined 1.3% to €0.25 after the company received two revised offers from existing bidders for its NetCo unit. 

Tullow Oil Plc declined 1.5% to 25.33 pence after the UK-based energy explorer said it is open to all possibilities for its oil field in Ivory Coast. 

SES SA declined 15.60% to €4.71 after the Paris-based satellite company said its chief executive Steve Collar will leave the company at the end of June. 

Frasers Group increased 0.4% to 687.50 pence after UK-based retailer said it has acquired 18.9% stake in the online electrical retailer AO World Plc for £75 million.  

European Indexes Inch Higher In Cautious Trading, Natural Gas Ease

Bridgette Randall
12 Jun, 2023
Frankfurt

European markets traded higher in cautious trading ahead of rate decisions this week. 

Major averages in London, Paris and Frankfurt advanced and bond yields edged slightly lower. 

Investors are anticipating the European Central Bank to lift its policy rate by 25 basis points but market participants appear to be divided on the future rate path in the U.S. 

The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to announce its rate decision on Wednesday, the European Central Bank of Thursday and the Bank of Japan on Friday. 

Resource and energy stocks traded lower after crude oil prices eased for the third day in a row on demand growth worries. Natural gas prices declined after traders took profit following a sharp rally in the previous week. 

In the absence of economic news, investors debated recent economic data. The economy in the eurozone entered a technical recession after the first quarter growth was revised to a contraction of 0.1%, matching the performance in the previous quarter. 

China's producer prices fell for the eighth month in a row and dropped at the sharpest pace in seven years in May, highlighting uneven and weak economic rebound and weak consumer demand.  

 

Europe Indexes & Yields 

The DAX index increased 0.7% to 16,058.96,  the CAC-40 index increased 0.6% to 7,257.83 and the FTSE 100 index traded up 0.1% to 7,568.16. 

The yield on 10-year German Bunds inched lower to 2.35%, French bonds traded lower to 2.89%, the UK gilts edged up to 4.26% and Italian bonds decreased to 4.07%.

The euro edged lower to $1.078, the British pound to $1.258 and the.  Swiss franc to 90.36 cents.

Brent crude decreased $1.39 to $73.39 a barrel and the Dutch TTF natural gas decreased €2.66 to €29.39 per MWh.

Natural gas prices eased 8% after last week's rally of 35% and investors took profit despite falling supplies and weak demand in the region. U.S. natural gas supplies are diverted to the Asian markets because of growing demand for cooling to combat elevated temperatures. 

Turkstream pipeline which transports natural gas from Russia to Turkey has been shut down for maintenance work. 

Norway's Equinor delayed the restart of its Hammerfest LNG plant to June 14 because of technical difficulties. 

Despite the restricted natural gas supply, storage facilities in the European Union are 70.4% full and the region's government is looking to rebuild its storage to 90% by November 1.  

 

Europe Stock Movers

UBS Group AG increased 0.5% to CHF 18.29 after the Swiss bank said it has completed the purchase of Credit Suisse Group AG.   

Novartis Group AG increased 1% to CHF 90.99 after the Swiss pharmaceutical company agreed to acquire Seattle-based biotech company Chinook Therapeutics for up to $3.5 billion.

Telecom Italia SpA declined 1.3% to €0.25 after the company received two revised offers from existing bidders for its NetCo unit. 

Tullow Oil Plc declined 1.5% to 25.33 pence after the UK-based energy explorer said it is open to all possibilities for its oil field in Ivory Coast. 

SES SA declined 15.60% to €4.71 after the Paris-based satellite company said its chief executive Steve Collar will leave the company at the end of June. 

Frasers Group increased 0.4% to 687.50 pence after UK-based retailer said it has acquired 18.9% stake in the online electrical retailer AO World Plc for £75 million.  

European Markets Fall Ahead of Rate Decisions Next Week

Bridgette Randall
09 Jun, 2023
Frankfurt

European markets traded in a tight range and investors remained on the sidelines ahead of rate decisions next week. 

Benchmark indexes in London, Paris and Frankfurt traded with a downward bias and investors debated the rate path and reviewed the region's economy. 

The Euro Area entered into a technical recession after GDP declined for two quarters in a row. 

Inflation has been on the downward slide but prices are still rising at a faster pace than the 2% target set by the central bank. 

The European Central Bank is expected to lift its benchmark rate by 25 basis points despite the recent weakening of price increases by sharp fall in energy prices. 

Goods inflation has cooled but service prices are rising at a faster pace and core inflation has stayed between 4% and 5%. 

The ongoing challenging economic conditions were visible in the latest industrial production data. 

Italy's industrial production declined 1.8% from the previous month in April and dropped 7.2% from a year ago, the statistical agency ISTAT reported Friday. 

For the week, the DAX index declined 0.9%, the CAC-40 index dropped 1% and the FTSE 100 index eased 0.6%. 

For the year so far, the DAX index has gained 13%, the CAC-40 advanced 9.2% and the FTSE 100 index edged up 0.1%. 

Turkish lira declined to 23.50 against the U.S. dollar and dropped to a new low and extended loss to 18% since May 28 when President Erdogan was reelected. 

 

Europe Indexes & Yields 

The DAX index decreased 0.3% to 15,951.57,  the CAC-40 index declined 0.2% to 7,208.63, and the FTSE 100 index inched lower 0.4% to 7,570.66. 

The yield on 10-year German Bunds inched lower to 2.41%, French bonds traded lower to 2.96%, the UK gilts edged down to 4.21% and Italian bonds decreased to 4.19%.

The euro edged lower to $1.072, the British pound to $1.252 and the.  Swiss franc to 90.17 cents.

Crude oil is set to decline for the second week in a row as China demand growth worries outweighed the additional production cuts announced by Saudi Arabia last weekend. 

China's producer prices fell at the sharpest pace in May in seven years and dropped for the eighth month in a row and consumer prices rose modestly in the month. 

Brent crude decreased $0.14 to $75.81 a barrel and the Dutch TTF natural gas increased €1.21 to €28.15 per MWh.

 

Europe Stock Movers

Croda International declined 10.2% to 5,254.0 pence after the company reported weaker-than-expected results. 

The chemical company estimated pre-tax profit of  £143 million for the period between January and May 2023 and pre-tax profit for the full-year 2023 between £370 million and £400  million. 

The weak outlook dragged chemical stocks. 

Energy and resource stocks traded lower after crude declined for the second week in a row. 

Shell Plc, BP Plc, Repsol, Eni and TotalEnergies declined between 0.3% and 0.6%. Glencore, Antofagasta, and Anglo American declined between o.2% and 0.5%. 

Banks were also under pressure ahead of the rate decision next week. 

Barclays, BNP Paribas, Deutsche Bank and UniCredit SpA declined between 0.6% and 1.2%. 

China's Inflation Data Show Weak Demand and Uneven Recovery

Brian Turner
09 Jun, 2023
New York City

China's annual inflation edged slightly higher to 0.2% in May from 0.1% in April, the National Bureau of Statistics reported Friday. 

On a monthly basis, inflation declined 0.2% from April when prices eased 0.1%. 

Producer price index, a measure of wholesale prices, dropped 4.6% in May, faster than 3.6% in April, said the statistical agency in a separate report. 

Prices fell for the eighth month in a row and dropped the most since February 2016. 

On a monthly basis, producer prices in May fell for the second month in a row to 2.6% after falling 0.5% in April.   

China's marginal consumer price inflation and producer price deflation is in sharp contrast to elevated inflation in other large economies. 

China's wholesale prices declined because of the fall in international commodities prices and weak demand at home.