Market Update

European Markets Extended 3-day Decline Ahead of ECB Rate Decisions

Bridgette Randall
17 Jul, 2024
London

European stock indexes declined for the third day in a row as investors reviewed the latest updates on inflation. 

Benchmark indexes in Paris, London, and Frankfurt decreased as investors awaited the monetary policy decisions from the European Central Bank later in the week. 

Consumer price inflation in the eurozone eased to 2.5% in June from 2.6% in May, according to the final estimate released by Eurostat on Wednesday. 

Inflation has cooled over the last year from 5.5%, largely because of the decline in energy prices. 

The UK's consumer price inflation held steady at 2.0% in June, matching the rate in the previous month, the Office for National Statistics reported on Wednesday. 

 

Europe Indexes and Yields

The DAX index decreased by 0.3% to 18,466.93; the CAC-40 index fell by 0.2% to 7,563.30; and the FTSE 100 index rose by 0.03% to 8,167.91. 

The yield on 10-year German bonds edged lower to 2.42%. French bonds inched lower to 3.09%; the UK gilts inched lower to 4.07%; and Italian bonds decreased to 3.70%.

The euro edged lower to $1.09; the British pound inched higher to $1.30; and the U.S. dollar weakened to 89.78 Swiss cents.

Brent crude increased $0.25 to $83.98 a barrel, and the Dutch TTF natural gas rose by €0.42 to €32.38 per MWh.

 

Europe Stock Movers

Antofagasta plc decreased 4% to 2,043.0 pence after the Chilean copper miner said annual production is to be near the bottom of the end of the company's guidance. 

Reckitt Benckiser Group increased by 0.2% 4,279.0 pence, and the company said its U.S. sales would be negatively impacted after a tornado struck a warehouse in Mount Vernon, Indiana. 

Demant AS dropped 112.5% to DKK 260.40 after the Danish hearing aid company issued a profit warning. 

Smiths Group decreased 0.8% to 1,739.0 pence, and the engineering company plans to sell 1.2 million shares in ICU Medical. 

ASML Holding decreased 7.7% to €901.60, and BE Semiconductor declined 2.9% to €162.65 on the worry of additional curbs on exports to China. 

Allianz SE rose 0.4% to €262.50, and the German insurance company said it acquired a majority stake in Singapore-based Income Insurance for $1.6 billion. 

Adidas AG rose 3.6% to €236.20, and the sportswear maker raised its annual outlook. 

The company said revenue in the second quarter increased 11% from a year ago. 

Japan Indexes Lacked Direction; Toho, Komatsu and Toray Advanced

Akira Ito
17 Jul, 2024
Tokyo

Amid positive market sentiment, stock indexes in Tokyo advanced in Wednesday's trading, supported by gains in overnight trading in New York. 

The Nikkei 225 stock average and the Topix index diverged at close but advanced in early trading. 

Market sentiment was positive on the growing conviction that the U.S. Federal Reserve is set to start its rate cuts as early as September. 

In addition, the S&P 500 index advanced to a new high as the market rally broadened beyond mega-cap tech stocks. 

The small-cap-focused Russell 200 index gained nearly 2% and increased for the fifth session in a row. 

Closer to home, on the economic front, the Tankan survey showed business sentiment among large manufacturers increased to a seven-month high in July, despite the weakening of confidence among nonmanufacturing companies. 

Investors are looking forward to the Bank of Japan's policy meeting at the end of this month, and the policy committee is expected to announce its bond tapering plan from the current purchase of 6 trillion yen a month. 

 

Japan Stock Movers 

The Nikkei 225 stock average decreased 0.3% to 41,147.42, and the Topix index advanced 0.4% to 2,917.04. 

Tech stocks traded down following the weakness in overnight trading in New York. 

Tokyo Electron, Advantest, Screen Holdings, and SoftBank declined between 0.3% and 1.5%. 

Industrial and consumer exporters gained from thin trading. 

Mitsubishi Electric, Canon, Sony, and Panasonic gained between 0.2% and 2%. 

Toho Co. soared 11.2% to ¥5,064.0 after the entertainment distribution company reported a sharp increase in earnings in its movie business. 

Net profit in the quarter ending in May increased 31% to 16.5 billion yen, or $102. million, driven by a 16% increase in revenue to 86 billion yen. 

Operating profit from its movie unit increased 53% to 20.10 billion yen, and the company retained its annual earnings outlook for the fiscal year ending in February 2025. 

The company forecasts annual revenue to fall 1.2% to 280 billion yen and net income to drop 14% to 39 billion yen. 

Hitachi Construction Machinery, Toray Industry, Komatsu, and Sumitomo Heavy Industries advanced between 3% and 4%. 

China's Third Plenum Focuses On President Xi Jinping's Vision not Market Measures

Li Chen
17 Jul, 2024
Hong Kong

Stocks in Shanghai and Hong Kong lacked direction as investors awaited the announcements from policymakers at the conclusion of the third plenum on Thursday. 

The Hang Seng Index and the CSI 300 index hugged the flatline amid downbeat expectations of new economic reforms and market-supportive measures from policymakers. 

The much-delayed third plenum is likely to focus on how to implement President Xi Jinping's vision of modernization, industrial diversification, and reducing reliance on the U.S. and Europe for advanced technology. 

Investor sentiment has turned negative as Chinese policymakers are likely to focus on supporting new technological innovation and expanding manufacturing capabilities. 

These government initiatives are likely to provide much-needed impetus to expanding China's technological capabilities, but they will also come at the expense of weakening the domestic economy. 

The International Monetary Fund revised its annual economic growth outlook to 5% from 4.6%, citing strong exports and a stronger-than-expected rebound in private consumption. 

 

China Stock Movers 

The Hang Seng index declined 0.1% to 17,720.0, and the CSI 300 index fell 0.1% to 3,495.64. 

JD.com added 2.2% to HK $106.80, Baidu advanced 0.5% to HK $91.60, and Alibaba Group increased 0.8% to HK $76.10. 

BYD decreased 1% to HK $238.20, Li Auto jumped 2.3% to HK $80.35, and Xpeng advanced 2.5% to HK $34.40. 

ICBC was unchanged at HK $4.38, the Bank of China declined 1.4% to HK $3.43, and China Minsheng was unchanged at HK $2.82. 

Retail Sales Growth Slowed to 2.3% Annual Pace In June

Brian Turner
16 Jul, 2024
Washington, D.C.

Retail sales strength and the expected rate cut in the next three months drove investors to consumer cyclical stocks, which rely on economic conditions, namely automobile, housing, retail, and entertainment stocks. 

Retail and food services sales, not adjusted for inflation but adjusted for calendar, increased 2.3% in June, according to the monthly update released by the U.S. Census Bureau. 

May retail sales were upwardly revised to a 2.6% annual pace, but the sales increase in June slowed to a three-month low. 

Retail and food services sales were unchanged from the previous month at $704.3 billion; motor vehicles and parts sales eased to $130.7 billion from $133.3 billion; and gasoline station sales eased to $51.9 billion from $53.3 billion in the previous month, respectively. 

Nonstore retail sales increased 1.9%, gasoline station sales decreased 3%, and motor vehicle and parts dealer sales fell 2% in June from the previous month. 

On a monthly basis, retail and food services sales stalled in June, following an upwardly revised 0.3% increase in the previous month. 

Market Rotation Gathers Pace On Wall Street as Rate Cut Expectations Build

Alexander Garcia
16 Jul, 2024
Miami

The market rally broadened beyond mega-cap stocks as investors jockeyed for positions ahead of the widely anticipated rate cut by the Federal Reserve. 

Stock market indexes advanced as the market rally broadened to small- and mid-cap stocks, supported by positive earnings from Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and UnitedHealth Group. 

The S&P 500 index advanced 0.4%, and the Russell 2000 index jumped 2% and extended gains for the fifth session in a row. However, the tech-heavy Nasdaq eased, as investors lightened positions in mega-cap tech stocks. 

Market sentiment was bolstered after retail sales in June were ahead of estimates, indicating consumers are still spending.

Retail sales strength and the expected rate cut in the next three months drove investors to consumer cyclical stocks, which rely on economic conditions, namely automobile, housing, retail, and entertainment stocks. 

Retail and food services sales, not adjusted for inflation but adjusted for calendar, increased 2.3% in June, according to the monthly update released by the U.S. Census Bureau. 

May retail sales were upwardly revised to a 2.6% annual pace, but the sales increase in June slowed to a three-month low. 

Retail and food services sales were unchanged from the previous month at $704.3 billion; motor vehicles and parts sales eased to $130.7 billion from $133.3 billion; and gasoline station sales eased to $51.9 billion from $53.3 billion in the previous month, respectively. 

Nonstore retail sales increased 1.9%, gasoline station sales decreased 3%, and motor vehicle and parts dealer sales fell 2% in June from the previous month. 

 

U.S. Indexes and Treasury Yields

The S&P 500 index increased 0.3% to 5,648.04, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.3% to 18,418.49.

The yield on 2-year Treasury notes edged lower to 4.47%, 10-year Treasury notes increased to 4.21%, and 30-year Treasury bonds edged higher to 4.42%.

WTI crude oil decreased $1.20 to $80.67 a barrel, and natural gas prices edged up 3 cents to $2.19 a thermal unit.

Gold increased by 20.69 to $2,442.47 an ounce, and silver rose 22 cents to $30.83. 

The dollar index, which weighs the U.S. currency against a basket of foreign currencies, edged lower to 104.39.

 

U.S. Stock Movers 

Bank of America increased 4.4% to $43.73 after the financial services company reported better-than-expected second-quarter results. 

Revenue in the quarter increased 1% to $25.4 billion from $25.2 billion, net income declined to $6.9 billion from $7.4 billion, and diluted earnings per share eased to 83 cents from 88 cents a year ago. 

Net interest income decreased 3% to $13.9 billion from $13.7 billion, and credit loss provision increased to $1.5 billion from $1.3 billion in the previous quarter and $1.1 billion in the period a year ago. 

The average deposit balance in the quarter increased by 2%, or $35 billion, to $1.9 trillion, and the company returned to shareholders $5.4 billion, $3.5 billion in stock repurchases, and $1.9 billion in stock dividends. 

Morgan Stanley advanced 1.1% to $106.65 after the investment bank reported better-than-expected quarterly results. 

Revenue in the second quarter increased to $15.0 billion from $13.5 billion, net income rose to $3.1 billion from $2.2 billion, and diluted earnings per share advanced to $1.82 from $1.24 a year ago. 

The wealth management unit's revenue increased to $6.8 billion from $6.7 billion, driven by a positive market environment and cumulative fee-based asset flows. 

Institutional securities increased to $7.0 billion from $5.7 billion, driven by higher trading activities by clients, strong investment banking fees, and a rise in debt underwriting fees. 

UnitedHealth Group rose 5.6% to $544.54 after the health insurance company reported better-than-expected quarterly results. 

Revenue in the second quarter increased to $98.9 billion from $92.9 billion, net income fell to $4.4 billion from $5.5 billion, and diluted earnings per share advanced to $4.54 from $5.82 a year ago. 

The company adjusted its full-year earnings per share outlook to between $15.95 and $16.40, reflecting the sale of its remaining stake in its South African unit. The company also completed the sale of its large Brazilian operations in the first quarter. 

 

European Indexes Extended Weekly Losses, Eurozone Trade Balance Swung to Surplus 

European markets extended losses this week as investors reviewed the latest batch of corporate quarterly results. 

Benchmark indexes in Paris, London, and Frankfurt declined amid rate-part uncertainty, valuation worry, and a weakening macroeconomic backdrop. 

Despite the domestic economic weakness, exports continue to remain a bright spot in the eurozone. 

The international trade balance swung to a surplus of Є13.9 billion in May from a deficit of Є0.4 billion the corresponding month a year ago, Eurostat reported Tuesday. 

Exports eased 0.5% to Є241.5 billion, and imports dropped 6.4% to Є227.6 billion. 

Among leading trade partners, exports to the U.S. rose 6.8% to Є44 billion, but shipments to China decreased 5.3% to Є18.1 billion, to Switzerland fell 4.3% to Є16.3 billion, and to the UK decreased 0.5% to Є28.4 billion. 

Italy's exports in May decreased by 1.7% to Є56.2 billion and imports slumped by 5% to Є49.7 billion, according to the latest data released by the statistical agency, ISTAT, on Tuesday. 

The trade surplus in May expanded to Є6.4 billion from Є4.8 in the corresponding month a year ago. 

Italy's trade surplus has been expanding in the last several months after the import price of commodities eased following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. 

 

Europe Indexes and Yields

The DAX index decreased by 0.4% to 18,518.03; the CAC-40 index fell by 0.7% to 7,580.03; and the FTSE 100 index rose by 0.2% to 8,164.90. 

The yield on 10-year German bonds edged lower to 2.49%. French bonds inched lower to 3.15%; the UK gilts inched lower to 4.11%; and Italian bonds decreased to 3.77%.

The euro edged lower to $1.09; the British pound inched higher to $1.29; and the U.S. dollar weakened to 89.36 Swiss cents.

Brent crude decreased $0.96 to $83.89 a barrel, and the Dutch TTF natural gas rose by €1.11 to €32.78 per MWh.

 

Europe Stock Movers

Hugo Boss decreased 8.4% to €37.0, and the German fashion company lowered its annual revenue outlook, citing a China-led slowdown. 

The apparel retailer lowered its full-year revenue outlook to 4.35 billion from the previous estimate of 4.45 billion. 

The company said second-quarter revenue declined 1% to $1.02 billion, driven by a fall in sales in Asia and Europe. 

Richemont increased 0.6% to CHF 137.90, and the parent company of Cartier and Mont Blanc reported a marginal increase in sales in the fiscal first quarter ending in June. 

Sales in constant currency rose 1% but declined 1% in nominal terms to Є5.27 billion from Є5.32 billion a year earlier. 

Challenging macroeconomic conditions slowed down the growth from 19% to 14% in the corresponding period a year ago. 

Sales in Japan surged 59%, in Europe advanced 5%, in the Americas gained 10%, but plunged 27% in Greater China. 

SCOR SE dropped 25.4% to €19.43 after the French insurance company said its L&H insurance service unit would deliver a loss of €0.4 billion in the second quarter. 

Rio Tinto declined 5.4% to 5,013.0 pence after the iron ore mining company reported second-quarter shipments falling short of estimates. 

Glencore, Anglo American, and Antofagasta declined between 1% and 2% after copper prices eased for the second day in a row after China reported mixed economic data on Monday. 

Ocado jumped 9.8% to 373.90 pence after the online retailer raised the profit outlook for its technology unit. 

B&M European Value Retail SA increased 4.4% to 466.40 pence after the discount retailer reported a 2.4% increase in sales in the first quarter and signaled a positive outlook for the full year. 

 

Japan Indexes Trim Morning Gains as the Yen Wobbles 

Stock market indexes dissipated morning gains after investors returned from a three-day holiday. 

The Nikkei 225 and the broader market index Topix cut morning gains as investors bid up stocks following the overnight gains in New York. 

Market indexes have struggled to resume their advance over the last month amid rate path uncertainty and the Bank of Japan's reluctance to increase rates and shrink the yawning yield gap between the U.S. and Japanese bonds. 

The lack of urgency on the part of the Bank of Japan's policymakers is weighing on the yen as domestic investors shift more attention to higher-yielding bonds and securities overseas. 

The Bank of Japan is expected to announce its monthly purchase plan to trim the current $6 trillion bond purchase, and speculations are high that the central bank will taper the purchase to as low as 3 trillion yen. 

The twin uncertainty of the rate path and the government bond purchase plans continue to drag down the yen, and currency traders are preparing for the yen to drop as low as 170 before it finds its stable bottom. 

The Japanese yen rebounded to 158.64 against the U.S. dollar after the currency declined more than 2% in the previous week. 

Tech stocks were among the leading winners following the gains in the sector in New York, and artificial intelligence-linked stocks led the gainers in Tokyo. 

 

Japan Stock Movers 

The Nikkei 225 stock average gained 0.2% to 41,277.52, and the Topix index added 0.4% to 2,908.24. 

Softbank Group increased 0.2% to ¥11,410.0, and the venture capital fund led a $300 million investment round for the start-up Skild AI, which focuses on the core processes for generative AI. 

Financial stocks were among the leading gainers in Tokyo trading on Tuesday. 

Mitsubishi UFJ, Sumitomo Mitsui, and Mizhuo Financial advanced between 1% and 2%. 

Vehicle exporters were also in focus after the persistent weakness in the yen, which is expected to boost the profits of automakers. 

Honda Motor, Toyota Motor, and Nissan Motor gained between 1% and 2%. 

Taiyo Yuden jumped 9.4% to ¥5,037.0, and the electronics materials maker extended gains for the second week in a row amid expectations of higher sales in the current financial year. 

Murata Manufacturing, Kawasaki Heavy Industry (IHI), Alps Alpine, Fanuc, and TDK gained between 4% and 6%. 

 

Chinese Companies Line Up to Sell U.S. Dollar Bonds as Stock Indexes Search for Lower Levels 

Amid a growing cautious outlook for the second half, investors dialed back their economic growth outlook after a string of weak economic data releases on Monday. 

The Hang Seng index fell as much as 1.5%, and the CSI 300 index, tracking larger stocks on the mainland, edged slightly lower and extended losses for the second session in a row. 

Investors continued to lighten their holdings after China's second quarter economic growth, retail sales, and fixed-asset investment fell short of expectations. 

Policymakers in Beijing are struggling to develop a plan to rebuild consumer confidence and financial market-supportive measures amid falling consumer demand and a multi-year decline in broader market indexes. 

The Chinese government has limited financial flexibility as the country's debt hovers near 300% of GDP, and banks are struggling to account for losses linked to the residential property market. 

The Chinese Communist Party's third plenum is expected to release its broad outline of macroeconomic plans to bolster economic growth at the end of a four-day meeting on Thursday. 

However, investors have lowered their expectations of deep economic reform, including local and regional governments' huge losses that are not reflected in their annual finances. 

Meanwhile, private businesses continue to keep foreign earnings overseas amid widespread belief that the People's Bank of China is not in a position to sustain the current level of the yuan as economic growth continues to slow to 2% annual long-term growth. 

 

China Stock Movers 

The Hang Seng index decreased 1.4% to 17,770.46, and the CSI 300 index added 0.1% to 3,480.74. 

Tech stocks were among the leading decliners in Tuesday's trading. 

Alibaba Group declined 1.4% to HK $75.50, Baidu fell 3.6% to HK $90.60, Tencent Holdings decreased 2.2% to HK $381.80, and Meituan eased 1% to HK $118.0. 

Ping An Insurance Group declined 5.2% to HK $34.20, and the insurance giant announced its plan to sell $3.5 billion of convertible bonds. 

Several Chinese companies prepared to float U.S. dollar bonds amid growing expectations that U.S. interest rates are likely to ease in the coming months after the latest comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell supported the possibility of a rate cut as early as September. 

China Cinda, SM Investments, and Mitsubishi HC Finance are looking to sell bonds denominated in the U.S. dollar as early as in the third quarter. 

U.S. Movers: Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, UnitedHealth Group

Scott Peters
16 Jul, 2024
New York City

Bank of America increased 4.4% to $43.73 after the financial services company reported better-than-expected second-quarter results. 

Revenue in the quarter increased 1% to $25.4 billion from $25.2 billion, net income declined to $6.9 billion from $7.4 billion, and diluted earnings per share eased to 83 cents from 88 cents a year ago. 

Net interest income decreased 3% to $13.9 billion from $13.7 billion, and credit loss provision increased to $1.5 billion from $1.3 billion in the previous quarter and $1.1 billion in the period a year ago. 

The average deposit balance in the quarter increased by 2%, or $35 billion, to $1.9 trillion, and the company returned to shareholders $5.4 billion, $3.5 billion in stock repurchases, and $1.9 billion in stock dividends. 

Morgan Stanley advanced 1.1% to $106.65 after the investment bank reported better-than-expected quarterly results. 

Revenue in the second quarter increased to $15.0 billion from $13.5 billion, net income rose to $3.1 billion from $2.2 billion, and diluted earnings per share advanced to $1.82 from $1.24 a year ago. 

The wealth management unit's revenue increased to $6.8 billion from $6.7 billion, driven by a positive market environment and cumulative fee-based asset flows. 

Institutional securities increased to $7.0 billion from $5.7 billion, driven by higher trading activities by clients, strong investment banking fees, and a rise in debt underwriting fees. 

UnitedHealth Group rose 5.6% to $544.54 after the health insurance company reported better-than-expected quarterly results. 

Revenue in the second quarter increased to $98.9 billion from $92.9 billion, net income fell to $4.4 billion from $5.5 billion, and diluted earnings per share advanced to $4.54 from $5.82 a year ago. 

The company adjusted its full-year earnings per share outlook to between $15.95 and $16.40, reflecting the sale of its remaining stake in its South African unit. The company also completed the sale of its large Brazilian operations in the first quarter. 

U.S. Market Rally Broadens Beyond Mega-cap Tech Stocks, Retail Sale Beat Expectations

Barry Adams
16 Jul, 2024
New York City

Stock market indexes advanced as the market rally broadened to small- and mid-cap stocks amid positive earnings from Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and UnitedHealth Group. 

The S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq Composite advanced a fraction, and the Russell 2000 index jumped 1% and extended gains for the fifth session in a row. 

Market sentiment was bolstered after retail sales in June were ahead of estimates, indicating consumers are still spending. 

Retail and food services sales, not adjusted for inflation but adjusted for calendar, increased 2.3% in June, and sales increased slowed for the third month in a row, according to the monthly update released by the U.S. Census Bureau. 

May retail sales were upwardly revised to 2.6%. 

Retail and food services sales were unchanged from the previous month at $704.3 billion, motor vehicles and parts sales eased to $130.7 billion from $133.3 billion, and gasoline station sales eased to $51.9 billion from $53.3 billion in the previous month, respectively. 

Nonstore retail sales increased 1.9%, gasoline station sales decreased 3%, and motor vehicle and parts dealer sales fell 2% in June from the previous month. 

 

U.S. Indexes and Treasury Yields

The S&P 500 index increased 0.4% to 5,651.06, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.2% to 18,510.50.

The yield on 2-year Treasury notes edged lower to 4.47%, 10-year Treasury notes increased to 4.21%, and 30-year Treasury bonds edged higher to 4.42%.

WTI crude oil decreased $1.20 to $80.67 a barrel, and natural gas prices edged up 3 cents to $2.19 a thermal unit.

Gold increased by 20.69 to $2,442.47 an ounce, and silver rose 22 cents to $30.83. 

The dollar index, which weighs the U.S. currency against a basket of foreign currencies, edged lower to 104.39.

 

U.S. Stock Movers 

Bank of America increased 4.4% to $43.73 after the financial services company reported better-than-expected second-quarter results. 

Revenue in the quarter increased 1% to $25.4 billion from $25.2 billion, net income declined to $6.9 billion from $7.4 billion, and diluted earnings per share eased to 83 cents from 88 cents a year ago. 

Net interest income decreased 3% to $13.9 billion from $13.7 billion, and credit loss provision increased to $1.5 billion from $1.3 billion in the previous quarter and $1.1 billion in the period a year ago. 

The average deposit balance in the quarter increased by 2%, or $35 billion, to $1.9 trillion, and the company returned to shareholders $5.4 billion, $3.5 billion in stock repurchases, and $1.9 billion in stock dividends. 

Morgan Stanley advanced 1.1% to $106.65 after the investment bank reported better-than-expected quarterly results. 

Revenue in the second quarter increased to $15.0 billion from $13.5 billion, net income rose to $3.1 billion from $2.2 billion, and diluted earnings per share advanced to $1.82 from $1.24 a year ago. 

The wealth management unit's revenue increased to $6.8 billion from $6.7 billion, driven by a positive market environment and cumulative fee-based asset flows. 

Institutional securities increased to $7.0 billion from $5.7 billion, driven by higher trading activities by clients, strong investment banking fees, and a rise in debt underwriting fees. 

UnitedHealth Group rose 5.6% to $544.54 after the health insurance company reported better-than-expected quarterly results. 

Revenue in the second quarter increased to $98.9 billion from $92.9 billion, net income fell to $4.4 billion from $5.5 billion, and diluted earnings per share advanced to $4.54 from $5.82 a year ago. 

The company adjusted its full-year earnings per share outlook to between $15.95 and $16.40, reflecting the sale of its remaining stake in its South African unit. The company also completed the sale of its large Brazilian operations in the first quarter. 

Europe Movers: B&M Retail, Hugo Boss, Ocado, SCOR, Richemont, Rio Tinto

Inga Muller
16 Jul, 2024
Frankfurt

European markets turned lower amid rate jitters and macroeconomic anxieties as investors reviewed the latest batch of earnings. 

The Euro Area trade balance swung to a surplus in May after imports fell faster than exports.   

The DAX index decreased by 0.4% to 18,676.88; the CAC-40 index fell by 0.7% to 7,673.76; and the FTSE 100 index rose by 0.4% to 8,224.75. 

The yield on 10-year German bonds edged lower to 2.49%. French bonds inched lower to 3.15%; the UK gilts inched lower to 4.11%; and Italian bonds decreased to 3.77%.

Hugo Boss decreased 8.4% to €37.0, and the German fashion company lowered its annual revenue outlook, citing a China-led slowdown. 

The apparel retailer lowered its full-year revenue outlook to 4.35 billion from the previous estimate of 4.45 billion. 

The company said second-quarter revenue declined 1% to $1.02 billion, driven by a fall in sales in Asia and Europe. 

Richemont increased 0.6% to CHF 137.90, and the parent company of Cartier and Montblanc reported a marginal increase in sales in the fiscal first quarter ending in June. 

Sales in constant currency rose 1% but declined 1% in nominal terms to Є5.27 billion from Є5.32 billion a year earlier. 

Challenging macroeconomic conditions slowed down the growth from 19% to 14% in the corresponding period a year ago. 

Sales in Japan surged 59%, in Europe advanced 5%, in the Americas gained 10%, but plunged 27% in Greater China. 

SCOR SE dropped 25.4% to €19.43 after the French insurance company said its L&H insurance service unit would deliver a loss of €0.4 billion in the second quarter. 

Rio Tinto declined 5.4% to 5,013.0 pence after the iron ore mining company reported second-quarter shipments falling short of estimates. 

Glencore, Anglo American, and Antofagasta declined between 1% and 2% after copper prices eased for the second day in a row after China reported mixed economic data on Monday. 

Ocado jumped 9.8% to 373.90 pence after the online retailer raised the profit outlook for its technology unit. 

B&M European Value Retail SA increased 4.4% to 466.40 pence after the discount retailer reported a 2.4% increase in sales in the first quarter and signaled a positive outlook for the full year. 

European Stock Indexes Extended Weekly Losses, Eurozone Trade Balance Swung to Surplus

Bridgette Randall
16 Jul, 2024
London

European markets extended losses this week as investors reviewed the latest batch of corporate quarterly results. 

Benchmark indexes in Paris, London, and Frankfurt declined amid rate-part uncertainty, valuation worry, and a weakening macroeconomic backdrop. 

Despite the domestic economic weakness, exports continue to remain a bright spot in the eurozone. 

The international trade balance swung to a surplus of Є13.9 billion in May from a deficit of Є0.4 billion in the corresponding month a year ago, Eurostat reported Tuesday. 

Exports eased 0.5% to Є241.5 billion, and imports dropped 6.4% to Є227.6 billion. 

Among leading trade partners, exports to the U.S. rose 6.8% to Є44 billion, but shipments to China decreased 5.3% to Є18.1 billion, to Switzerland fell 4.3% to Є16.3 billion, and to the UK decreased 0.5% to Є28.4 billion. 

Italy's exports in May decreased by 1.7% to Є56.2 billion and imports slumped by 5% to Є49.7 billion, according to the latest data released by the statistical agency, ISTAT, on Tuesday. 

The trade surplus in May expanded to Є6.4 billion from Є4.8 in the corresponding month a year ago. 

Italy's trade surplus has been expanding in the last several months after the import price of commodities eased following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. 

 

Europe Indexes and Yields

The DAX index decreased by 0.4% to 18,676.88; the CAC-40 index fell by 0.7% to 7,673.76; and the FTSE 100 index rose by 0.4% to 8,224.75. 

The yield on 10-year German bonds edged lower to 2.49%. French bonds inched lower to 3.15%; the UK gilts inched lower to 4.11%; and Italian bonds decreased to 3.77%.

The euro edged lower to $1.09; the British pound inched higher to $1.29; and the U.S. dollar weakened to 89.36 Swiss cents.

Brent crude decreased $0.14 to $84.89 a barrel, and the Dutch TTF natural gas rose by €0.39 to €31.18 per MWh.

 

Europe Stock Movers

Hugo Boss decreased 8.4% to €37.0, and the German fashion company lowered its annual revenue outlook, citing a China-led slowdown. 

The apparel retailer lowered its full-year revenue outlook to 4.35 billion from the previous estimate of 4.45 billion. 

The company said second-quarter revenue declined 1% to $1.02 billion, driven by a fall in sales in Asia and Europe. 

Richemont increased 0.6% to CHF 137.90, and the parent company of Cartier and Mont Blanc reported a marginal increase in sales in the fiscal first quarter ending in June. 

Sales in constant currency rose 1% but declined 1% in nominal terms to Є5.27 billion from Є5.32 billion a year earlier. 

Challenging macroeconomic conditions slowed down the growth from 19% to 14% in the corresponding period a year ago. 

Sales in Japan surged 59%, in Europe advanced 5%, in the Americas gained 10%, but plunged 27% in Greater China. 

SCOR SE dropped 25.4% to €19.43 after the French insurance company said its L&H insurance service unit would deliver a loss of €0.4 billion in the second quarter. 

Rio Tinto declined 5.4% to 5,013.0 pence after the iron ore mining company reported second-quarter shipments falling short of estimates. 

Glencore, Anglo American, and Antofagasta declined between 1% and 2% after copper prices eased for the second day in a row after China reported mixed economic data on Monday. 

Ocado jumped 9.8% to 373.90 pence after the online retailer raised the profit outlook for its technology unit. 

B&M European Value Retail SA increased 4.4% to 466.40 pence after the discount retailer reported a 2.4% increase in sales in the first quarter and signaled a positive outlook for the full year. 

Japan Indexes Trim Morning Gains as the Yen Wobbles

Akira Ito
16 Jul, 2024
Tokyo

Stock market indexes dissipated morning gains after investors returned from a three-day holiday. 

The Nikkei 225 and the broader market index Topix cut morning gains as investors bid up stocks following the overnight gains in New York. 

Market indexes have struggled to resume their advance over the last month amid rate path uncertainty and the Bank of Japan's reluctance to increase rates and shrink the yawning yield gap between the U.S. and Japanese bonds. 

The lack of urgency on the part of the Bank of Japan's policymakers is weighing on the yen as domestic investors shift more attention to higher-yielding bonds and securities overseas. 

The Bank of Japan is expected to announce its monthly purchase plan to trim the current $6 trillion bond purchase, and speculations are high that the central bank will taper the purchase to as low as 3 trillion yen. 

The twin uncertainty of the rate path and the government bond purchase plans continue to drag down the yen, and currency traders are preparing for the yen to drop as low as 170 before it finds its stable bottom. 

The Japanese yen rebounded to 158.64 against the U.S. dollar after the currency declined more than 2% in the previous week. 

Tech stocks were among the leading winners following the gains in the sector in New York, and artificial intelligence-linked stocks led the gainers in Tokyo. 

 

Japan Stock Movers 

The Nikkei 225 stock average gained 0.2% to 41,277.52, and the Topix index added 0.4% to 2,908.24. 

Softbank Group increased 0.2% to ¥11,410.0, and the venture capital fund led a $300 million investment round for the start-up Skild AI, which focuses on the core processes for generative AI. 

Financial stocks were among the leading gainers in Tokyo trading on Tuesday. 

Mitsubishi UFJ, Sumitomo Mitsui, and Mizhuo Financial advanced between 1% and 2%. 

Vehicle exporters were also in focus after the persistent weakness in the yen, which is expected to boost the profits of automakers. 

Honda Motor, Toyota Motor, and Nissan Motor gained between 1% and 2%. 

Taiyo Yuden jumped 9.4% to ¥5,037.0, and the electronics materials maker extended gains for the second week in a row amid expectations of higher sales in the current financial year. 

Murata Manufacturing, Kawasaki Heavy Industry (IHI), Alps Alpine, Fanuc, and TDK gained between 4% and 6%. 

Chinese Companies Line Up to Sell U.S. Dollar Bonds as Stock Indexes Search for Lower Levels

Li Chen
16 Jul, 2024
Hong Kong

Amid a growing cautious outlook for the second half, investors dialed back their economic growth outlook after a string of weak economic data releases on Monday. 

The Hang Seng index fell as much as 1.5%, and the CSI 300 index, tracking larger stocks on the mainland, edged slightly lower and extended losses for the second session in a row. 

Investors continued to lighten their holdings after China's second quarter economic growth, retail sales, and fixed-asset investment fell short of expectations. 

Policymakers in Beijing are struggling to develop a plan to rebuild consumer confidence and financial market-supportive measures amid falling consumer demand and a multi-year decline in broader market indexes. 

The Chinese government has limited financial flexibility as the country's debt hovers near 300% of GDP, and banks are struggling to account for losses linked to the residential property market. 

The Chinese Communist Party's third plenum is expected to release its broad outline of macroeconomic plans to bolster economic growth at the end of a four-day meeting on Thursday. 

However, investors have lowered their expectations of deep economic reform, including local and regional governments' huge losses that are not reflected in their annual finances. 

Meanwhile, private businesses continue to keep foreign earnings overseas amid widespread belief that the People's Bank of China is not in a position to sustain the current level of the yuan as economic growth continues to slow to 2% annual long-term growth. 

 

China Stock Movers 

The Hang Seng index decreased 1.4% to 17,770.46, and the CSI 300 index added 0.1% to 3,480.74. 

Tech stocks were among the leading decliners in Tuesday's trading. 

Alibaba Group declined 1.4% to HK $75.50, Baidu fell 3.6% to HK $90.60, Tencent Holdings decreased 2.2% to HK $381.80, and Meituan eased 1% to HK $118.0. 

Ping An Insurance Group declined 5.2% to HK $34.20, and the insurance giant announced its plan to sell $3.5 billion of convertible bonds. 

Several Chinese companies prepared to float U.S. dollar bonds amid growing expectations that U.S. interest rates are likely to ease in the coming months after the latest comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell supported the possibility of a rate cut as early as September. 

China Cinda, SM Investments, and Mitsubishi HC Finance are looking to sell bonds denominated in the U.S. dollar as early as in the third quarter.